7 years later, the labor force's negative wage will rise, Cass said

Fixed Army "Now just recruit in general workers, monthly salary has reached 1500 yuan." The upward trend in wages is continuing.　　"China Zipper Association Secretary-General Wang Zhiguo told reporters, with the zipper industry more and more labor costs, some enterprises have begun to gradually technical transformation, reduce employment." In the recent 2010 China Social Science Forum, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences published a study that predicts that in 2017 and 2018, China's total working-age population will be negative.　　Affected by this, China's labor supply and demand relationship will be further reversed, fatigues especially the wages of migrant workers will enter a fast-rising stage. China entrepreneur Survey System in Beijing on November 13, released a survey of 2010 Chinese business operators, "think the current labor costs than the end of 2009" business operators accounted for 94.2%, "think that the decline" accounted for only 0.4% The former is 93.8% more than the latter, and this ratio is significantly higher than that of 2009.　　Among them, the labor cost of enterprises and SMEs in the east is rising significantly. The number of transferable peasant workers is less according to the statistics of several censuses in China, Li Pelin, director of the Institute of Sociology of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, found that in 2000, the proportion of population population was the highest in China.　　Since then, the proportion of older people and children in the population of China has started to decline, and the proportion of the elderly population is rising sharply.　　From different strata to analyze, cadres, managers, as well as business owners, professional and technical personnel, the proportion of the entire working age population changes little, but the migrant workers have a huge differentiation: the first generation of migrant workers into the elderly, and a new generation of migrant workers to join the group structure more younger. The figures show that among the population born from 1938 to 1956, farmers accounted for 57% and workers accounted for only 25%. Among the population born from 1977 to 1997, the proportion of workers increased by more than one to 55%, while the proportion of farmers was reduced to 25%.　　The more young, less farming, more and more work in cities.　　This also means that the rural future can be transferred out of migrant workers will be fewer and less.　　Li Jiange, deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, has conducted research on more than 3,000 villages in China and found that 230 million rural surplus labor has shifted to cities, accounting for about 47.9% of the total rural labor force, while the remaining 24.81 million surplus labor force, which only accounts for 5.1%, is basically difficult to transfer out of the elderly　　Li Pelin that the total labor age will begin to decline during the "Thirteen-Five" period, combined with the rural population aging, the future transfer out of the labor force will be fewer and less, which will make "recruitment difficult" problem more prominent. "Recruitment difficulties" will emerge from the indirect, become a conventional phenomenon.　　"Li Pelin said.　　How to deal with the "Lewis inflection point" Cai, director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, judges that wages will rise faster as China's labour market has reversed supply and demand. In the supply of abundant laborcondition, the labor price is often subject to the willingness of the employing enterprise.　　But as the labour supply declines rapidly, wages will rise as workers "vote with their feet" and the bargaining power grows. According to the data, migrant workers ' wages rose at an average annual rate of 10.2% per cent during 2003-2009. This year, migrant workers wage growth is more than 18%.　　Li Pelin said that the current average monthly wage of migrant workers is close to the wage level of college students. Despite rising wages, the same fast-rising cost of living in urban areas still threatens the urbanization of migrant workers.　　In addition, social security, medical care, children's education and other urban and rural division of the institutional barriers to the urbanization process of population. The data show that the proportion of unemployment insurance coverage of migrant workers is only 3.7%, and the proportion of urban residents is more than 40%, the basic medical insurance, work injury insurance, maternity insurance and endowment insurance coverage are only 13.1%, 24.1%, 2% and 9.8% respectively. The coverage rate of urban residents is 52.7%, 47.9%, 34.9% and 57% respectively.　　Also living in a city, but migrant workers have not enjoyed the public treatment. In addition to breaking down urban institutional barriers, Li Pelin also recommended large-scale training of migrant workers. "As the industrial structure is forced to upgrade because of rising wages, many technical jobs require new types of migrant workers to do, the current technical type of work generally not to recruit people is a great contradiction." Cai proposed to establish a sound collective bargaining system for wages.　　For example, after Japan and South Korea ushered in the "Lewis inflection point" in the late 670 (the labour market shifted from oversupply to less than demand, the demographic dividend ended), the two countries adopted different ways to deal with the decline of the labour force. Japan has adopted an equitable collective bargaining system to promote the sharing of development between enterprises and workers, so that labour relations are generally in a harmonious state; South Korea, for a long time, has adopted a clampdown on trade unions, which has resulted in continued tension in labour relations and frequent strikes by workers.