Why does the flu hit the farm produce not "cold"?

Source: Internet
Author: User
⊙ Galaxy Futures Mamingwang Sun Yu influenza to hit the agricultural products why not "cold"? ⊙ Galaxy Futures Mamingwang Sun Yu at the end of April 2009, most varieties of agricultural products fell in the early stages of the outbreak of influenza in North America. And the mainland has confirmed cases, people's awareness of prevention significantly strengthened, the price pressure of agricultural products to upgrade? How much impact does the epidemic have on the domestic aquaculture industry?   With a series of questions, we investigate many large aquaculture enterprises and feed mills, or we can find the answer. First of all, it is certain that the emergence of the epidemic, indeed to the purchase and sale of both sides have psychological impact. But on April 27, after the adjustment of agricultural prices, the psychological pressure was clearly released. Soybean meal, corn and other varieties market demand and aquaculture situation is highly concerned.  According to the NDRC's statistics, May 15, the national average pork prices in 36 large and medium-sized cities fell 2.57 yuan/kg, or nearly 20%. A number of large farmers said, "now is mainly the supply and demand relationship to determine prices, demand is the main reason for the decline in the price of pigs, the situation has been formed before the flu has occurred." When this situation can be improved, it is generally accepted that pig farming is not expected this year, large-scale aquaculture is also better, retail investors are basically no profits or losses, while chicken and duck eggs slightly better.  Aquaculture benefits of the recession has always been the corn, soybean meal futures price trend of the main pressure, which does not seem to relate to the flu epidemic. Most of the Northeast feed factory and Southern aquaculture Enterprises, the view is more similar, that can not blame the poor breeding efficiency of the influenza epidemic, and even some feed enterprises are relatively good sales. There are also cautious people who believe that it is better to be careful not to rule out the possibility of a worsening epidemic. However, at this stage we do not need to be overly worried about the outbreak. Even if the late stage of agricultural futures prices again apparent decline, but also from the commodity and financial markets in the overall environment and fundamental changes to find the reason, single from the flu point of view is not accurate.  Taking corn as an example, the current market concern is still the trend of national policy. In summary, it is not difficult to find that the initial outbreak of the psychological shadow left to investors is gradually declining. According to historical experience, any sudden event, affect the price of the cycle is not too long.

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