The inflection point may come next month. Property adjustment period or up to 10 years
Source: Internet
Author: User
"In the past decade, real estate has become the most stable and profitable investment for Chinese people. But starting next month, investment in the property market may be a quilt, because the most powerful property market policy regulation has been launched, it is likely to bring the property market up to 10 years of adjustment. Recently, Shen Haobo, executive general manager of Shanghai Wealth Management Center in Paris, announced the latest real estate industry research Report of the fund company at an investment report. Last year's soaring housing prices were a sign of a spike in the property market. The survey shows that both the rich and the poor and working-class people are pushing the property market higher. "This round of inflation, like the stock market on the 6,000 point, is the last madness, but also the market peak signal." According to Shen Haobo, in April and June this year, the State Council issued the real estate "State 10" and "two suites of the determination standard", which makes the real estate investment Army sensitive to withdraw from the building. "Buyers have always been bought up and do not buy down, so there has been a downturn in the volume of the current situation." From the first half of this year's housing data, the volume will appear this month, the next August will be the land price, the property market inflection point will come. "Shen Haobo said. Although the real estate control policy is frequent, but the primary housing market, the developers are still strong, it seems that death does not reduce prices. How long can the developers survive? Shen Haobo's team surveyed a number of banks found that the real estate direct financing channels are almost all cut off. "Developers have not lasted long. What makes developers more afraid of is the imposition of property taxes, so to sell the house as soon as possible is the idea of most developers at this stage. "Interest rate increases are expected to get worse" in real estate sales abroad experience shows that once the rate hike cycle, real estate sales will start directly downward. According to Shen Haobo, in the economy to good, early inflation, money will flood the real estate industry, promote market prosperity. Monetary policy tightening period, the interest rate before the real estate to win the market, raise interest after the loss of the market, monetary policy relaxed period, before raising interest rate to run the market, to win the market. "From the current economic indicators, at present, in the period of tightening monetary policy, inflation is expected to happen, interest rate increases there is uncertainty, so the medium-term real estate to win market probability is small, run flat for large probability event." "Shen Haobo said. Shenwan Paris studies that, whether from credit, market demand or government policy, etc., are no longer conducive to the development of the real estate industry. Real estate will end the "golden Decade" unilateral rise in the market, into a 10-year adjustment period. This round due to economic development, coupled with the process of urbanization and other factors, the rate of decline in housing prices will not be too large, but the time will be longer than the upper whorl, the housing price adjustment for 5-10 years, very likely. According to Wuhan Evening News
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