Will the Internet industry have a practitioner crisis in 10 years?

I want to ask you a question: Are you a programmer? Do you have 10 years of experience? Have you ever done project management? Do you have any personal efficiency statistics? Do you have enough experience and data to support your point of view ... Your answer is basically a layman's blind BB, you know.

As we all know, software development management has a Biblical "man Moon Myth". He concludes: "Good programmers are more efficient than average programmers." We take Java for example, for the majority of 5 years in fact only to achieve the mainstream technical framework of proficiency, to become the architect level of other excellent programmers are still far. In the case of domestic bat front-line technicians, its core technical staff annual salary is only million, but its output efficiency than the annual salary 10-20w so-called "programmer" to be high do not know how many orders of magnitude, lower level of the backbone of a slightly less efficient, but cost-effectiveness is also far more than you say the so-called programmers are much higher. And its output causes fewer bugs, less business accidents and losses, low expansion costs, low maintenance costs ... So the myth of People's month says: Under possible conditions, try to use excellent programmers.

In previous projects, our statistical data showed that the same person, with high enthusiasm, was 6 times times less productive than the output when it was low, and that the ability of different people (with seniority) was 3-6 times greater than the output of poor ability. different seniority (ability also has a significant gap) the same attitude of positive and intelligent excellent output is not significantly different, but there is a significant difference in quality-quality difference is not good statistics, so I will not blind BB.

In addition, in the professional life cycle, we look at the development of IT industry for a long time abroad:, 50, 60 years old and over the number of farmers everywhere. Even in the mouth of a professional career counselor, the development industry is an industry that can be used for quite a long time.

Domestic may because the idea of official standard is long, also may be the development industry demand is too exuberant, pay high, academics infiltrated a lot of loafers. Half a bottle of water dissatisfaction, the bottom of the bottle still sloshing. Do not do things carefully, level and low, do not have a little respect for their own work and love, the mind does not strive to upgrade the technical business level, all day pondering opportunistic; said that development is too tired, really learn not to move, as a career change to do management command others comfortable, heart smooth; MB You do not see the sales of hard and sad) ... Anyway, it's better to do anything than to develop ...

What the youth rice theory, the study does not move the theory, the future bleak theory ... In fact, just some loafers not willing to face their lazy, weak interface.