Economic Recovery

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Consistent forecast: February exports year-on-year growth of 28.7%

by Bao Zhe March 7, "The Vision Cup China macroeconomic February consensus forecast", released by the Securities Market weekly by Sina Financial Exclusive network, shows that the average annual GDP growth rate of February is 28.7%, which is slower than the real value of January.  According to the survey, the annual GDP growth rate of February was 55.7%, the minimum value was 5%, and the expected median value was 27.7%.  Brokerage analysts generally said that the Spring Festival shutdown is one of the reasons for the year-on-year slowdown in exports in February. Macro-source securities (000562.SZ) ...

Easy monetary policy will not waver fine-tuning is only suggested

Despite the existence of inflationary expectations, there is no realistic inflationary pressure, and the adjustment of monetary policy is bound to affect the further development of the whole macro-economy. In an interview with the Securities Daily yesterday, the financial regulator said he had heard nothing about the possible fine-tuning of monetary policy.  Although the market has increased inflation expectations for the second half of the year, the fundamentals of economic recovery are not yet strong; Yesterday, media reported that some experts and scholars to the high-level proposal "should be kept monetary policy overall wide ...

Media focus on Sino-US trade frictions

Sino-US trade frictions are becoming more and more frequent, which has become the focus of media attention.  Hong Kong media believe that the Obama administration's frequent pressure on China over trade issues is in fact seeking more leverage to make the US more profitable in the game of acknowledging China's market economy status. An article in the Hong Kong Economic Daily said November 7 that it is a problem for Mr Obama to expect China to demand recognition of China's market economy status during Mr Obama's visit.  As a result, the United States is now expanding Sino-US trade disputes, aimed at bargaining chips. Hong Kong Oriental Daily also believes that China should ...

Institutions forecast June data to be good macro policy orientation will not change

A number of institutions forecast June economic data, economic stability, macro policy orientation will not change clearly, moderate inflation expectations can stimulate consumption the latest economic data will be released this week. In this respect, a number of institutions have predicted that macroeconomic data will validate the economic recovery expectations.  While it is thought that the government may soon end the stage of large-scale economic stimulus, UBS Securities also said that given the continued weakness of exports and the global economic outlook, policymakers are not expected to significantly change their macro-policy orientations. For the forthcoming economic data, the CICC Institute expects the second quarter of 2009 ...

Hong Kong stocks are down 2.13% after a weak rebound

Hong Kong stocks fell back this week, with the confidence of a return to the capital and a rebound in the external economic recovery, the two-month-old attack on the top of the rally in the past 10 months is still losing momentum due to subsequent weakness, ending with a 396.86-point or 2.13%-week low of 18203.4.  State-owned enterprises also suffered profits-and-spit pressure this week, failing to rewrite a 10-month high that hit a month earlier, and ended up falling 53.37 or 0.48% a week for 10983.77. Great Fortune Securities believe that the market will continue to run rampant, and the Hang Seng index in the short term or will be hovering at 18000-19000 points. Expected market ...

Hang Seng Index High correction all week spit 5.13%

The U.S. economic recovery is too optimistic, coupled with the spread of flu, triggering investors profit back to vomit nerves. Hong Kong stocks this week's high correction, the company's index fell four consecutive trading days after the fall of 5th, 10th and 20th after a slight rebound in Friday, but the whole week still fell back 968.75 points or 5.13%, 17920.93 points; From the technical side, the 5th EMA and the 10th EMA have been formed to see the empty dead fork, and the index has been running for two consecutive days under the 20th EMA, technical surface does not support to see more. But industrial and commercial East Asia still bullish, the index after the recent fall adjustment ...

China is once again the focus of Davos forum

How to establish a new global economic order and rule of economic governance in the new situation this newspaper Brussels January 26 (reporter Sun Tianren) The 41st session of the World Economic Forum 26th opened in Davos, Switzerland. The theme of this annual meeting is "common principles under the new situation", more than 2,500 elites from more than 100 countries and regions around the world will discuss the four topics of "coping with the new situation", "economic prospects and formulating inclusive growth policies", "supporting the group of 20 action Plan" and "establishing a global risk response mechanism". Explore how to establish the global new economy under the current situation ...

Bank-Enterprise Tripartite game syndicated loan quickly leapt red

Luojingjing China Accounting report 07-10 00:00:00 Syndicated loans have recently "jumped red." Recently, 10 banks in Beijing signed the largest syndicated loan agreement by China's banking industry to date, with a total of $176.2 billion trillion in 18 project loans signed.  The syndicated loan accumulated by the Bank of China Banking Association, which has been formed and is being organized, is over 1 trillion yuan.  It is obvious that syndicated loan is the choice of the government, the bank and the enterprise to win the game in the current economic environment. Let the crisis pass quickly ...

The world economy is expected to grow by 2.7% this year and 3.2% next year.

The World Bank is expected to grow 2 this year, according to a report released by the world Banking 20th. 7% is expected to grow by 3 next year.  2%, but the world economic recovery remains fragile and there is a chance of another recession. Xinhua News: The World Bank reported 20th that the U.S. economy is expected to grow by 2 per cent in the next two years. 5% and 2. 7%, China's economy will continue to grow at 9% in the next two years.

The big item is still the sleeping lion, the tertiary industry prop up Guangdong half Sky

Guangdong GDP in the first half of the country with the same 7.1%, but in contrast to one or 22 quarters, Guangdong GDP growth rate of 2.5% per cent, significantly higher than the national 1.8% growth, Guangdong overall economic positive situation first.  From the industrial structure, in the first half, Guangdong one or two, three industries increased value of 4%, 4.5% and 11% respectively; the contribution rate of the three industries added to the Guangdong G DP was changed from the 1.1:62.1:36.8 of the previous year to the 2.3:34:63.7. "The positive factors in Guangdong's economic recovery have emerged, but uncertainties remain." Push ...

Investment Watch: Capital flow indicators still benefit the stock market

The group Benefits Securities (Hong Kong) Research Department, Dongzeng, was driven by a big rise in U.S. stocks in Monday as a result of higher financial-banking stocks, with the index rebounding 3.66% from 17,186, with only a $51 billion deal in the market, reflecting a lack of active investment. The enthusiasm for the current market for economic recovery is clearly receding, due to the recent economic data released by the United States, the main reason for this is that the economic trend is not as optimistic as the market expected, especially as consumers ' confidence and the unemployment rate is not good, increasing investors ' worries about the contraction of US consumer activities in the second half of the year This can be remitted from the dollar ...

The three big plots behind the billions of Super Kings

By the "East Real estate" columnist Hongwei recent domestic new push plots, Guangzhou Asia Yuncheng Project, covers an area of 2,639,520 square meters, the price of 16.5 billion yuan, so generous, is the deputy real Chinese king. Shanghai "Waitan International Financial Services Center" (8-1 plots), the total land area of 5.7 hectares, also marked 10 billion of the low price.  If the Asian Yuncheng premium rate is not high, then 8-1 plots may become China's new king. Both of the future Chinese Kings are in 2009 at the end of the housing enterprises listed financing and "enclosure movement" interaction, high-end residential and luxury market investment active ...

Who is farther from the valuation ceiling

-Banguo, director of the Institute of Dongxing Securities, the first half of the market is mainly valuation-driven. Historically, valuation-driven gains of more than 50% per cent in the rebound cycle usually mean entering the pressure zone, while the bull cycle can reach more than 200%. According to the industry valuation stress test, only 11 of the 54 two-tier sub-industries are still under the ceiling.      Therefore, the second half of the market's momentum is first from the process of filling in valuation depressions, followed by a new contribution to performance growth, so the valuation pressure will continue to be reflected. feature of the solo dance since 1644 O ' time ...

Director of Economic Research Institute of Cass: China's economy recovers fully next year

China News agency, Beijing, June 20 (reporter Liu Yuying) in early June, China's statistics department released the May economic data, the topic of when China's economic recovery is still a matter of opinion, the Academy of Social Sciences Scholars said the Chinese economy will fully recover next year, and enter a new round of economic cycle. Shucheng, director of the Institute of Economic Research at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the China economic growth and cycle forum that from the perspective of coping with the financial crisis, from July 2008 to the first quarter of this year, it was a period of rapid decline. The second phase of the stabilisation of the recovery stage, this phase from the two quarter of this year, continued to the end of this year, ...

The resurgence of international hot money is leading to the stock market

In the last three months, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose from its low 11,344 point to its highest 19,161 point, up 68%. Although the inflation of the index has the factor of economic recovery, the real driving force behind it is the ample liquidity that international hot money brings to the Hong Kong market. Meanwhile, China's foreign exchange reserves were unexplained in March this year: foreign-exchange reserves rose by as much as $14.7 billion trillion. Does this mean that the international hot money leaving the mainland market in the second half of last year has returned to the mainland market?  In this connection, the securities Times reporter recently interviewed a number of experts. Capital flow reversal point to ...

Hong Kong exports or the worst recovery in 55 years depends on the mainland

Shu Shi The financial crisis affected Hong Kong's economy to reproduce the weak signal.  The Hong Kong Trade Development Council ("HKTDC") yesterday announced in its report on the medium-term outlook for exports in Hong Kong, which was just completed in the context of the global economic downturn, in view of the lower than expected global trade performance, the forecast for this year's export growth in Hong Kong was reduced from an earlier estimate of 6% per cent to 10%~12%. Lianghai, chief economist of Hktdc, said this would be the worst year for Hong Kong exports since 1954. Although there are indications that overseas buyers have resumed their purchases, a small order to replenish the inventory ...

Term option essay: Pay attention to afternoon stock performance

South China's financial Pan Yuqi stocks fell for the second consecutive day, with investors worried that the pace of economic recovery was not satisfactory.  The Dow closed at 8,505 points, down 107 or 1.25%, and the S & P 500 fell 1.27% and reported 912, with a 1.11%-point downgrade. July oil closed at $70.47 a barrel, down 0.15 dollars.  The August gold closed at $932.2 per ounce, up 4.7 dollars. Hong Kong stocks have been repeatedly frustrated after the lower opening of the day, and the afternoon decline narrowed, with the index weighing 18000 on the closing. Hang Seng Index 18166, down 333 points or 1 ...

HA: Short-term monetary policy turned unrealistic

Wang bin Xiaofi July hot weather Unusual, can and this summer temperature match, is the current constantly exceeding people's expectations of the heat of credit data.  The credit data for June, recently released, reached 1.53 trillion trillion yuan, exceeding the market's expected highest value. Recently, in Hangzhou, the first financial daily and Huaan Fund jointly held the "International Vision of Chinese wisdom," Hua an Rui Zhi salon, the chief economist of CICC, Dr Ha, in an interview with CBN reporters that the credit data is high, but the policy in the short-term direction of adjustment is not realistic. "We still maintain this ...

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