Price expectations to harvest reluctant buyers rush to the field

Synthesis/Han Jingfeng reluctant Trigger harvest purchase "money and other food"-our reporter Zhou Wentian, Shandong reported rising cost expectations led to "reluctant" Dezhou Yellow River Ya zhen cui Zhuang cun, Food and agriculture Chi Ling told China Securities newspaper reporter, he planted 5.5 acres of wheat this year, about 4500 kg, yield of 800 kg. "Do not sell, and so on." "Chi Ling said, according to the market price of 1 yuan/kg for sale, you can" cash out "4500 yuan. But because of the increase of diesel, labor and other prices, increased production costs.　　Last year 40 Yuan/MU of the acquisition price, this year up to 50 Yuan/mu, sowing prices from 10 yuan/MU rose to this year 15 yuan/MU. Chi Ling Rough Calculate: According to 1 mu of wheat, fertilizer about 300 yuan, pesticides 40 yuan, the seed about 30 yuan, water and electricity costs 100 yuan, sowing 15 yuan, harvesting 50 yuan, accumulated an acre of cost 535 yuan.　　And an acre of about 800 kg, according to 1 yuan/kg, an acre of wheat a year down the net income of 265 yuan, also does not include labor costs. "Now corn and other agricultural products are rising, we all expect harvest prices will rise, so I do not hurry to sell, and so on." Chi Ling said, people who have a little capacity in the village go out to work and earn at least sixty or seventy yuan a day.　　Although the state has subsidies, three acres of land can make up more than 200 yuan a year, but the income of grain is only a small part of household income. Because of the general rise in the cost of grain, farmers have higher expectations and reluctant mentality on food prices.　　Some farmers ' granaries are full of grain, and they think prices will rise, so they won't be sold in the near future. "Corn, mung beans and garlic are all going up very fast, and wheat is likely to rise," says one.　　"In the countryside, today farmers are not unfamiliar with the phenomenon of" fried "agricultural products, even waiting for wheat to rise in the future market, covering grain reluctant phenomenon this year is particularly serious. "Rob Grain" war hit to the field side is the farmer reluctant, side is the acquisition side has set off "grab grain tide".　　Affected by the cold weather, this year, Jiangsu, Anhui and other fields of wheat production output exceeded the previous market expectations, which to a certain extent to promote the main market procurement to grab food. Enterprise Harvest become the driving force to promote high food prices.　　As a result of the full listing of new wheat, some areas of wheat postponed 10 days, market demand for psychological expectations, so the acquisition of the main bodies have to start to strong.　　In addition to the Cofco, Cofco, Cofco and other state-owned grain enterprises, the main bodies involved in the harvest acquisition in 2010 were all kinds of grain trading enterprises, grain reserve enterprises, rural brokers, flour processing enterprises and foreign enterprises. In previous years this time is harvest acquisition peak, the Chinese securities newspaper reporter came to some grain acquisition point, but it is difficult to see the figure of grain farmers.　　Individual grain vendors and brokers directly to the field, not wait for farmers to dry up and collect wheat, farmers get the price is lower than the market price 3-5 cents. 15 years of food intermediary Anguiqing said, "Farmers are still basking in the road, in order to map the convenience, directly to the grain traffickers." "Anguiqing only received 100,000 pounds this year, and in previous yearsPeriod of at least 400,000 kg. In the Ling County Grain Reserve, the Chinese securities News reporter did not see many years ago farmers crowded queue for food sales. Ling County Grain Reserve A staff member said, "We now want to improve the quality of service, no longer south." Now the countryside into households to collect food, and even do not need to transport, conveyor directly to the truck. "Wu Ximing is a tricycle into the village acquisition of" retail "grain sellers, the acquisition price of about 0.97-0.98 yuan/kg," this year is not easy to collect, sometimes half-day, or empty, farmers do not sell.　　"Wu Ximing Harvest of wheat, and then resell to intermediaries, generally to 1 yuan/catty deal, earn 2 to 3 cents of the difference." "I have been collecting food for more than 10 years, the first time I met this year, we are not willing to sell." Before a day can receive 4, 50,000 Jin, now 4, 5,000 kg are not received.　　Wang Jianzhi is an intermediary, earning four hundred or five hundred yuan a day in the same period, and now earns forty or fifty Yuan.　　Some of the private Shang are bullish on wheat prices, while others are employed by large grain companies to collect and substitute for large grain companies to earn acquisitions and storage costs. And each grain depot manages to buy the wheat of Entrust city, behind have profit drive.　　National policy provisions, fixed-point acquisition of the enterprise, you can obtain 2.5 cents per catty of the acquisition cost subsidy and 3.5 cents per kg/year of custody fee subsidy, together with 6 cent of the subsidy, so the acquisition of the main body enthusiasm is very high, and some even willing to pay the price of one or two cents to buy. Snapping up wheat not only appears in the local different market main body, the Chinese securities newspaper reporter understands that this year Cross-border acquisition phenomenon is more prominent.　　From Jiangsu's state-owned grain enterprises because of sufficient funds, but also need to carry out the rotation of grain reserves, have to Anhui Chuzhou and other place into the market harvest, the price is higher than 3 points. According to the calculation, each pound of grain increase a penny acquisition costs, you can expand the acquisition radius of 100 kilometers. The foreign enterprises that enter Anhui to buy grain mainly come from Jiangsu, Shandong and other neighboring provinces, these processing enterprises have strong economic strength, many also enjoy the government's related agricultural industrialization subsidy, economic strength engaged in cross-regional acquisition.　　In particular, some sales Area processing enterprises, directly to the origin of the purchase of food prices low, than the latter from the national grain trading market to take the food is much cheaper.　　According to data from the Grain Bureau of Anhui Province, up to now the policy of the purchase of wheat in Anhui Province has reached 770,000 tons, 1.6 million tons less than last year, the phenomenon of "money and other food."　　Impact downstream product prices although some provinces reported data showing harvest harvest this year, according to grain and agriculture, wheat yield decreased by 10% this year. In response to the current price of new wheat, Henan, Shandong and other land in the grain storage system has suspended the purchase of the city.　　Analysis of the industry, the moratorium is a signal to help stabilize the purchase price. An industry insider to the Chinese Securities Newspaper reporter analysis of the new wheat price this year, "small step fast" reasons. First, farmers ' expectations of food prices have boosted the price of their purchases. Due to the impact of previous years ' purchase price trend and the increase of planting cost in the 2010, the price of Kai acquisition is highis also in compliance with this trend. Some of the psychological price of farmers has reached 1.1 yuan/kg. Secondly, under the influence of continuous low temperature and other factors, wheat production in individual areas decreases.　　In addition, traders, processing enterprises to see the late market, the state of the market prices increased year after year, these also led to farmers reluctant.　　The person said, medium wheat is 0.9 yuan, but the market price has reached 1 yuan-1.05 yuan, so the city plan can not start. Ling County Grain Reserve A staff member said, "This year the market buys the main body to increase, the acquisition difficulty enlarges, has exacerbated the farmer's reluctant mentality, the current market circulation wheat quantity only is 50% in previous years."　　"China Securities News reporter received a set of data, as of July 2, Dezhou acquisition of wheat 70,200 tons (state-owned 30,200 tons), compared with the same period last year about 49,000 tons, state-owned acquisitions in the same period last year reduced about 24,400 tons. Industry insiders believe that the city's purchase price is rising year after year, grain futures higher, some farmers think this year will continue last year.　　Moreover, the increase of farmers ' production input, farmers ' income channels, the sale of wheat is no longer the only source of income, not to a certain psychological price on the holding of food for sale, resulting in the wheat market in previous years, "grain sales peak" no longer. China Securities newspaper reporter received a July 2 "Harvest Acquisition Express", according to the Hebei Handan, Hebei Linxi investigation, wheat prices continue to rise, the increase in 0.005-0.01 yuan/kg, but the number of the market is still not much change. Heze area "Guo" the head of the acquisition (the City of grain, commodity grain, rotation of food) all stopped.　　Liaocheng state-owned enterprises stop, but the grain is still reluctant, the price still maintain high running. China Securities News reporter learned that, although the "country" word head enterprises received in the grain storage Shandong company stopped receiving news, the basic stop acquisition of wheat, wheat market price rally slowed, but the overall wheat market is not affected by this decline.　　Market acquisitions have been slow, and other buyers are trying to reduce their prices slightly, but the reluctant sentiment remains strong and market prices are still strong. At present, the price of wheat has affected the downstream prices of processed products such as flour. Shandong flour Enterprise giant mouth bird industry and Trade Co., Ltd. unprocessed manager Ma Shanhong, said in an interview with China Securities newspaper, compared with the same period last year, the cost of enterprise acquisition of wheat has risen more than 10%, flour processing enterprises worry about future rising, to find ways to store more wheat to cope with future market.