The undercurrent of agricultural product price increase under the policy high pressure: speculation has not left

Yang Guang Liujinson Chen Zhouxi garlic, corn, mung beans, 37 or even chili peppers, prices are still rising.　　The National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Commerce, the State Administration for Industry and Commerce issued a notice recently, demanding to drive up the prices of agricultural products and other speculation, the law severely punished The NDRC, an official told the newspaper, the NDRC last month sent a number of investigation teams, in-depth prices of major varieties of the main production areas and the main sales area to understand the relevant commodity prices, supply, circulation and price changes.　　Comprehensive investigation team to grasp the situation analysis, agricultural products prices are affected by adverse weather, but also with a very small number of operators fabricated dissemination of false information, malicious hoarding, mutual collusion, manipulating market prices, monopoly sourcing, blocking channels and other practices. But the speculators did not seem to be withdrawing.　　Many investors have gone to the main production area again, and their targets are new garlic, mung beans and even dried chili peppers. Under the high pressure of the NDRC policy, the new price dark war is still brewing, the game is not over.　　The question is, will the prices of agricultural products rise? The temptation of garlic in the memory of speculators Zhao, 2008 has been a broad focus on the agricultural market, but did not form a climate.　　2009 is really attract hot money into the agricultural market speculation of the feng shui year. Ancestral home of Anhui Zhao operating foreign trade import and export business 13 years, accumulated near thousands industry. "I am more timid, accumulated over the years of the family business, do not dare to invest easily, the agricultural market is his only big money over the years."　　"he said. A year ago, Zhao at the Mahjong table to listen to friends, now the agricultural market is very popular, as a necessaries of life, once the supply and demand can not keep up, prices must rise fast.　　Most importantly, at that time, the speculators ' investment in agricultural products has formed a climate, and the production of the weather caused by the decline, steady profits. According to Zhao, the real impact he stepped out of the first step, is his friend in 2008 to invest 700,000 yuan to buy garlic in Shandong, earning nearly 3 million yuan of pure profit.　　Friend's experience let Zhao believe, decided to follow friends into the market. In 2009, Zhao began to follow the money-making friends in Shandong and Henan provinces to understand the actual planting area of garlic and the yield per Mu. To his surprise, many garlic-growing lands were contracted at the beginning of the year. "At that time, garlic really became popular, Liang garlic farmers talk tone has become a bit domineering, they do not worry about their own garlic sold, from the provinces specializing in the purchase of garlic from the people in a stream. "The hot scene gives the Zhao of the garlic market the most beautiful imagination." He began to run with friends in Shandong major garlic planting base, through acquaintances find ways to buy garlic.　　Even the cold storage of garlic has become popular, tons of rent from 150 yuan to 230 yuan, the whole and garlic-related industrial chain unprecedented active. 2009, Zhao and Ming invested nearly 5 million yuan to buy garlic, and its hoarding in the local cold storage, waiting for the market price up after the sale of clearance. This 2 March, he sold all the garlic he had hoarded.Go and earn 5 million yuan.　　Now he is ready to hoard another batch of garlic. Taiyuan Hexi Market Market Garlic two wholesalers Gu said: "Although the price of garlic is not the highest point, but many investors have gone to the main production areas to buy stocks of new garlic, perhaps prices will be back." "Zhao doesn't think he's a real speculator. First of all their own capital investment is small, investment tens of millions of of the speculators abound, and even hundreds of billions of dollars, he is not a big money, just borrow the trend to make a good wind money.　　In his mind, the real speculators, in addition to a large amount of capital investment, but also the entire agricultural market is very familiar with the price of hoarding goods in the degree of relaxation. He said: "Now the investment speculation of agricultural products, especially garlic, the crowd is very miscellaneous, a large number of huge amount of money, there are all walks of life bosses or rich people, and even the bank." "The wealth effect of a large amount of money into the, leading to garlic in the plant has been fried passengers to the unit to sign a purchase." According to Mr. Gu, this year's garlic planting area than last year increased by more than 20%.　　Speculators to the bulk of the purchase of large acquisitions to maximize the stimulation of farmers desire to grow. Starting late last year, garlic prices began to rise rapidly. To the national one of the main origin of garlic in Shandong, for example, Jinxiang 6 grade white garlic from the end of 7.7 yuan/kg, to the end of April rose to 10.2 yuan/kg, up to 32%.　　At the same time, in Beijing and other big cities, some supermarkets of garlic price per kilogram as high as 20 yuan, even more expensive pork. When the price of garlic is soaring, it is the day the speculators ship.　　Zhao revealed that a investment billion yuan to buy garlic merchants, in Shandong only used to stockpile garlic warehouse on as many as six or seven, in the price after the focus of the selling of goods, made hundreds of millions of yuan. The speculators are doing more than that on garlic. After the garlic harvest, it takes several procedures.　　Drying is one of the more critical process, due to the weather relationship, in the upper and lower ventilation, sunny time to dry out the full quality of garlic, on the contrary, if you encounter cloudy or rainy days, as well as poor ventilation, the color of the garlic will be obviously dark, poor quality.　　A public secret in the industry, when the speculators will be the quality of the garlic mixed together for sale, the initial time with a red screen, to be sold after the arrival of the two-level wholesale station to switch to white gauze, and eventually into the market.　　The legend of the rich garlic is no less than the story of the real estate market. Shandong province Laiwu Chen Xu a villager Zhang Jie (alias) operates several small and medium-sized cold storage, refrigeration capacity of about thousands of tons, its customers are the local garlic growers and the purchase of circulation links, around 2008, garlic prices fell to low, the cheapest even a pound of money, garlic "market value" Not even enough to pay the cold storage warehouse charge.　　Its large number of customers have chosen to garlic inventory Shang cold storage costs, Zhang Jie also in 2008, "Copy Bottom" to get about million tons of garlic. 2009, the garlic market rebounded rapidly, the acquisition price appreciation of several yuan, Zhang Jie in the year will be collectedThe million tons of garlic were all clear and profited nearly a hundredfold. And in Henan Zhongmu, 80% of garlic is the garlic store into the cold storage.　　According to local statistics, ZHONGMU local garlic business to earn more than 30 million of the 4 people, foreign garlic merchants earn more than 10 million of more than 3, more than million more than 100, earn hundreds of thousands of more. Liu Shaoxin is the Zhongmu man. "All see the time to earn money scenery, did not see the bitterness of the loss of time." "Liu Shaoxin said," Qixian (another garlic origin) for fried garlic died several people, ah, Zhongmu several now dare not go home. "In the face of unpredictable 2010 garlic season, Liu Shaoxin still have to continue to receive garlic," A lifetime of garlic, do not get what?　　"Crazy garlic also tests the psychological bottom line of housewives." A bowl of garlic at every table in the Little pasta shop is now hard to see. A restaurant named Shanxi Pasta Shop, the boss said: "A lot of people like to eat noodles when the garlic to eat, garlic before in the noodle shops are provided free of charge, but now the price of garlic rose too high, the store is considering add garlic words plus 5 cents."　　"In Taiyuan, Shanxi province, compared to one months ago, the price of garlic has fallen, but consumers still complain a lot, they think the price of garlic still has a lot of water, but as the necessities of life, but also have to buy, discontent is palpable." From the current point of view, the 2009 because of the effect of speculation, the greatest extent to stimulate the social capital to participate in the investment of garlic enthusiasm. Also led to more farmers to give up the choice before the initiative to join the garlic planting.　　The planting area has risen steeply this year. Wholesalers Gu Frankly, now the agricultural market some of the symptoms of a vicious circle, the more people make money, the more people will join in, the more people to join, growing garlic farmers will be more and more, as this has been going on, garlic disaster is sooner or later things.　　Once the crash, I don't know how many people are going to lose their money, especially those at the bottom of the Shannong. New Dark War According to statistics, China's annual consumption of garlic about 10.4 million tons, according to the current 9 yuan/kg sales price calculation, only need 187.2 billion yuan, can make its price rise by one times.　　These funds are "bucket" to the big speculators. Zhao also revealed that the entire agricultural market hype, the type of money is very rich, all walks of life funds have.　　Among them, there are investment from the private capital, but also from the group or the company's black-boxes, and even the banking sector has been involved. It is noteworthy that in some provinces and cities have appeared some similar to the intermediary of the gang, they actively discover and explore the private capital, and bring it into the agricultural market, to participate in speculation.　　Huge hot money is eating away at the once low-end market of agricultural products. Mr Gu said: "Although now because the new garlic has come down, the price of garlic has been reduced, but many speculators have been to the main production areas to start buying and stockpiling of new garlic, if the number is large enough, garlic prices to go back." The time will be lively. "In garlic, mung beanAs prices rose, so did the price of corn and cotton.　　As of May 21, the domestic three-level lint prices rose 32.3% earlier this year, 32 cotton combed yarn average price rose 33.8%.　　Many vegetable farms in Wenzhou, a pound of corn bar retail price to sell 10 yuan/kg, mung bean to sell 12 yuan/kg, better than pork has become food in the "nobility", most people can only compress the purchase amount, or other food. May 26 morning, in the west of Shanghai's largest integrated agricultural products market Caoan wholesale market, mung bean retail prices have climbed to 10-11 yuan/kg, the retail price of 12 yuan/kg or so.　　In the same period last year, the retail price of mung bean in Caoan market is below 4 yuan/kg. A green bean sales of Mr. Cao said, mung bean prices from the beginning of this year, he bought the highest price of mung bean not more than 6000 yuan/ton, this year has soared to 12000 yuan/ton, a year time rose more than 100%. Like mung beans, dry chili, corn and other agricultural products also appear to rise in varying degrees.　　In Mr Cao's view, the soaring price of mung beans is mainly "scrambled up", rather than in short supply. In this respect, a more than 10 years engaged in the distribution of agricultural products in Shandong, Mr. Hou said, in spite of the Southwest drought, the northern climate and other natural disasters, but because of mung bean, dry pepper production is more dispersed, the information is more dispersed and other factors, the price is fried up.　　He believes that from production to sales, the cost of each link increases, is the main cause of the rise in agricultural products. "If the country does not take strong measures, garlic, mung beans, dried chili and other agricultural products, there is further upward momentum."　　"A Shandong buyer, Wang Miaoshui, said that after the real estate regulation, private funds in the face of inflationary expectations, investment, speculation in order to preserve and increase the desire especially strong." Wang Miaoshui said the price of garlic, chili peppers and mung beans soared, mainly due to low prices in previous years, farmers do not want to plant, resulting in a sharp cut in production last year, the market supply decreased. "including garlic, mung bean and so on, if the country can establish a set of ' Miscellaneous Grains and Stockpiling ' system, also not after the price of the explosion plummeted. Think of 2007 garlic fell to a pound of money, garlic throw everywhere, the government should introduce practical measures, but I did not see. (should be asked, the text of Zhao, Wang Miaoshui as a pseudonym, this reporter Zhang Yanlong, Yun-Zhang also contributed to this article)