OP Trend System

Source: Internet
Author: User

After more than 3 years of groping, experienced a bear market bull's experience, and finally completed the long-held OP trend system practice, next, I will be in the post-disaster, every day to share the OP trend system signal, can be very responsible, after 10 years of historical data testing, plus 3 years of real plate, More determined my confidence in this OP trend system, we only need to wait, wait for the next market, just like e big, waiting for value return, after the discount, we are waiting for the OP trend system signal, firm implementation, gorgeous Li completed the next wealth accumulation.

———————————— Signal Chapter ————————————
OP trend System, from the stock to the index ETF, it is the symbol of maturity, it will be disclosed this signal, is a brother recommended stock community (Weibo), its often recommended fish basin model, observe a period of time, found that our signal is similar, there is a strong mutual learning reference place, And so I absorbed more knowledge of the peers, I will further improve the OP trend system, here also hope that more partners to give me more guidance, thank you.

The daily signal is explained as follows:
Go to Yes, that day close price to buy
Continue yes and continue to hold
Transfer to No, that day close sell
Continue no, keep waiting

From 2010 to enter the market, stumbled across a variety of investment in the door, I took advantage of their advantage----program ape, play the turtle trading system, because I like the king of the Sea Thief animation, so up a op name, a dream and partner comics, recommend to everyone, I hope we can in the road of investment, Find like-minded partners and realize your dreams.

OP since is the trend system, of course, the winning rate is not high, probably 40%---45%, because the trend system above 50% is generally non-existent, in addition to over-fitting or using a very strong filter factor, which means that such a system may no longer meet the corresponding market or empty position for a long time, anyway by adjusting various system factors, A variety of historical backtesting and real disk testing, I finally adopted a simple principle, simple to me with classmates recommended time, no one will believe OP can make money, common sense everyone understand, but not necessarily can execute, this is the charm of the trend system, even though I have been publicly sharing system signals, but there will never be more than 3% People will be long-term tracking and implementation, a strong heart and strong self-discipline is the market unbeaten myth, the other is only means.


OP winning is not high, but the odds are about 2-3 times, the volatility of course higher odds, such as Gem ETF,500ETF. Because long-term expectations are positive, so you can not miss any opportunity, there are many people say that bear market Monkey City should rest, but know what is a bull market, I still need this system? The reason why did not join the stronger filter signal, because I still need to stay in this market, as far as possible to participate in each market change signal, how to go is the market thing, we only need to execute! Perform! Perform! The important thing to say three times.

Finally, I will suggest about each position, because the position management is the system to avoid the risk of the biggest weapon, money is not enough, but can lose the end.


———————————— principle ————————————
The OP system will give a certain threshold value, if above this value, the buy signal appears, because the historical backtesting is to close as the benchmark, so I usually start buying at 14:55, of course, the collective bidding is not a problem, but generally the best commissioned high point, to avoid the purchase, even if the loss is known to execute, this is the law of Iron, And no one knows if every trade is going to be a loss, so it is necessary to execute each signal. If you notice that the OP system has a value, you should pay attention to it, then you just have to look at the relevant ETF 14:50 every day to see if it is close or over, and if it matches the scene, I should be there, ready to play, good luck~

ETFs are divided into several categories:
SSE: $50ETF (SH510050) $, $300ETF (SH510300) $ (Here you can follow 300ETF)
Deep Certificate: $ deep 100ETF (SZ159901) $, $ deep into ETF (SZ159903) $
SME board: $ SME Board (SZ159902) $
Chinese certificate 500:$500ETF (SH510500) $
GEM: $ Business Board (SZ159915) $
Medicine: $ medical ETF (SZ159929) $
Why trade ETFs instead of stocks? The first advantage is that there is no stamp duty, the trade is the same as the stock bid, the second advantage is that the number of stops is very small, basically no word up and down, we can trade in extreme cases, even if it is a stock disaster. A stock fluctuation, but often a word limit buy, or a word fall stop sell, will distort the entire real profit, the impact is quite huge, I met a word limit, can only silently accept, and then find the ETF these standard to replace, is also good.

In addition to the medical ETF volume is small, the other should be able to meet millions of of the transaction, the last few minutes, these ETFs can be satisfied, if the medicine needs a large amount, you can purchase a medical grading fund, but to face the fold down, need special attention.

Trading frequency is not high, each ETF about 5-10 times, the market will be higher, in fact, you do not have to worry about not trading, a year you have 30%+ time in the markets, in fact, can meet the needs of ordinary people's trading.
The principle of sharing this, please do not ask me whether I can open source, or how the principle of the algorithm, the first I do not sell models, the second I do not open source, the third person should find the right system, and perseverance, continuous improvement, the accumulation of wealth is slow, such as the stock disaster gave me a very good inspiration, and now I have started , oscillating mean reversion system test, where we can talk about model building, new algorithms, How to backtesting, C + + or Python, how to persist, how to improve, welcome to shoot bricks, especially turtle trading fans.

———————————— Position Management Chapter ————————————
Op in addition to the K-line factor and ATR position management, I took about a year to decide to expand the extent of the ATR, in order to deal with the long-running shock market, reduce unnecessary stop loss, each trade as long as possible to maintain more than 10 days, unless the signal appears to fall sharply, otherwise it will give a certain amount of time, waiting for the Of course, if the market has not been washed out, I also have anti-shock strategy to leave.

Here to introduce the R value, that is, each time I stop the value, this value with the principal changes, the profit is added to the loss of the reduction, about the R value, recommend you look at the "Road to Wealth Freedom", the OP system is actually evolved from here.

For example, my stop value is s, so position P = r/s, increase S, you can reduce p. Through practice, a a-share concussion is larger, so I improved the S, but by adding more types of ETFs, the signal richer, the system more robust, anti-pressure capability is improved, system volatility is smaller.

The stock disaster even more let me understand the importance of position management, the whole position of a ticket is the gambler behavior, Black swan everywhere, a large drawdown is the enemy of compound interest, only the control position, strict execution, to step a stage, position control let us in the next as long as 2 index structure of the market, we are in position, The only thing we have to do is keep on honing, constantly improve the system, and so on.


———————————— historical backtesting and real disk test ————————————
The trend system can only tell us what to do, and cannot predict the trend, but can be based on the direction of the signal, unpredictable, strong execution, because no one knows where to go next, we just need to according to the power of the trend, cut losses, let profit run. It makes no sense to use the OP system for a short time to make a big profit. You can see the following historical backtesting data:




OP Trend System ran the whole A shares, the difference between the profit and loss is very large, 2012-2013 mainly to do stocks, because a stock one word limit, a few consecutive, even if there is no signal is useless, resulting in a huge potential loss, the trend system is relying on big profits to subsidize small losses, so that the historical big profits missed, and then good stock to throw Can't buy, but eggs. In order to solve this problem, the study of a variety of votes, and then found that the ETF more stable, better liquidity, in fact, liquidity is the trend system of the life of the door, the signal to be executed, just a good system.

———————————— the end of this article ————————————
In the end, you may feel that I share this system signal openly, which in the end leads to a weakened or ineffective signal. This is absolutely assured that the first can have a lot of money to track the system, to play a big question mark, after all, not their development, they also do not have much practical experience, alone with my diagram above, the persuasion will take a long time to prove. Second, once the trend is formed, the amount of capital absorbed is exaggerated, and the more people who enter, the greater the power. The third want to operate my critical value, can only control the index, this is what the main national team what big Zhuang, I do not worry about this, why for me these several coins spend tens of billions of dollars. Finally, the trend system in the wind, the implementation is very cool, but the other time is basically anti-human, can have 3% of people long-term adherence and improve their system of people, should not be counted, each system has its suitable market, the only thing we need to do is quietly waiting for our market arrival, other times, Fasten your seat belts, please.

Finally remind everyone a sentence, do not take this system as a reverse standard, because I have not done back to test short, mainly because the short is really dangerous, the channel is very small, but also may alarm GA, the outweigh, of course, if you have a short system, we can discuss, after all, the capital market will usher in the short moment, A system to maturity, in addition to the need for rigorous historical backtesting, 3 years of solid experience is essential, hope that friends can find their own holy Grail, on financial freedom.

OP Trend System

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