When the regulation policy exits the controversy

Securities Times reporter Yangli yesterday, "The new deal under the real estate marketing Road," a large forum held in Shenzhen, on the real estate control policy when the issue of the withdrawal of the topic in the forum sparked controversy. Han Xiuyun, a leading domestic economist and professor of Tsinghua University, believes that the future of real estate regulation continues to increase pressure.　　She said there are three factors determining the future real estate regulation policy: First, it depends on the international trend, especially on the impact of the European debt crisis on China's macro-policy; second, it depends on the pressure-bearing capacity of China's commercial banks; third, because the value of real estate investment and preservation will exist for a long time Shi Lian Real Estate chairman Chen Jinsong that, when the protection of housing bulk launch, is the control of the withdrawal of the policy, the real estate developers and the government game "weight" is insufficient. Chen Jinsong said that the current property developers dare to "challenge" the government, there are two reasons: first, the housing companies believe that real estate is the largest domestic demand, "to curb house prices is to curb domestic demand"; Real estate can drive more than 60 industries, "crackdown on the real estate industry is to suppress employment"; second, the housing companies think kidnapping the bank. The ability of banks to bear pressure, the local debt crisis may cause the central government to relax the property control policy. But in fact, these two "weights" are questionable. First of all, the country is now building a large number of affordable housing, to ensure that the expansion of domestic demand and promote employment and commercial housing is almost the same. And because of the high vacancy rate of commercial housing, in the relevant industry-driven, to far stronger than commercial housing. Second, past historical experience has proved that the property market regulation caused by check-out, broken supply and other risks than the imagination of much smaller. There is a great deal of uncertainty about what the central government might do with the local debt problem.