The Blue Book of the Academy of Social Sciences makes more optimistic forecast for next year

Xinhua Beijing, December 7, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences 7th released the "Economic Blue Book" predicted that if the 2010 world financial crisis no longer seriously deteriorated, the domestic does not appear a large range of serious natural disasters and other major problems, GDP growth rate will steadily rebound to about 9% of the growth level. Dr. Zhang, Institute of Quantitative Economics and Technology of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, pointed out that there are three factors affecting GDP: the first is investment, 2009 China's basic reliance on investment-driven growth, the situation is very clear, so the 2009 forecast result is the whole society fixed Assets investment nominal growth rate reached 32% level.　　2010, the investment follow-up will continue, but the investment will be slowed down, but still maintain a relatively high level, up to 23% of the investment growth rate. Second, the forecast of consumption. Consumption is often the result of economic prosperity, not the driving force behind economic growth.　　For 2009 and 2010 consumption growth, is to maintain a stable situation. Again, it is the situation of foreign trade. The financial crisis on China's economic impact of the most important performance in the external needs of the large fluctuations, so 2009 China's import and export have been a decline, the import growth rate in 2009, the forecast result is negative 20%, export growth rate is probably negative 19.5%.　　China's foreign trade situation has improved in 2010 as the signs of the global economic recovery are becoming more and more obvious. In addition, the Blue Book also predicts that, in the context of the overall steady growth in demand and sufficient production and supply capacity, it is expected that China's economy will not be significantly inflation in 2010, CPI rose within 3%.