Absrtact: The study of smart home for so many years, experienced a wave of family intelligence, but this year is the hottest. With Apple in the Global developer Conference on the High-profile release of smart home management applications HomeKit, then Samsung, LG, Haier, Changhong, Google
Research smart home for so many years, experienced a few rounds of family intelligence, but this year is the hottest. With Apple in the Global developer Conference on the High-profile release of smart home management applications HomeKit, then Samsung, LG, Haier, Changhong, Google, Millet, Baidu, Ali and other technology companies have joined. All the road tyrants into this field, a variety of products are emerging, it really seems that smart family will soon be built.
However, things will not be so simple, historically, smart home is a giant trap, it is the Waterloo of enterprises, not only has not yet a successful experience, but also the lessons of failure.
In the last century of the 90 's, Bill. Gates's "Venus Project" opened the human journey to smart home, in less than 10 time, all walks of life, large and small companies from different angles to try, people always expect the digital family can be launched in the next year, bringing real benefits, but over the years the smart home always seems to linger. This round of smart home heat is likely to be only the peak of the Internet capital of a big gamble.
Smart home development is fast and promising
According to market research data published by the International Association for the Promotion of Internet trade and applications, 2010 to 2012, China's smart home market has maintained more than 20% growth for 3 consecutive years, of which the market in 2012 reached 2.49 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 20.29%. It is expected that by 2017, China's smart home market will reach a scale of 8 billion yuan. According to expert statistics, as of January 2014, involving smart home of China's patent application for a total of 6,304, of which, 5,689 of the domestic patent application, accounting for the total amount of 90.24%, foreign patent applications to China 615, accounting for the total amount of 9.76%.
China's large population, small family and core trend of the obvious, fiber broadband began to become popular, 4G mobile broadband is also gradually improved, remote control capacity has been, coupled with the Chinese manufacturing capacity is very strong, along with the improvement of living conditions and family consumption upgrades, smart home has a very broad prospects.
Smart home is still in its infancy
The first step of intelligent home is to realize the interoperability of home appliances. The interconnection between consumer electronics and computers and communications products is the easiest to achieve, but it is not enough, there are lights, curtains, utilities and facilities in the family, we need to connect them all together, even the tomatoes in the fridge will be connected to the network.
In the second step, the family system is linked to the network. Mobile phones in the PC, the PC in the family, television in the intelligent, the product boundary is blurred, the living room, study, bedroom isolation barrier open, from various channels of information will be unimpeded in the family flow. At the same time, everything in the family can exchange information over the Internet and outside. For example, such as home appliances fault feedback, family diet, rest and other behavior habits will be the external network records, analysis, family units more in-depth intervention in society.
The third step, the real intelligent arrival. The exchange of information should be put into action, so that the service provider and the family linked together. On the basis of information communication, hospitals can provide medical services, supermarkets can provide distribution services, banks can provide electronic payment, property, public security can provide safety services and so on.
The time for home intelligence to cross psychological barriers is still immature
Since ancient times, the family as the smallest cell of society carrying a lot of functions, and with the development of society, the family function is also changing. But in any case, because of the special requirements of privacy and security, changes in household items are often the last part of society that can break through.
The social foundation of Intelligent home is not yet available, people's mentality is not ready, especially the network leaks and privacy protection mechanism is not sound, so that the family of equipment into the network and enough intelligence has become a frightening. However, the young internet generation of intelligent product acceptance is generally higher, when this part of the family mainstream, the construction of intelligent family will enter the fast lane.
Smart home is just icing on the cake for most families
Because the technical bottleneck of intelligent home is still unresolved, it is only a few side points, not the core, so, most smart home is only the role of icing on the cake, not the family must. In terms of the resources and money invested, and the security risks facing them, most of the intelligent household products are not worth using.
In accordance with the idea of intelligent home, the future of family control without the participation of people, home system based on the data to make judgments, automatically switch to the most suitable environment model. such as recording user habits, the formation of data upload cloud, through analysis into instructions, every night users back home air-conditioning according to judge the season and temperature has begun to run, air purifier in accordance with data such as pollution index to determine whether to open, kettle has been burned water, rice cooker began to work, the user returned home open The room is lit with warm and soft lights. Full induction detection and full automatic service so that people do not need to think and operate, when people enter the home, smart home Let this space has been in the most conducive to human health, the most convenient life state.
Such scenes are really wonderful, but for most ordinary people, do they really need it? Home appliances or furniture intelligent conditions, although gradually mature, but still not the main body of intelligent home, even now we are not clear after the main body of smart home.
Smart home to think of but not necessarily buy
In the market, the current intelligent air-conditioning, intelligent television, intelligent switches, such as the price of ordinary products more than 30%-60%. Such as intelligent home control platform SmartThings Smart home suite, including a control center, intelligent sensor, smart sensors, lighting appliances with the plug-in with the Controller, as well as can be hung in the backpack or key ring smart hanging ring, set the combination price of 300 dollars. and smart refrigerators, televisions, washing machines, air conditioners are roughly 600 dollars-7000 dollars. These are only the price of a single product, not the overall transformation plan. A survey of Shenzhen Smart home market, the current luxury residential projects smart home renovation fee range of 30~100 million, including a complete intelligent home system cost in general around 700,000 yuan. Do you bear the cost?
Smart home also lacks a strong control of enterprises or organizations
In the future, smart devices in the home can remain independent, but multiple devices need to be concentrated in a single system, providing users with a variety of functions that were previously separated from each other. However, brand manufacturers are certainly not compatible with all competitors, the full compatibility of data requires a higher level of co-ordination.
Intelligent home involved in the industrial chain is too complex, home appliances enterprises, builders, Internet applications, telecommunications operators, intelligent terminal enterprises, property management and a variety of household products manufacturers, who want to independently even the world, who do not want to become a vassal of other core organizations, so it is difficult to coordinate. Lenovo once organized the "Flash Alliance" also ended in failure, Changhong, Ali and other organizations of the alliance is only a form.
With the development of mobile Internet, in various fields has formed a vassal separatist, cross-line integration becomes almost impossible, if there is no good interconnection mechanism, no one can comply with the agreement or standards, smart home will only be a plaything. The development of smart home needs to have a strong regulatory power of the emergence of enterprises or organizations, or the strong impetus of the government.
The most promising thing about smart homes is safety and health.
Smart home looks beautiful, very excited to think, but the actual use is a certain simple, the more High-tech things from the life of ordinary people farther, the higher the intelligent system is not easy to be controlled, the more high-end products become rare things and luxury, privacy protection and interconnection has become an intelligent family at this stage insurmountable gap.
There is no doubt that at present, smart home is the most promising security and health, which is in line with the family's positioning and development trends. For example, the replacement of traditional household items of intelligent sockets, intelligent lighting, home monitoring, smart door locks, as well as the emphasis on Internet-oriented intelligent routers, convenient medical equipment and wearable devices, have a certain development prospects. Portable Health devices use the network technology to achieve the function of the hospital in the family, and then the hospital service and family directly docking, will become more promising.
The direction of intelligent development is the general trend. We all want bill. Gates or Lin like High-tech Intelligent Mansion, but first have to have the money, and then more to have leisure, so, the general public smart home or from the point of the home appliances to start it, the whole family of intelligence at least within 10 years or a dream.