Report predicts next March new house price or generals Fall Real estate market

⊙ reporter Yu Xiangming June 8, through to 3.5 market data monitoring statistics, Beijing chain Home Real Estate released a latest analysis of the forecast, the next three months, Beijing new house market or accelerate the fall, price range or will further deepen, thus leading the entire real estate price reduction. According to the chain of real estate statistics, May Beijing second-hand sale price of 18650 yuan/square meters, compared to April of 20154 yuan/square meters, the decline is about 8%, and the May Beijing new house price of 35630 yuan/flat, compared to the April transaction prices 36749 yuan/flat down 3% or so,　　New house prices are weaker than second-hand housing market. "The next stage of house price declines are likely to deepen further and lead to the entire real estate market."　　"said Chien, vice president of the chain House. According to analysis, 2008 house prices down period, new house price drop than second-hand housing late three months, but the decline is much more obvious.　　That is, June 2008 second-hand housing prices 12206 yuan/square meters, the chain decline of 3.1%, and the new house market until September only began to fall, the decline of up to 21.9%, reached 14294 yuan/square meters. "It can be seen that, in general, the fall cycle of new homes will lag, but the decline will be more obvious."　　"Chien said. On the volume, the analysis of the report pointed out that May all Beijing pure Second-hand housing transactions (removed by the transfer) in 8000 sets around, the chain down by about 74%. and new house May deal 6269 sets of housing, the removal of affordable housing and limit rooms, a total of 3956 sets, the chain of 55% per cent decline.　　New house turnover fell less than second-hand housing.　　According to analysis, in the next period of time, between the new house and second-hand housing, whether from the simple purchasing power, or loans and down payment costs, will show more significant differences, and this difference will let the new house prices in the market wait-and-see period of accelerated decline.　　Report analysis, 2010 Beijing stock Room size of about 4.95 million, if the turnover rate of 3.6-4%, then the volume of 18.2 million sets per year, that is, the monthly turnover of about 15000 sets. However, the current second-hand housing turnover has shrunk to 8000 sets/month, compared with the normal estimate of the reduction of 7000 sets. In other words, "at present the market is about 47% of the demand is suppressed, these requirements will certainly function in the future market, so the future turnover of second-hand housing would rise steadily." "Chien said.