2045 The Future World Congress is the second annual conference to be organized by the 2045 initiative and its promoter, Russian technology entrepreneur Dmitry Itskov. At age 32, Etskuk, with his vast sums of money and determination, mastered and conquered the most challenging and exciting frontiers of the 21st century, including human awareness, brain-computer interfaces, and biotechnology Integration and more. The ultimate goal of Yitzhak's "Avatar Project" (part of the 2045 initiative) is to free mankind from the shackles of the body. First, determine how to transplant the mind and consciousness from the body to survive in the machine stand, and finally determine how to upload ideas, awareness, etc. to the computer. The deadline for achieving this digital eternal life is 2045.
2045 Future World Speakers include Church (pioneering the first truly effective genetic sequencing technology to help launch the Human Genome Project), inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil (currently Google's director of engineering ), Dr. Peter H. Diamandis, founder and technology entrepreneur of the X Awards Foundation (existing project for Asteroid Mining), and legendary computer technology expert Dr. James Martin, Oxford Martin College is named after him. Participating in the lectures does not imply that the speakers support the Avatar plan and its ambitious goals, but there is no doubt that the participation of these prominent speakers added an academic component to the 2045 World Congress.
2045 The future world conference is more like a dialogue between leaders in more than 20 different areas, many of whom have a track record of accurately predicting the future. In other words, these people have successfully linked us now with the future of us and the various nodes that technology brings us to the future. The following six major projections describe how earth-shaking changes in technology and life will occur in the next three decades.
After the brain spectrum era
In 2013, global leaders did not ignore the importance and potential of the human brain. Earlier this year, the European Union approved a 10-billion-euro ($ 1.3 billion) 10-year human brain project designed to mimic the human brain on a supercomputer. US President Obama also announced a $ 100 million investment plan to fund human brain activity mapping projects to map the complex network of human brain nerve cells and nerve cell populations. Although some people criticize the approval of such a huge amount of grants in the current fiscal crunch as a waste of research expenditures, Martin believes that the post-brains agendas are radically different from any other era in human history.
"Although we can not fully understand how the exact functional brain map will bring changes, there is no doubt that it will change everything." By then, most of the neurological diseases are curable. Brain transplantation will also be very common. Genes and awareness will not only bring new markets for human self-improvement, but also bring smarter, more efficient humans, which in turn will produce greater ideas and innovations that will create more new technologies And new economic opportunities.
The body starts more like a machine
Several speakers, including Kuzwell and 迪曼蒂斯, said that humans are the only species that can extend their biological properties - and thousands of years ago we did that, using technology we can now move faster Travel, increase strength, hear people who are not hearing, and even people from another continent. What we're doing right now is to integrate this technology deeper into our biological properties, implanting it into the human body with the patient's own cells to grow in a transplantable organ or a transplantable machine to change or improve physical function Pacemakers, etc.).
With the further penetration of nanotechnology, micro-devices will become the common equipment for medical and daily life. In addition, we have come to understand that the body is more like a machine, which means that biology and genetics are the software that drives our body hardware. We see this in the lab with gene therapy, 3D printing organs, and stem cell therapy - this machine can be reprogrammed by re-encoding "software."
Having the ability to simulate all of the most complex body functions on a supercomputer means that we will soon be able to better repair damaged parts of the body, optimize parts of the body in question, and ultimately improve our condition and thinking through transplantation and other technologies . Church said: "In the future, machines will become more and more molecular." In other words, the integration of biocompatible materials, 3D printing, breakthroughs in stem cell technology and genetics will lead to new machines that are not smartphones and appear to be more Like living things. If the semi-mechanical properties of this biotechnology in the future make you feel uncomfortable, you have no choice but to accept. Church said: "Compared with the past, we have made great progress, we must learn to adapt to these changes."
Cloud brain
Kurzweil said brain transplants will become very common, but it will not only enhance brain function, it will be the ability to open the cloud.
Just as we tap the screen on our smartphones for network information or retrieve phone numbers from mail, our brains will be able to access the information gathered in the cloud for exponential growth in the coming decades. Kurzweil said that the number of neural cell populations and neural networks in the neocortex is limited, that is, the amount of information stored and retrieved in the brain is limited. But when connected directly to the cloud, in theory, our brains have unlimited information and unlimited processing power.
Kurzweil said technology will essentially extend the brain's new cortex indefinitely.
2045: Eternal life becomes reality
In the foreseeable future, science and technology will greatly extend people's life expectancy.
Over the past 200 years, the average life expectancy in developed countries has doubled. With the improvement of medical technologies and technology to improve the quality of life, we will be able to extend human life faster. Kurzweil said at some point in the forthcoming we will be able to cross a critical point so that life expectancy per person can be extended by one year each year.
Kurzweil said: "From now on for 10 to 20 years, this technology will be by leaps and bounds, perhaps less than 15 years, we can reach that critical point, then as technology advances, we extend the life expectancy Will exceed the time that has passed, and at some point in the next 10 to 20 years there will be a dramatic shift in health and medicine. "
Of course, extending life expectancy does not stop death. In fact, given the lack of resources, this will increase the suffering and disease. However, in Ezkow's discussion of eternal life-he discusses digital immortality, in which the brain either survives in a machine or uploads to a computer chip-he refers to the nerves that have emerged in the past decade Systems Science and Brain Machine Interface made a major breakthrough. Prosthetic limbs that respond to brain signals were episodes of science fiction 10 years ago, but at 2045, the audience saw a practically usable mind-control prosthesis in motion. Also, what sounds ridiculous in 2013 will look very reasonable in 2023 and even very prevalent in 2033.
Ytskov believes that by then, the immortality industry will grow well to ensure that the end of a person's physiological life does not necessarily mean the end of a conscious life. He said that eternal life will be everywhere, not just the privilege of the rich. Kuznets talked about the phone. He pointed out that mobile phone technology is 1,000 times cheaper in 10 years, and now handsets are popularized to a handset. However, in the early days of mobile phone development, only the rich had mobile phones, the technology was not advanced, the functions of the mobile phones were limited, and not yet very useful.
Kuzvill jokingly said: "Only rich people have the money to use immature technologies." When life extends and "immortalized" technologies mature enough to become mainstream, costs fall to the public's acceptance.
Technology rulers upstart
From a socio-economic point of view, not everything is equal in the future of the expansion of biotechnology. Martin said: "The technology around us is endless, and those who know the best technology will become social elites." This does not seem to be the same with today's device culture, where it is socially and / or economically Symbol of status. But just like the iPhone is just a product, while the body and brain are much more than accessories or decorations. The power of cognitive enhancement has far greater advantages than the higher resolution of a smartphone screen.
Martin said the technology ruler will become a new aristocracy. Those who have the best technology, not the most material, or both, will become the new elite in society.
About Fortune 500 ...
In response to a question, Dr. DeMerndisse said: "After 50 years, half of the Fortune 500 companies will disappear." Although this is not a scientific figure, it is still the case anyway Correct: Things that were very popular in the last century are not necessarily popular in this century.
It seems fair to anyone, but it's no coincidence that you can see the list of the most successful and successful companies in the world. This does not mean that we are in an era of constant bankruptcy of enterprises, but the decline of the old model or of the old industry in the new era. In the new period, great advances in technology have rapidly changed society, consumers and the economy.
Diamandis said this does not mean that the business does not matter. In fact, businesses play an absolutely crucial role. "The pace of change and innovation is so fast that no one government can handle it right now." Flexible businesses and institutions that are free to explore new technologies will not only be the most successful for decades to come, Undertake the responsibility which the government can not undertake: Shape the world in the 21st century.