Whether the restriction order can serve as a fever medicine

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Fever medicine
CFP for the map of many real estate transactions shivers from the latest market reaction, "limit purchase order" Suddenly killed, turnover significantly cooling, a lot of market second-hand housing transactions halved.  Industry experts said that the effect of restrictions on the purchase will be immediate, the decline in turnover is a certainty, but prices are still difficult to fall. A lot of people worry, because the restriction is a very period of regulation policy, once there is loosening, house prices will appear a more large wave of retaliatory rise.  Wen/table reporter Zhang Zhonghan following the introduction of the limited purchase order in Beijing at the end of April, the national day, including Shenzhen, Xiamen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Fuzhou, Hangzhou and other cities have issued a different degree of "Limit purchase order", once again to the market demand for containment.  Second-hand building listing surge in the new round of property control, the local governments without exception to take out the "limit purchase" of the token, which let the previous boom in the second-hand housing market was badly hit. On the eve of the national day, Shenzhen burst commercial housing limited purchase New deal. Industry insiders said that there will be more than 3,000 sets of second-hand housing transactions into the "uncompleted" transaction, home buyers cash emotional reproduction.  The latest data also show that the "Golden Week" after the Shenzhen-owned property market Average daily turnover than the Golden Week period of more than 70%, second-hand turnover also appeared at least 50% of the sharp decline. The National day has just ended, Shanghai has launched the commercial Housing limited purchase, has caused the second-hand market strong earthquake.  New Deal announced just the third day, online real estate data show, second-hand housing listing has broken 140,000 sets, let just thaw second-hand property market suddenly become "mire". City High-profile "Limit purchase", the market response is still the fastest second-hand housing market.  such as Hangzhou in the introduction of the "Limit purchase order", the intermediary revealed in recent days second-hand housing transactions fell back nearly half. The number of transactions in the first floor of many cities in the first-hand market, according to the Sino-House letter data, October 2010 4 ~ 10th, most of the city market turnover fell, the top ten City turnover index fell 17.22 points, of which, Nanjing decline reached 46.49%  The two ten typical city transactions index fell 25.97 points, of which Fuzhou declined 41.63%. In addition, the Chinese Index research monitoring data also shows that last week, the volume of property transactions in the general decline in 35 cities, 28 cities in the property market fell on the chain, the Haikou chain down 75%.  In key cities, both Beijing and Shenzhen fell more than 40% per cent. "Last week could be a turning point in turnover again," said Yang Hongxu, general Minister of the Shanghai Institute of Yi Ju. "He believes that in this trend, many cities in the fourth quarter of volume will decline in the third quarter." "But even if turnover continues to slide, turnover in most of the one or two-line cities is unlikely to be lower than in May." "Does the forecast limit purchase order or the difficulty let the big price drop limit purchase order to be able to stabilize the house price?" Most experts give a negative answer: turnover inflection point, but house prices are not a big drop.  Some buyers said that the government "only blocked" regulation is difficult to really let house prices stable. Yang Hongxu points out that stabilizing house prices is an important goal of real estate regulation in recent years, but he argues that prices are hard to restrain as long as land prices do not fall. "I personally feel no possibility of descending. "Jingwei Real Estate Consulting director Zhu Jian said. He analyzed that from the developer's point of view, the main developers in 8 ~ September and early October, the sales performance is very good. "Without any financial pressure, the house can be sold slowly," he said.  "And according to their understanding of the developers, most of the housing companies still optimistic about the future." Although Guangzhou's "Limit purchase order" is still brewing, most people are not optimistic about the policy. Full House Red Research Department director Shoven Frankly, whether it is the kind of restrictions on the purchase, is to suppress demand. "In the future, if the policy is to loosen the market rally, it may have to follow."  Senior Real Estate marketing expert Xie Yifeng also said that the "Limit purchase order" may be just a fever in the property market "pain medicine", is not the real cooling of the "Fever Medicine."  Housing companies still "spendthrift" is noteworthy, under strict instructions, some developers take the land is still not soft, spendthrift. In the "new Five" issued, October 8, Youngor, China Real estate and Zhangjiangko three companies issued a notice, the total use of funds more than 5.7 billion yuan.  Reporters from Vanke and Poly Real Estate bulletin also found that the two major giants in recent looting is crazy. Li Shaoming, an analyst with CIC Securities, argues that a well-off financial environment will allow large developers to get more of the low-cost and high-quality resources. Vanke in the first three quarters of the cumulative sales revenue of 71.42 billion yuan, has exceeded 2009 year of 63.4 billion yuan.  Poly Real Estate sales last month 9.129 billion yuan, the first 9 months of income also as high as 41.396 billion yuan. The China Index Institute, the exclusive data show that this 1 ~ September, the domestic developers in 30 cities to spend 892.285 billion yuan to take the land. Li Shaoming also predicted that two times the regulation will let the land price has fallen, the big developers are now in the hands of "fodder" sufficient, the next six months is the giant developers to take the land a good time.
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