The dispute of housing vacancy rate: vested interests to convert public power for selfish gain

Experts say the relevant departments of real estate control wrong vested interest in the public power for private gain perspective of China's housing "vacancy rate dispute" This reporter Douxiao our intern Hu Yue "The cab" Lijie skillfully rotating the steering wheel, taxis have sailed into one of the most watched and rapidly rising markets in Beijing in recent years.　　Follow the direction of the Lijie hint, "legal daily" reporter saw the roadside a lot of high-end residential areas are "black lights." 3 months ago, media reported, "The National Grid using intelligent network, in 660 cities nationwide to detect a data, a total of 65.4 million residential meter readings for 6 consecutive months zero." "65.4 million sets" of houses are vacant? Subsequently, although the National Grid said it did not release the data, the lack of authoritative source of the investigation results continue to cause constant waves.　　This May and August, the media survey results showed that Beijing, Tianjin and other places of hot property vacancy rate of 40%, and many new towns into a "vacant room" dense area, which will be "someone has a room, some people have no room to live" anger to the extreme.　　Some insiders pointed out that the "grand discussion" reflects the most core problem, is still the current property market many interest group contradictions focus and upgrade is to China's real estate industry strong interest groups long-term control price and the right to speak a "civil counterattack."　　Even some academics have bluntly said that the "free-for-all" of this "chaos" continues to develop, "the Chinese property market, which relies on" headaches, doctors and feet, "and" timid "policies at some point in the future will likely escalate further. Private survey of housing vacancy rate according to the international definition, housing vacancy rate refers to the ratio of vacant house area to total housing area at a certain moment. Generally speaking, commercial housing vacancy rate between 5% to 10% for a reasonable area, vacancy rate between 10% to 20% for the vacant danger zone, vacancy rate of more than 20% for commercial housing serious backlog area.　　In the current high housing prices, not afford to buy a house in the situation, the housing vacancy rate is becoming "no room" questioned the focus. "A web portal has a" black light "activity. Once the website staff took a taxi to mention to me, see I have no interest. My photo shoot time is 8 o'clock to 10 o ' night. The reason for the election Sunday, because the next day is Monday, most people at this point should be at home, I gave up the time to make money, to four to the other side of the property, a pat.　　Lijie to the legal Daily News reporter.　　The hundreds of photos taken by Lijie include more than 20 more than a year in the community, the reporter from his "Black light" according to see, some real estate "black light" phenomenon is indeed more obvious, for example, located in Dongfeng North Bridge east of "the" "the" eye of the real estate black lights about half of the households, and the high-end real estate in Chaoyang Road, "Star River" black light rate higher. "I'm not just taking a picture of a building alone, but I'm taking every facet of the building, plus the time period,Although not all of this, but the phenomenon of drying out, after all, most people still can not afford to buy a house in Beijing, let everyone see, but also want to call on the government departments in accordance with the level of income to introduce some policies so that each stratum of people have room to live, whether it is low-rent or affordable housing, now this House's threshold card is relatively tight, Let the people who really need the House have a room to live in.　　"Lijie said.　　National Bureau of Statistics spokesman Laiyun on the vacant area of housing to answer the media questions also asked reporters, here are the people living in Beijing, if the standard of living in Hainan to buy a house, usually in Beijing, weekend to Hainan vacation, that count is not empty?　　However, in addition to Lijie, there are many people are also actively investigating the vacancy rate of housing, folk seem to use a variety of "pattern bursting" calculation method to respond to the "official rhetorical question."　　The research team led by Zhang Jingqiu and Meng Bin, a professor at Beijing Union University, conducted a survey of electricity consumption in the residential districts of more than 50 Beijing from 2004 to 2006, indicating that the proportion of electric meters is almost 27.16%. It is understood that the above two surveys interval two months, during the hot summer, if there are permanent households, the use of electricity should be larger.　　Therefore, it is assumed that if within two months a residential charge is within 10 degrees, it is possible to determine that the dwelling is vacant, thereby calculating a vacancy rate of 27.16%. However, some people in the industry pointed out that because the electricity meter is generally outdoors, so the investigation encountered resistance is relatively small.　　However, the calculation of this vacancy rate is only the direction of discussion, a method of investigation of academic research, and its data is not authoritative because the survey sample is not large in scope.　　The water meter is also one of the methods that people have invented to investigate vacancy rates. According to media reports, Hangzhou Water Group, a new internal data statistics show that five of Hangzhou city, 570,000 households installed meters of residential, 30,000 households as "0 meters."　　Hangzhou Water Group staff said that the 30,000 "0 water meters" mainly distributed in more than 20 residential areas, and 6 months degrees are zero 17742 households.　　Housing vacancy rate can not find out how much of China's housing vacant, it seems to be a let the public denounced the speculators "evil" and refute the "Chinese real estate bubble-free theory" of a powerful weapon, "clear" to prove that the Chinese real estate market has been to the "dangerous situation." So, people are eager to know the truth: How high is China's housing vacancy rate?　　There have even been calls for the publication of State authority statistics straight. August 11, Laiyun on the vacancy rate of the first public response: "Housing is vacant in recent years, because of the new problems in the development of the real estate industry, our survey and statistics system has not had time to make statistics, the National Bureau of Statistics on the real estate statistical system can not calculate the vacancy rate such indicators." "It is understood that the forthcoming sixth national census increases the registration of housing, which involves some indicators of housing, including the housing area, the number of dwellings, the age of completion, and housing isWhat way to obtain (commercial housing, welfare room or rent), etc. At the same time, the Department of Housing Construction Policy Research center in charge of the "timely" publicly said that the private computing "vacancy rate" method is not scientific. First of all, there is one-sidedness in the choice of real estate, can not represent the overall situation, secondly, "now many white-collar night in the bar, or on business. "There are many situations that will affect the authenticity of such findings." "The housing vacancy rate in our country" survey is not difficult, only to be in the national key cities, for different grades of the real estate sample, can come to the results, of course, this requires a large amount of capital investment.　　"In addition, the Director further stressed that the vacancy rate is not directly related to high housing prices, while the investment or speculation as a direct reason for high housing prices is not accurate," whether the real estate is for personal use or investment, speculation, in fact, it is difficult to define.　　Not surprisingly, on this issue, the developers and the authorities to maintain a "stunning" agreement. The real estate developer, who claims to be measured, thinks that the "65 million of empty rumors are simply not tenable" and that the words are astonishing: "Perhaps these rumors are just to deceive the journalists who are not thinking." The vacant survey in the new incremental housing can only prove that there are a certain percentage of empty space in some communities, but it does not prove the authenticity of these 65 million sets of rumors. "At the same time, the television station investigation of the housing vacancy rate, Ren Zhiqiang accused," so only the investigation of individual communities to prove that everything is wrong, can only be used to replace the overall situation of a biased direction.　　I do not know Ⅹⅹ TV station want to take the people to where, I do not know whether they deliberately in the intensification of social contradictions. On the question of housing vacancy rate survey, Jiashing, a professor of public administration at Hebei University of Economics and Trade, who has actually done a survey on housing vacancy rates, told the law daily that the vacancy rate of housing is an important indicator reflecting the balance of supply and demand in the real estate market, and the vacancy level of commercial housing not　　It also has a great influence on the coordinated and orderly development of the real estate related industry and the whole national economy.　　The real estate market urgently needs profound reform the housing vacancy rate dispute appears to belong to the technical problem, but actually is the real estate industry increasingly opposite camp between the increasingly serious contradiction concentrated eruption. August 4, the National Bureau of Statistics released 2005 to 2010 June nationwide commercial housing sales, of which, for sale in 2008, the area of 55.5% "blowout", and so far stable at 106 million square meters.　　From 2005 to 2007, the figure was roughly 70 million square meters to 80 million square meters, and it was decreasing every year. Yixianrong, a researcher at the Institute of Financial Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the law daily that China's housing vacancy rate refers to housing developers who have not sold more than a year, according to national statistical indicators. Just imagine, in the housing market to adopt housing pre-sale system early several years real estate market using bank funds or government preferential policy comprehensiveIn the case of frying, how could there be "vacant" problems? "However, in the Chinese real estate market, housing will not be vacant in the hands of real estate developers, but can be vacant in the hands of housing speculators, and the National Bureau of Statistics has not yet the concept of housing vacancy has attracted enough attention." Since there is no such concept in the Bureau of Statistics, the vacancy rate does not exist for the corresponding vested interests, and the departments concerned will never put the vacancy rate in their real estate macro-control policies. However, I warned the whole real estate market many years ago, just rely on the ' things on the books ' can not make a reasonable explanation of the real economic life, also can not make a reasonable real estate policy.　　"Yixianrong said. Yixianrong that the housing vacancy rate survey conveys a lot of information, including, "domestic real estate market speculation is very serious, whether it is a first-line city or two or three-tier cities are so, domestic housing vacancy rate is so high, and can prevail for many years, and let real estate speculation more and more strong, or almost to the point of no return." The root cause is the result of a series of wrong real estate macro-control policies of the departments concerned, which is the result of the Government's understanding of the real estate market, which leads to a policy of stimulating real estate money-making effect. Government real Estate policy '　　Bookishness ' very serious, because the government statistical indicators do not have such housing vacancy rate, also caused the real estate macro-control policy does not include it. "Such an important and transparent information could have been obtained only in the search of government functions, but why did the government function not know or adopt appropriate policies to adjust it?" There are some government functional departments of the market awareness of the problem, but also have vested interests of the public power for private interests.　　Yixianrong bluntly.　　Mr Cao, a researcher at the Institute of Industrial Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, suggested that the statistics Department, after proposing the sale rate, needed to jointly investigate the housing vacancy rate with the Ministry of Construction, Land and resources, Ministry of Public Security and even State grid companies. Mr Cao that the high vacancy rate shows that there is a serious surplus in China's real estate market, not shortages.　　To correct the current excess leads to speculation, excessive investment has led to high housing prices, under the current distorted real estate system, China can no longer take short-term market control policy, "the policy is based on one-year economic performance, once the economic depression will adopt stimulus policy, overheating is to adopt austerity policy." Mr Cao further suggested that China's real estate market should not be limited to market regulation, but should also implement a profound system reform. At this point, the Central High level needs to establish a package system framework in law, land, real estate development, credit and housing construction, and social public opinion needs to make a difference in the real estate market.