It is particularly difficult to predict whether Windows 7 can be successful, because on the one hand, Windows 7 and Vista may be more dazzling than Windows XP, but the real breakthrough is not fully presented yet, after all, the operating system is not fashionable. On the other hand, many people have been using XP for a long time, especially in China. If there is a budget, the new one can at least get support from Microsoft, especially from OEM manufacturers.
Fortunately, it is easier to predict the fate of the Windows operating system brand after Windows 7-Microsoft will not, or should not have a PC operating system like Windows!
Windows is entangled in Microsoft's legs.
The success of DOS-Windows is the success of the product and the success of the business model. PC's overwhelming victory over Apple's Mac stems from IBM's "selfless" openness to PC technology, microsoft and Intel used the software and hardware underlying products originally provided for this open system to successfully convert the IBMPC compatible system to the Wintel Standard Architecture, thus forming their exclusive closed territory in the PC era. Microsoft draws on the graphic interface technology and provides users with a new PC application experience through Windows2 and Windows3. After that, Microsoft made every effort to launch windows 95 to gradually cultivate user operation habits, and at least technically at that time) eliminate the possibility of applying the Microsoft graphic interface to other operating system products. With its powerful marketing, Windows 95 has achieved great success and officially started the Windows era. This is an era in which all the actions that challenge the Windows rule have been devastating by Microsoft. This ability to combat competitors proves the success of Microsoft's business model from one aspect, on the other hand, the power of anti-Windows began to assemble.
Windows was knocked down by Microsoft itself
Operating habits and a large number of Windows applications can lock most Windows users. Microsoft is the only one who can really knock Windows down, while the power outside of PC has played a major role.
Over the past decade, more and more external devices have been connected to the PC. Therefore, the management objects and content of Windows have been expanding, and the size and Running Resources of Windows have become larger and larger. However, another key operating system function for users-human-computer interaction methods, including file management and usage methods, has not changed much. Windows 7 has made some improvements in this regard, but it is far from enough.
Windows is designed to be used on every PC. It is clearly given the "All-in-One" positioning during development. Its business model determines that maintaining and strengthening users' inherent operating habits and controlling all the devices and applications that may be used are the logical foundation for Microsoft to develop Windows. Bringing better user experience to users is an adventure against this business logic. Because no one in the PC operating system field can shake the status of Windows, why should Microsoft take the risk ?!
If we extend our line of sight from the PC to the mobile terminal field, we can see that another force is coming to Windows. Apple, once defeated by PC in the personal computer field, has renewed its youth in the user's portable device field, including the mobile terminal market. In this field, Windows is still adhering to the habits and Applications of porting PC to win the user's business logic, and is unaware of the increasingly approaching threats. This may be due to confidence in Windows, or ignorance and arrogance, just as most PC-leading vendors initially face netbooks.
PCs are not stored, and Windows will be included
More than 20 years ago, IBM had created the PC industry and made the Wintel alliance brilliant. But today, when PC is around, interactive terminals will eventually replace transaction computing terminals, and Windows stands for PC operating systems that will be retired without transformation.
Industrial Integration has changed from concepts and trends to the ongoing history, and product integration has begun. More and more products are emerging between PCs, mobile phones, and home appliances. Netbooks are just the tip of this change, but they have been seen on Google Android. According to the development cycle of the Microsoft operating system, CCID expects that when the next-generation Microsoft terminal operating system is available, the terminal will gradually evolve into three categories: one is portable terminal and the other is desktop terminal, third, an automatic response terminal. No matter which terminal is used to drive various types of external devices, they are interfaces for interaction between people, machines, and machines in a network of different sizes, therefore, the internal structure of such a terminal will be more concise and there is no need for a large PC operating system like Windows.
In the longer run, virtualization technology will enable the terminal's running environment to be created on the server. Users can run various applications on terminals without operating systems, whether in the company, at home, or even outdoors. Cloud computing or other Remote Computing modes) will allocate a large number of computing tasks to the remote end. After the terminal starts the self-check, the job is not to load the operating system but to apply for resources online. When personal applications do not need to run locally on the PC, Microsoft's hard-working Windows locks the user's cofferdam will eventually become a line of defense. Users' habits of Windows operations will also be replaced by the open Internet Application Operation habits. A large number of Windows applications will gradually be replaced by services rooted in the Internet. New terminals can be easily used by users no longer relying on Windows, and the once domineering business model of Windows will end in this era.
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