The agency reports that coal consumption should peak as soon as possible

Author: Wang Xiuqiang reporter recently learned that the Chinese Academy of Engineering published the "China Energy Medium and long term (2030, 2050) Development strategy Research" part of the research results, according to its research, is expected by 2030, China's energy development will appear historic turning point. The symbol of China's energy industry transition in the 2030 is: the annual utilization of coal is over the peak; The coal scientific safe production and cleanliness reach the advanced level; Carbon dioxide emissions reach peak; Scale of nuclear power, breakthrough Test Fast reactor technology, solar power, wind power and biomass energy etc on the scale development　　, significant progress has been made in natural gas and hydroelectric development. According to the Chinese Academy of Engineering estimates, if China's energy consumption to maintain the average 8.9% growth in previous years, China's energy consumption in 2020 will reach 7.9 billion tons of standard coal, accounting for the current world energy consumption of half of the total, even if we can continue to achieve a five-year GDP per capita decline by 20%, but continue to maintain 9% annual economic growth,　　2020 China's energy consumption will also account for the current world energy consumption of 30%. The above strategic research for China's long-term energy development strategy positioning as: 2050 years ago in 40, is the transition period of China's energy system, 2030 years ago 20 years is a crucial period of transformation, 2020 years ago 10 years is a key period to the scientific development track.　　After 2050, renewable energy and new energy combination will occupy the dominant position in China's consumption structure. "China's energy consumption, especially coal and oil consumption, must be set to the ceiling," said Du Xiangwan, the group leader and academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering. 2020 total energy consumption should be controlled in 4 billion tons of Tce, 2030 about 4.5 billion tons of standard coal, 2050 about 5.5 billion tons of standard coal. Objectively speaking, it is a very difficult strategic target to control the total energy consumption of the 2020 to about 4 billion tons of standard coal. Earlier, river Ice, director of development planning, national Energy Administration, said: "By 2015, China's primary energy consumption control in 4 billion to 4.2 billion tons Tce." Compared with the National Energy Agency, the Chinese Academy of Engineering has more stringent control over total energy consumption. Du Xiangwan said: "To achieve this goal, we must vigorously adjust the industrial structure, control high energy consumption industries, change the content of economic growth, the annual GDP growth control of about 7% to 8%, to ensure the development of quality, efficiency and environmental friendliness."　　"According to the energy development route designed by the Chinese Academy of Engineering, Coal will reduce the share of energy consumption in the future." According to the study, 2050 coal in the share of the primary energy is expected to fall to 40% or even below 35%, its strategic position should be adjusted to important basic energy.　　2020-2030, China's coal production is expected to peak, coal reasonable and safe production capacity of 3.4 billion-3.8 billion tons.　　According to the report, China should try to reduce the growth rate of coal consumption, so that the total amount of coal consumption to peak as soon as possible, the total energy increase will be supplemented by clean new energy.　　In the coal production design, the Chinese Academy of Engineering proposed the concept of "coal scientific capacity" for the first time. Academician of Chinese Academy of Engineering, Chaix-etPing told reporters: "The specific index requirement of scientific capacity is that, the comprehensive mechanization degree 70%, million ton death rate 0.1-0.01, the safety expense will occupy the very big proportion in the production cost, encourages to support the mining area to carry on the filling mining, the different mining industry should simultaneously realize the land reclamation rate to reach 75% , the refractory reserves with complex conditions and buried depth greater than 1500 meters are not included in recoverable reserves.　　Under the above indicators, the Chinese Academy of Engineering advises that the scientific capacity for sustainable development of coal industry in 2030-2050 should not exceed 3.8 billion tons. Du Xiangwan said: "By 2050, China will basically complete the transformation of energy system to achieve the scientific balance of energy supply and demand model." In the energy structure, clean energy will account for more than half of it and continue to increase momentum. "The Chinese Academy of Engineering estimates that 2030 domestic gas production can reach 300 billion, plus imports up to 400 billion-500 billion, natural gas will account for more than 10% of the energy."　　At that time, natural gas becomes a bright spot in China's energy development strategy and one of the green pillars in energy structure. Hydropower is the first focus of renewable energy development 2030 years ago. 2020, 2030, 2050 hydropower installed capacity is expected to reach 300 Million-kilowatt, 400 Million-kilowatt, 450 million to 500 Million-kilowatt.　　Over the same period, the total contribution of non-water renewable energy reached 200 million tons, 400 million tons and 800 million tons of standard coal. Nuclear power is a long-term strategic choice for China's energy resources, can become a green pillar of China's energy. 2020 nuclear power installation is expected to build 70 Million-kilowatt, 2030 to 200 Million-kilowatt, 2050 reached 400 million-kilowatt. 2050 nuclear power will provide more than 15% of the primary energy.　　After that, nuclear power will continue to develop and become one of the major energy sources in the future. "The strategic status of renewable energy will be one of the alternative energy sources and even the dominant energy sources," he added. "Du Xiangwan said.