PV industry is the biggest locomotive driving the economy out of crisis

Standing Vice-President of National Committee of CPPCC and New Energy Chamber of Commerce Liu Hanyuan Tongwei, chairman of the Board of Directors of the national Government and experts, according to the more generally recognized statistics, the current global oil reserves of about 40 years, the natural gas can be mined for about 50 years, coal can be mined for about 200 years, and China's recoverable reserves of raw coal for 115 years, Crude oil only 20, natural gas only 49 years. More than 5 billion years of energy accumulated on the earth, in a few hundred decades will be depleted by the human, energy crisis is gradually spread to every corner of the world, become a bottleneck of economic and social development.　　Therefore, vigorously develop biomass energy, hydro, wind, especially solar photovoltaic power generation and other renewable energy, has become the sustainable development of human beings and survival must answer the question. Solar energy is the most economical, cleanest, the most environmentally sustainable energy through comparative analysis of several common new energy sources, such as biomass energy, hydro, wind and solar energy, we can clearly draw the unique advantages of solar power: 1. The ratio of energy consumed from the new power plant to the power generation in the operation cycle, That is, the input-output ratio of energy, the current photovoltaic power generation can reach 10~15 times, in the area of good lighting can reach 15-20 times. Which biomass energy, hydro and wind energy are essentially some form of conversion and transformation of solar energy, which is essentially derived from solar radiation energy; 2. From the construction cost of PV power plant, with the large-scale application and popularization of solar photovoltaic power generation, especially the upstream crystalline silicon industry and the maturing of photovoltaic power generation technology, The compound development and utilization of the building roof and exterior wall platform, the construction cost of PV power per kilowatt may reach 7000 yuan-10,000 yuan before and after 2010, compared with other renewable energy sources already have the same economic advantages; 3, from the resources that can be developed in China, scholars and experts more recognized figures, biomass 100 million-kilowatt , water and electricity 3. 7.8 Billion-kilowatt, Wind power 2. 5.3 Billion-kilowatt, and the solar energy is 2. 1,000,000,001,000 Watts, only 1% of the development of 21 Billion-kilowatt, from the proportion of biomass energy accounted for only 0. 46%, wind power accounted for 1. 74%, water and electricity 1. 16% and Photoelectric is 96. 64%. 4, from the current generation of carbon emissions, do not calculate its upstream link: 275 grams of coal, oil power for 204 grams, natural gas generation of 181 grams, wind power for 20 grams, and solar photovoltaic power generation is close to zero emissions. In the process of generating electricity, there is no residue, waste, waste water, exhaust gas, no noise, no harmful substances to the human body, will not pollute the environment; 5. From the energy conversion route, the energy conversion route of solar power generation is directly converts solar radiation into electric energy, which is the least conversion link to solar energy in all renewable energy sources. Use the most direct way. Generally speaking, in the energy flow of the whole ecological environment, with the increase of conversion link, the loss of energy will increase geometrically, and the operation cost and instability of the whole system are increased greatly. Current，The practical level of conversion efficiency of crystalline silicon solar cells between the 15-20%, the laboratory level is up to 35%; 6, from the resource conditions, especially land occupancy, biomass, wind energy is more stringent, and solar energy is very flexible and extensive. If solar power takes up 1 of the land area, the wind is 8-10 times that of the solar energy, and the biomass is 100 times times. And hydroelectric power, the completion of a large dam often needs to drown dozens of to hundreds of square kilometers of land. In comparison, solar power does not need to occupy more additional land, roofs, walls can be used as a place, can also use our vast desert, through the desert to build solar power base, directly reduce the desert area direct to the surface of the sun radiation, effectively reduce surface temperature, reduce evaporation,　　This will make it possible for plants to survive and grow, stabilize and reduce sand dunes, and ask nature for the clean renewable energy we need.　　From this, we can see that solar photovoltaic power generation is the most economical, clean and environmentally sustainable energy that we can use at present. Second, China's development of solar photovoltaic industry has a unique advantage of our vast territory, solar resources are very rich, the country two-thirds of the land area, every square meters of solar radiation total of 3350-8400 trillion kj, an average of 5860 trillion coke (equivalent to 199kg standard coal), the annual China's surface absorption of solar energy, About 2. 4 trillion tons of TCE energy, equivalent to 2008 national total energy consumption of 28. 500 million tons of TCE 842 times times. One of the most abundant solar energy resources in western Tibet, up to 2,333-kilowatt per year/square meters (daily radiation Volume 6. 4-kilowatt/sq. m), second in the world, after the African Sahara. China's existing desertification land area of more than 1 million square kilometers, and the trend is expanding year by year, mainly distributed in the northwest and southwest of the rich solar resources, assuming that these desertification land 1%, used to install grid-connected photovoltaic power generation system, according to the current relatively conservative 100wp/m2 technology calculation,　　The installed capacity can reach 1 Billion-kilowatt, and the total installed capacity of the national power generation in 2008 is only 800 Million-kilowatt. In recent years, with the large-scale application of solar photovoltaic power generation, rapid development and huge prospects, its upstream polysilicon large-scale, industrialized production, application technology has become increasingly mature, especially from the domestic and global existing production technology, has been able to achieve the entire polysilicon production chain and system within the closed operation, thus close to zero emission levels. In the past 10 years, the global solar PV industry average annual growth rate of 41. 3%, the size of the solar cell industry expanded 35 times times. China's solar cell production in 2008 has exceeded 2000MW, accounting for 36 of global production. 7%. But the domestic solar power generation market development is extremely slow, as of 2008 at the end of the cumulative installed less than 2% of the global industry and market development imbalance. In view of the unique and huge advantages of PV industry in our country's resources,Full, convenient and simple maintenance, low operating cost, the State should further support relevant policies, vigorously support the photovoltaic industry in the early stages of development, become a new economic growth point, participate in global economic competition. According to the survey, the EU will be installed in 2010 3GW (kw) photovoltaic power plant, in 2030 to increase to about 200GW, the world may reach 1000GW. Building grid-connected PV systems and large-scale photovoltaic desert power plants will gradually become the mainstream of China's PV market. At the same time, solar photovoltaics can continue to play an important role in solving the problem of electricity consumption and poverty alleviation in remote areas of China.　　We believe that with the gradual depletion of fossil energy resources and the rapid development of solar technology and industry scale, solar energy will eventually become the future star with its high conversion efficiency, simplicity, reliability, economy and environmental protection. Third, the photovoltaic industry is to pull the economy out of the crisis of the biggest power throughout the modern history, every recession after the recovery, there will be a number of new technologies, new industries and new ideas, so as to promote the continued development of human civilization. In this century, photovoltaic technology, based on its advanced technology, unlimited resources and green environmental protection characteristics, is undoubtedly the core of the Industrial revolution.　　The Obama administration's $700 billion trillion stimulus package is an important national strategy for developing the solar photovoltaic industry as a way out of the recession, creating jobs and seizing the commanding heights of future development. China's PV industry since 2002, the average annual growth of up to 191. 3%,2008 solar cell production has broken through 2000MW, after 2007 to maintain global market share first. Polysilicon production has exceeded 4000 tons. China in 2007 is 7. 1.3 Billion-kilowatt of the installed capacity, that is, 0 of the national average. 5-kilowatt power generation capacity. 2008 Installed capacity increased to 800 million-kilowatt. It is estimated that 10% of this power generation capacity is replaced by photovoltaic power generation, will form 2 trillion of the market scale, this is only the narrow sense of power consumption, according to calculate, last year, the average consumption per capita in our country is about 2,500 degrees, the United States consumes 13,000 degrees per capita, nearly our 5 times times half; From the current data available, The United States 2007 only coal consumption for 10. 2.4 billion tons, if combined with other related energy, translates into electric energy consumption, will reach 29. 77 trillion degrees, per capita nearly 100,000 degrees of electricity. Therefore, if we calculate the generalized energy consumption in this way, including our natural gas, coal and so on, after burning down, simple calculation, China last year burned 27. 400 million tons of coal, 3. 600 million tons of oil, and 72 billion cubic meters of natural gas, after the calculation, the only coal, we are 9000 degrees per capita energy consumption, plus other oil, natural gas, calculate is 15000 degrees per capita electricity, which includes industrial, agricultural, commercial, production and other energy consumption of the conversion of electricity. These electricity, if in the next 20-30 years, using photovoltaic power to replace 10%, 30%, or even 50%, only 30%, 20 years to 30Time, the process will support the formation of a large emerging industry that exceeds the annual size of the real estate sector in the next 20 to 30.　　For the United States and Europe, too, the upgrading of energy consumption supports their development for more than 20-30 years. The last round of the global economy increased the use of electronic and information technology to propel the entire human race 30 years, the economy is out of the woods and what to pull in the next 20-30 years, we think, whether in the west or the east, whether developed or underdeveloped economies, the solar photovoltaic industry must be the largest engine, is to form the largest locomotive to support the development of the economy in the next 20-30 years. From this point of view, it is not difficult for us to understand why the new energy industry has become the only elected President and the European government, social pull economic recovery is the choice. Therefore, we are optimistic about the industry in the next 2-3 years, 5-10 years, 10-20 years, or even longer, each year will be 30-50%, or even higher speed growth. The PV industry is bound to accelerate the integration, optimization and promotion of PV industry in the process of replacing traditional energy, accelerate the speed and scale of application of PV products, and create lots of employment opportunities, manufacturing opportunities and construction opportunities.　　At the same time, this is an existing, mature, work in the future generations of industry and new growth point, it will accelerate the promotion of China and the World economic recovery. Perhaps China's big things do not bo, maybe God to the people's per capita resources too little, but the sky sunshine to the people is fair, the first step into the era of clean energy, not only to ease the pressure of resources, but also the only choice of China's energy strategic security. March 26 This year, China's Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Housing and Urban and rural construction jointly issued a solar photovoltaic project, the eligible solar photovoltaic building application demonstration projects, the highest grant of 20 yuan/tile subsidy. At the same time, after the largest solar power plant in the country--Gansu Dunhuang 10 MW grid-connected PV concession bidding project, April 15, the State Council issued the "Electronic Information industry adjustment and revitalization plan", the PV industry was included, and the Chinese Academy of Sciences "Solar action plan" has already started. All of these policies and measures may be slower than some might have expected, perhaps sooner than most people expect. We can look forward to, the large-scale use of solar power, the impact on the environment and damage will be fully contained, when the car does not row or exhaust exhaust, chimney smoke, green mountains, birds and lakes, the whole Earth will be a sustainable development, harmonious development of the fairy-tale world.