The desktop will die? It's too early to draw a conclusion.

In 2013, smartphone sales will occupy two-thirds of the market share, up to 65.1%, tablets accounted for 14.6%, laptops accounted for 11.6%, and desktops accounted for only 8.6%, according to a recent IDC forecast.　　IDC experts say the desktop era will end in 2015. Judging from the above data, the future of the entire PC industry is worrying. However, it is still too early to assert that the desktop computer era ended in 2015.　　The figures, such as market share, can be a bit of a problem, but the assertion is less sensible. I see the current situation and according to the author of the current understanding of consumers, desktop computer is still a very important family of electronic products, its status is far more important than we think.　　In the last one months, there were four friends who had asked the author to assemble a desktop computer problem, compared with three who had actually purchased it. Compared to tablets and smartphones and other products, desktop computer service life is relatively long, update frequency is also relatively low, so in sales is not as good as the first two things.　　And, desktop computer with many years of development, its market saturation is also relatively high. Take the example of a friend who recently bought a new desktop computer, as I mentioned above, the budget of 5000 yuan of desktop computers, at least to meet the needs of about 4 years of use, and the author here refers to the four-year life, or whether the smooth operation of large 3D games as the benchmark, if only the day-to-day application of the family, its life will be longer. That is to say, at least four years, they do not need to buy new desktop computers, four-year update frequency, far less than the current smartphone and tablet update frequency.　　Therefore, its low market share does not mean that it is not important, and can not fully represent the end of this era. Personally, the family now has two desktops, a traditional laptop, and two smartphones. Desktop computers have been with me for decade years and will continue in the future. Beside me, there are not a few friends like me.　　They may also be buying tablets and changing their phones, but desktops are not abandoned and still play a very important role in their role. Desktop computers can not be completely replaced with simple office for example, as an editor, tablets and smartphones at this stage can not meet the author's office needs, even now some keyboard equipped with a tablet computer can barely do some basic work, but its efficiency is far less than the traditional PC.　　In addition, the small mobile device screen is always a problem, especially in the higher precision of the picture processor, small screen is still very not, so usually at work, the author although the use of notebook computer office, but still equipped with a 19-inch LCD monitor. In addition, the number of software applications and professional level, the traditional PC also has its incomparableAdvantage。 such as 3dmax,dreamweaver, the software can only be used on the PC side.　　Although there are some similar applications in mobile devices, their professional and functional aspects are far less powerful than those of PCs. In addition, the game is another to make desktop computers, still use a lot of users of the important factors. There have been previous comments that PC games will gradually be replaced by mobile games. The author thinks, these two are a kind of complementary relations, in which one want to replace the other side, is not very realistic.　　Large PC games tend to take longer, while mobile games are more of a time to pass idle debris. Also, mobile platform devices are not up to desktop standards for their performance and operational experience, which is the biggest advantage of desktop computers.　　As a PC game of the old players, PC-side of the various mainstream games, the author has mostly experienced, and in the tablet and smartphone side, I have not found any game experience and the game screen can reach the current level of the mainstream PC-side game. In the past few years the most popular World of Warcraft and DotA For example, these two games require very precise and delicate operation, mobile devices in this respect can not meet the needs of players.　　The author also on the smartphone, experienced a class DotA game, the name is called Chaos and order, when I experience this game on the phone, I found that the game, although from a formal point of view, and DotA the same, but from the overall rhythm of the game and competitive angle, it is too far. Writing in the end the overall decline of the PC industry is obvious, this fact can not be denied. But it is a bit premature to assert the demise of desktop computers. The advantages of tablets and smartphones, compared to desktop PCs, are self-evident, and they can be recognized by the vast majority of consumers, and they must have a unique advantage. While tablets and smartphones have indeed eaten into the market share of some PC products, it is still too early to conclude that the end of the desktop era is over. Desktop computers have been in the market for many years, it also has a lot of other products unmatched advantages. If I am still optimistic about the development of desktop computers, indeed some of the inflow, but the end of the desktop computer era, or wait 10 years.