The Center three times a week to warn high house prices experts speculate the property market will be callback

14th, the State Council executive meeting made clear that some cities to curb the rapid rise in housing prices (this newspaper yesterday A2 version). This is the third time in a week that the centre has warned of high house prices. And after December 9, the NDRC director Zhang Ping "Curb speculative Housing" said just 5 days, the State Council on the rapid rise in housing prices on a new level, the symbol is the word from the "inhibition" into a "containment." Xinhua News agency yesterday, in addition to the "Xinhua point of View" published articles directly to the State Council new policy decision called "State four", referring to the property market "fever", but also issued a strict wording of the commentary "decisively curb house prices too fast rising momentum."　　A series of moves suggest that property policy tightening is Jianzaixianshang, and that the State Department's "first-tier city" housing prices will fall. The wording "containment" differs from the past. "Yang Hongxu, director of the Shanghai Institute of Real Estate Research, said in an interview with Shanghai Media 2005" State Eight ", 2006" State Six ", with the word" stable house prices ", the State Council executive meeting with the" containment ", the weight is significantly heavier than" inhibition ", more ruthless in" stability. "　　It can be foreseen that next year on the "two-vote" purchase behavior of the suppression will be increased. Shanghai Real estate industry generally speculated that first of all, for large, high-grade property tax will be accelerated next year, most likely in some cities before the "idling" to pilot "real"; second, the purchase of foreign purchases may be tightened; On the next year's housing price trend, Yang Hongxu speculation, next year is unlikely to fall, the plunge is difficult, consolidation is the main tone.　　For first-tier cities such as Shanghai, the likelihood of a fall is greater than the rise.　　"Economic reference newspaper" that from the suppression of speculation to the cancellation of business tax concessions, and to curb the rapid rise in housing prices, a few days after the real estate policy orientation jumped out of the "trilogy", which means the Government is intended to correct the industry's economic work in the center of the real estate policy misunderstanding and blind Chen Kwok-keung, director of the Institute of Real Estate, Peking University, said that housing policy will adopt a "maintain pressure, differentiated treatment" approach, can foresee two sets of mortgage tightening will be inevitable, the use of credit policies and other levers to regulate the property market will inevitably have a greater inhibition, The high volume and high prices in the first three quarters of this year are linked to extremely loose credit policies. "If the new policy is to be rigorously enforced, house prices will come back next year," he said. "The Guangzhou Information Times" thought that the State Council's standing meeting played a role of "vane", it will likely become another "9 27", the property market into the "inflection point" the biggest signal. The so-called "9 27 mortgage New Deal" refers to the September 27, 2007, in the National property prices continue to soar in the current situation, the people's Bank and the CBRC jointly issued the "on the strengthening of trade-related real estate credit management notice", the second (including) above the housing down payment ratio must not be less than 40%, The loan interest rate must not be less than 1.1 times times the benchmark rate, the down payment ratio and the interest rate level increases with the number. NationalProperty prices fell, known as the "9 27 mortgage New Deal." The general center of the newspaper in Wednesday warned December 9, the National Development and Reform Commission director Zhang Ping said that curb speculative home purchase December 9, the State Council meeting to cancel personal housing transfer business tax concessions December 14, the State Council executive meeting to curb the rapid rise in prices in some cities of the momentum