Who will step down in 2015?

Dan Lyons, who coined rage's fake jobs diary, the Secret Diary Steve Jobs, became editor of the Valleywag at the end of last year. At the beginning of the new Year, the recent popular forecast, so he also come to join in the fun. But his predictions are a bit poisonous-basically talking about who will step down.

Dick Costolo was kicked off by Twitter. This is so obvious that it is hardly a prediction. The orcs of Wall Street have been pounding off the ground for his departure. A few months ago, Businessweek quoted Twitter investors as a compliment. Critics say his performance as CEO is about the same as the level of crosstalk. But Lyons also points out that the problem is that he can't think of anyone who can do better. Twitter has fallen into the money hole and has made ends meet. Last quarter, Twitter revenue of 360 million dollars, but the loss reached 180 million U.S. dollars. Still, some shareholders have blasted Twitter for "lost track", not to squeeze advertising revenue from users. Who has magic to save huge losses?

Jack Dorsey from Square. Indeed, Lyons's questioning of Dorsey is even more acute. He said he didn't know how Dorsey had survived these years, not just in square:

Have you ever read the book Nick Bilton about Twitter? Did you know that there was a time when Jack Dorsey subconsciously imitated jobs in his clothes? It's a bit embarrassing for high school students, but what about an adult? And his obsession with Japanese culture, and then run for Governor of New York. And then on foot in Missouri. Square has been burning a lot of money for the past 5 years. Cooperation with Starbucks is a disaster. Dorsey was robbed. Square becomes a business plan and strategy just like Taylor Swift changed his boyfriend. Last summer, Dorsey bought Caviar, and now Square is going to become a food courier company. What the hell is this?

Mui left Yahoo. MUI has launched a crazy shopping spree in the past few years, trying to save Sunset's Yahoo, but with little success. Then the latest book to be published expose the evil employee ranking system she introduced. But Lyons thinks it's not her fault. Yahoo is Yahoo and will never be Google or Facebook. According to the Yahoo CEO every six months to 1 years to change the rules, MUI has been long enough to stay. A substitution may not save Yahoo, but at least it will give the price a boost. And MUI can spend time with children or engage in politics.

Box was acquired. Aaron Levie is a good man, but box doesn't pick up. Like Twitter, box is a money pit. 2014 box revenue was 125 million dollars, but the loss reached 170 million dollars. To tell you the truth, such a result is better than 2013. But this is the 10th year of box, 10 years have not made money, when can make money? Specific plans? Apparently box also plans to IPO. But even so, the box will eventually be acquired, and it has lost its meaning as an independent company.

Larry page will take a backseat. Page will be a non-executive role, and his position will be replaced by someone who has already taken over most of Google's business, and that person's name you may not remember (perhaps Sundar Pichai?). But it doesn't matter, because page likes it.

Uber will launch a mega-blockbuster IPO. Qiantu Unlimited growth of the amazing Uber is likely to become a link to all the physical network, will undoubtedly become the darling of investors. As Fred Wilson predicts, although Airbnb and Dropbox may also be on the market this year, Uber is the most sensational IPO this year.

Oculus Rift and Apple Watch are boring. This is Fred Wilson's view. But Lyons agrees-he doesn't think anyone wants to look at that stupid thing for hours. And Apple may sell a lot of watches to loyal fans. But the watch is not the iphone, too many restrictions, no way to do it.

Andy Rubin will release the new product. After the father of Android left Google, he began to pursue the dream of creating real robots. But he's been working undercover for the last 1 years and nobody knows what he's doing. But this is the person who created the danger and sold it to Microsoft, created Android and sold it to Google, regardless of what he did.

Hackers need to do big things. Things like Sony being hacked. It could also be a state-backed attack. The future form of warfare may be the computer against the computer.

There will be bloodshed. The exact time is hard to say, maybe this year, maybe next year, maybe it has happened. It is noteworthy that the number of IPOs in 2014 is much more than in any year since 2000-The bubble theory is also on the day, before the bubble burst. It's certainly not good to have a bunch of unprofitable companies rushing to the market. The argument for VCs who claim that there is no technology bubble is that crazy valuations are confined to private companies, but are the madness exposed when companies are listed?

And now the stock market has reached record highs, with Facebook earning a 72,twitter of $20 billion trillion in a huge loss but still worth 37 billion, and last September, Marc Andreessen talked about the market's shift, saying that some technology companies may be burning money too fast for the world to evaporate. A food courier company can get $220 million trillion in $2 billion worth of financing, and Snapchat can get a $20 billion worth of money without a penny earned. Lysons thinks these are too abnormal.

But that's just a prediction. Lysons's article begins with Google Ventures, Andreessen Horowitz, and Kleiner Perkins, the three top VC institutions to set up a joint glass collective joke. When they set up the Glass Foundation, they predicted that Google Glass would become a "potentially transformative technology", but after the hype, Google Glass now has a bleak outlook for developers losing confidence in consumers ' loss of interest. Lysons even took three VC heads to wear Google Glass photos as a caption-to see if they were smug. Even if these people are not allowed to predict, who else can predict? So Paul Graham has given up this senseless attempt, but is always sensitive to the wind.