Experts predict price consolidation next year will be the main tone

For the real estate deal, the industry believes that the government has repeatedly stressed "maintain policy continuity and stability", short-term real estate policy difficult to change.　　As the housing supply plan from the original 2011 years to resolve 7.47 million households to resolve 15.4 million households in 2012, some experts predict that next year's first-tier city housing prices will be the main tone, but the probability of decline will be greater than the rise. Yang Hongxu, General Research Minister of Shanghai Institute of Real Estate, said that public rental housing construction will be next year's play, in this regard should be a document issued. Beijing Yang Shaofeng, general manager of the Quartet Real Estate Brokerage Co., Ltd. predicted that next year's policy will be "before loose," and determine the real estate business survival status of the most direct factor is next year's monetary policy.　　In the case of liquidity is very well-off, real estate enterprises will be relatively well-off, developers to reduce the possibility of low prices. The executive meeting of the State Council made clear that "continue to comprehensively use land, finance, tax and other means". In this regard, the industry believes that the policy will first release ordinary commercial housing land supply, and modify the relevant land transfer methods, Volume land market "stable land price."　　As for financial and tax means, as soon as the real estate market preferential policies continue, the probability of a big change is lower. Yang Hongxu Forecast, next year two sets of mortgage policy must also tighten; for large-class, high-grade property tax may be accelerated to launch, most likely in some cities pilot real turn; the policy of foreign purchases may be tightened again, "171th", and the tax on resale of housing may be strictly levied. The State Council's statement on strengthening market supervision means that the real estate market has been breaking out of the "chaotic phase" this year, including hoarding, covering the plate, fake mortgages, random deposit, driving up prices. As the tone of real estate policy has been fixed--while maintaining policy continuity and stability while curbing the excessive rise in prices in some cities, it is expected that next year's first-tier city housing consolidation will be the main tone, but the likelihood of a fall will be greater than the rise.