Vanke: Next year, the housing market will not drop the basic price of 20%

"Caijing comprehensive report" Under the influence of policy regulation and supply and demand relations, the next year house prices have downward pressure, but it is impossible to have a sharp decline, it is impossible to have a 20% decline.　　Xiaoli, vice president of Vanke, said yesterday at the annual Wanguo Securities Investment China Strategy meeting in 2011. According to the Oriental Morning Post, Xiaoli said that next year's nationwide construction will rise, housing inventories will gradually rise, but overall at a relatively low level, 2012 may be the situation of supply to keep up with demand. From the relationship between supply and demand, the housing market next year more adequate supply, investment demand will be restrained, while the transaction speed slowed.　　But because of 2010 supply shortage, and the future housing demand may rebound, the property market next year lacks the basis of a slump. According to her forecast, the volume will tend to flat next year, but may rise slightly year-on-year.　　At the same time, by the four-line city of commercial housing and the impact of housing construction, the National Real estate New start area will continue to rise, but the second half of the new construction area of the first-tier city may decline.　　Xiaoli said that with the government's two regulatory policies this year, the ratio of home mortgages has dropped sharply this time, and a big increase in one-off payments has been made, reflecting the effect of the property-cooling policy, while the increase in one-off payments also reflects ample funding. In the first half of 2011, real estate prices will fall by nearly 20%, and it is clear that April 2011 will be a period when the housing market inflection point, according to a report released November 21 by the Institute of Economic Research, Renmin University. Xiaoli that inflation and liquidity tightening are unlikely to cause house prices to fall.　　Individual developers, individual properties may be to promote sales and reduce prices, but the overall price decline can not reach 20%. As for the land market, Xiaoli said that the current market boom, financing policy and pre-collection supervision do not support the land bull. And the land price, the final result of turnover depends on the attitude of the land transfer party, but the land price fall and the phenomenon of "hard to avoid all".　　Vanke in the land market to take the dynamic also confirms its optimism for the future. After Vanke in Wuhan, Shenzhen to its projects to take a promotional action, triggering industry speculation.