Turnover determines the future height

Investor newspaper (reporter soup Towel) "Investor": The market May 12, 13th, two days after the end of the high, how do you think of this? Jianhao: The nature of the two-day trailing disc is different. The former is caused by a sharp fall in technology after the departure of the force rebound, the latter is a large rebound, the wait-and-see. In a sense, the former's rebound is more real, and the latter grabbed the 20 points caused by the virtual. Two consecutive days of high collection is normal, because the market suddenly plunged on May 11 some inexplicable, and the second Sky side obviously has no successor force.　　The fall is boundless, then the rebound is logical.　　Xu Wenming: The end of the high means that the buyer is very strong, but technically, not conducive to upward attack, pay attention to risk.　　"Investor": PetroChina May 13 rally means what? Jianhao: PetroChina soared for 3:1, the stock price has been in the lower consolidation for more than half a year, the technology has a rise in power; second, the broader market, the index shares have to increase the impulse; third, the international crude oil prices and price reform stimulus.　　On the one hand, the oil reserves of PetroChina is more abundant, the price of crude oil has benefited; on the other hand, the gradual liberalization of oil prices is conducive to enterprises to adjust prices in accordance with international market, conducive to performance improvement The increase in oil to the market is favorable, after all, there are indicators stocks to support the broader risk will be smaller. But the start of the oil is unfavorable to the stock, a A-share rule is the index shares rose, other stocks fell.　　My future judgment is that there is a partial, phased opportunity.　　Xu Wenming: Crude oil prices hit a new high, plus expectations of higher oil prices, leading to a rise in Chinese oil.　　"Investor": How to view the recent decline in turnover?　　Jianhao: For a sudden decline in the shrinkage after the technology is good, because this can prevent the market continue to fall, the May 12 sharp rebound is proof. Investors need to be aware that if the index continues to rise, the amount of energy is not big enough, then the future rise in the process once the technical indicators passivation is the time to flee.　　The reason is very simple, no amount can support the rise is inflated, future must have a major, investors should pay close attention to whether the replenishment.　　Xu Wenming: Investors are optimistic about the future, natural turnover is small, when there is volume, you should be careful.　　Investor's report: Will the market continue to spike or will it be drastically adjusted? Jianhao: As long as two conditions to meet the market will continue to go up: First, the two cities deal replenishment, as long as the replenishment of the market is active; two or two-line blue chips and the early stagnation of high-quality stocks, concept stocks to form a plate rotation, the stock price rose consistently good. As long as these two points, the future rise will be no problem.　　If satisfied with the former, you can wait patiently for the latter to appear, if the former is not satisfied, can be high and low, if both are satisfied, can continue to patiently hold the stock until the market is weak. Xu Wenming: From a technical point of view, there is resistance near 2,630. As long as the adjustment does not fall below the 5-week average line, the market will complete the current round of the short-term goal of 2,730 points, regardless of the point of occurrence, and then inevitably willThere is a big adjustment, need to avoid in time.　　"Investor": April of new loans dropped 2/3 does it have a negative impact on the market? Jianhao: Falling back is normal, because the first quarter of each year new loans are the fastest annual, two-quarter tend to fall back. This is due to the large number of new loans in the first three months, so it is normal for them to fall back. More importantly, management has repeatedly stressed the need to continue to open up loans, the amount is not a problem. In action, the central bank again began the net launch of funds in May, indicating that loose monetary policy would continue.　　In other words, the market needs funds will have funds, then the impact of the loan fall, although there is, but the negative effect is not very large.　　"Investor": What are the future varieties worth participating in? Jianhao: Mainly around three main lines: first, to finance, steel, real estate, infrastructure, consumption, such as the main blue chips and a small increase in quality stocks; second, the regional economic planning, industrial stimulus plan, the main stage of opportunity. This is one of the main hype this year, according to the progress of the policy will have a corresponding phased opportunities, such as the concept of dual-central, Hercynian concept, Binhai concept, the Beibu Gulf concept, bio-pharmaceutical, electronic technology, 3G, etc. third, emerging concepts or the old concept of not overdrawn. For example, VC is an old concept, but with the advent of a variety of policy opportunities. Another example of new energy, will be a long-term hype value concept, in a sense, as long as the market falls out of value, as long as its adjustment in place can timing intervention.　　Also such as the concept of futures, restructuring concepts and other unexpected concepts. Xu Wenming: After the rally, there must be stocks will go against the trend, I still recommend attention to the communications and pharmaceutical sector, which has the concept of performance growth of stocks, it deserves attention.