Topic One
Scenario One:
In cases where you are not seen by your opponent, choose Alpha or Beta, and we will give your results as follows:
If you choose α and your opponent chooses Beta, then you score +3 and your opponent scores-1
If you all choose Alpha, then your score is +0.
If you choose Beta and your opponent chooses α, then you score-1 and your opponent scores +3
If you all choose Beta, your score is +1.
|
Alpha |
Beta |
Alpha |
0,0 |
+3,-1 |
Beta |
-1,3 |
+1,+1 |
In this case, whatever my opponent chooses, the result of my choice of alpha is always optimal.
Scenario Two:
In cases where you are not seen by your opponent, choose Alpha or Beta, and we will give your results as follows:
If you choose α and your opponent chooses Beta, then you score-1 and your opponent scores-3
If you all choose Alpha, then your score is +0.
If you choose Beta and your opponent chooses α, then you score-3 and your opponent scores-1
If you all choose Beta, your score is +1.
|
Alpha |
Beta |
Alpha |
0,0 |
-1,-3 |
Beta |
-3,-1 |
+1,+1 |
In this case, when the opponent selected α, I chose α better, when the opponent to choose Beta, I choose a better beta. -- Concord fallacy (coordination problem)
Scenario Three:
In cases where you are not seen by your opponent, choose Alpha or Beta, and we will give your results as follows:
If you choose α and your opponent chooses Beta, then you score +3 and your opponent scores-3
If you all choose Alpha, then your score is +0.
If you choose Beta and your opponent chooses α, then you score-1 and your opponent scores-1
If you all choose Beta, your score is +1.
|
Alpha |
Beta |
Alpha |
0,0 |
+3,-3 |
Beta |
-1,-1 |
+1,+1 |
In this case, whatever my opponent chooses, the result of my choice of alpha is always optimal. (Same scenario I)
Scenario Four:
In cases where you are not seen by your opponent, choose Alpha or Beta, and we will give your results as follows:
If you choose α and your opponent chooses Beta, then you score-1 and your opponent scores-1
If you all choose Alpha, then your score is +0.
If you choose Beta and your opponent chooses α, then you score-3 and your opponent scores +3
If you all choose Beta, your score is +1.
|
Alpha |
Beta |
Alpha |
0,0 |
-1,-1 |
Beta |
-3,3 |
+1,+1 |
In this case α is the opponent's advantage strategy, so the opponent will choose α, in the case of the opponent is determined to choose α, I choose α less loss, so I will choose α.
Summarize
Four Entry conclusions:
(1) Do not choose a disadvantage strategy
(2) Rational choice leads to suboptimal results
(3) Learn to think in different positions
(4) If you want it, you must seek it first.
The book recommended by the teacher
Dutta "strategy and Game" Dutta ' s book:strategy and games
Chor Wall "strategy" Joel Watson ' s book:strategies
"Strategic thought" thinking strategically
Topic Two
The whole class chooses a number between 1 and 100, and whoever chooses the number closer to the average of two-thirds does not tell anyone, who wins. What's the number you chose?
Game Theory Study notes (i) four entry conclusions