The real estate market is difficult to suppress price increase impulse regulation long-term mechanism needs to establish

Securities Times Network (www.stcn.com) September 24, since September, the national housing market transactions compared with August, a significant increase in the one or two-line city Deal Heat continued, "Day CD" frequency. "From the current data, the national property market continues to warm up, ' golden nine ' market has no suspense, ' Silver Ten ' is also worth looking forward to." Zhongyuan Real Estate market research director Zhang Dawei yesterday to the Shanghai News reporter said. Financial profit Po, the current savings rate to increase 1000% of the property market heat, but also make real estate regulation more difficult. An authoritative personage said to the Shanghai news reporter yesterday, considering the house price fluctuation has begun to show the trend of differentiation, it is difficult to look forward to a more stringent national control policy. Coupled with the real estate regulatory long-term mechanism has not been established, but also exacerbated the property market "yin and yang do not tune." As a result, house prices have risen too fast cities, the early introduction of targeted "cooling" measures, is particularly urgent. Reporter noted that the recent Beijing Municipal Construction Construction Commission official micro-blog, said, "Beijing's own residential housing management methods have been repeatedly discussed and asked for advice, has been basically mature, is expected to be formally announced recently." "The property market ushered in the" Golden nine silver Ten, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, August 70 large and medium-sized cities in the decline in housing prices in the city only 1, the rise of the city has 69, the highest increase of 19.3%, the lowest for the decline of 2.3%. Higher cities are mainly concentrated in the first-tier cities and individual two or three-line cities, including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other first-tier urban new commodity housing prices rose in the year 18% to 20%. "On the whole, the current property prices are high, market panic has emerged, the frequent occurrence of the king is still likely to raise price expectations, and the developer's money is significantly better than in previous years, in this case the real estate regulation of the difficulty significantly increased, most cities want to complete the annual control target difficult." In the case of the king's frequent presence, this year's ' Golden Nine Silver Ten ' is likely to be of unprecedented heat. "Zhang Dawei said. According to the Central Plains Real Estate Research Center statistics show, just past the mid-Autumn Festival small holiday, all over the property market is still active. During the 3-day holiday, the national major cities signed a total of 12,900, more than 10,900 sets of dragon Boat Festival holiday Rose 18%. According to statistics, September, as of 21st, the National 54 major urban Housing signed a total of 165,000 units, compared with the same period in August 162,800 sets have risen. In particular, since mid-September, all over the "Day CD" frequency, most of the real estate did not introduce preferential policies. "Zhang Dawei said. In this respect, Albert I love my family group Vice President Hu Jinghui that the recent Beijing new push property almost become a "day CD", the four-quarter developers are expected to push the initiative will be further high, the market volume is expected to rebound further. Jahau Agency deputy general manager Ning also thought: "At present the market overall to good, the consumer buys eagerly, the developer's push dish enthusiasm also has promoted." In the first 8 months of this year, the Beijing property market deal optimism, making the housing enterprise performance pressure to reduce, in anticipation of a good environment, ' golden nine Silver Ten ' will become some developers to improve profit margins, finishA critical period of annual performance. Therefore, since September, whether it is the housing companies to push the speed, or a single launch of the number of listings have increased. "The impact of lending is gradually showing some people in the industry are cautious about the performance of the property market in the coming period." A senior executive told the Shanghai News company that this year's "Golden Nine Silver Ten" may be slightly more stable than in previous years. The situation since September, although the continuation of the August supply and marketing two prosperous, but the price growth rate than expected to lower. One important reason is that since the beginning of September, many banks across the country have suspended mortgages, delayed loans or raised mortgage rates, and banks ' tightening of mortgages has offset some of the growth in market demand. In this respect, Zhang Dawei said that the bank's tightening of mortgage loans in the recent "Golden Nine Silver Ten" little impact, but the impact is expected to be highlighted in November, because after November may be difficult to borrow. He said that at present, a number of banks have suspended the mortgage business, and the unofficial claim to suspend the mortgage, but because of its first suite loans and other basic concessions, buyers do not choose these banks to do loans, so there has been a de facto loan suspension. These banks accounted for a low mortgage business, the market share is lower. The banks that are now making mortgages expect a big tightening in the two-month mortgage loan, but the discount may be narrowed. It is expected that starting from the end of October, the loan line will be very tight, and may even be difficult to apply to the possibility of new quotas. All over the policy tightness in the face of rising housing prices, Beijing and other front-line urban control policies are tightening, Nanjing, Zhengzhou followed. As an important indicator of the national property market, Beijing house prices have been for several consecutive months to maintain the high growth rate of nearly 20%, the chain growth has never seen a significant decline. To this end, the Beijing Municipal Construction Construction Commission official micro-blog said, "Beijing's own residential commodity housing management methods have been repeatedly discussed and asked for advice, has been basically mature, is expected to be formally announced recently." "According to the disclosure, the main contents of the document include: Clear residential property as a commodity housing properties, for the home-oriented, improved housing needs of families, the protection of the waiting family to buy a priority." At the same time, the method of this kind of housing's re-listing requirements and income sharing, have made clear provisions. "Large-scale housing prices, competing land prices will change the property market regulation mechanism, and the supply of residential housing will inevitably stabilize prices." "Zhang Dawei that Beijing as the implementation of the" country Five, "the most stringent city, the current policy has not been officially announced, the impact of the market remains to be seen. Nanjing has also issued a policy to clear the state-owned enterprises to withdraw from the development of commercial housing timetable; Zhengzhou further tightened restrictions on the purchase policy, explicitly asked the 20-year-old single person to suspend the purchase of a house. It should be noted, however, that some places are loosening up the property market compared with the one or two-line cities where policy is tightening. For example, Wenzhou, which has been on the decline for several consecutive months, has taken the lead in fine-tuning its policy of restricting purchases, easing the restrictions on the number of local household households to be implemented in early 2011 to two sets. In addition, Wuhu, Zhoushan and other three-tier cities are either clear or surface adjustment of the early introduction of real estate control measures. "In the National city house prices roseThe downward trend of differentiation, it is difficult to look forward to the reunification of the more stringent regulatory policies issued. "One of the authorities close to the housing and land sector told reporters that the most urgent is to establish a long-term real estate control mechanism." The need to establish a long-term mechanism not long ago, Qin Hong, director of the Center for Policy Research at the Department of Housing Construction, said curbing investment in property investments would not be a long-term relief. This means that "limit purchases, limit loans" and other measures will not exit in the short term. However, at present, the property market has been "digestion" of these regulatory policies, so the need for real estate tax and other long-term mechanisms to establish a management of the housing market expectations. Wang Yu Lin, the former deputy director of the Center for Policy Research at the Ministry of Housing Construction, believes that the next line of control can be seen in several major areas. First, through the "Three Limits" (limit, limit purchase, limit loan) to ease the contradiction between supply and demand; second, the suppression of investment in housing will still be the focus of control, third, the rapid increase in housing prices will become the key area of regulation and control, four, accelerate the construction of the protection of housing; its five, long-term management mechanism started. "Long-term mechanism should start early, starting from the foundation, including personal housing information system networking, real estate registration unification." Wang Yu Lin repeatedly said to reporters. He said that the real estate tax must be pushed forward, should be clear as soon as possible the plan, purpose, guiding ideology, as well as the results to be achieved and so on. For the real estate regulation of long-term mechanism, Qin Hong also have their own views. "I think the future of real estate control policy direction can not change for a long time, but in the regulation of policy optimization still have a lot of space to continue to explore." For the future, we all think that the long-term mechanism is the real estate market healthy development of an important cornerstone, and there is a strong expectation. "Qin Hong said. Qin Hong further said that the key to the establishment of a long-term mechanism is to build a supply system covering the needs of all residents, on the basis of reform, the land, fiscal, tax, financial supporting reform policies and firm implementation.