The textile clothing industry enters the bottom wandering period "the profession warms" the speech premature

The industry believes that the fourth quarter of last year to the first two months of this year is the textile and apparel industry "darkest days", and in the early inventory of basic digestion, downstream gradually replenishment of inventory, the textile and garment industry since March, there has been a certain "warmer" signs, but the industry is still serious polarization, a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises still operating difficulties,　　The industry is still in the middle of a recovery, as downstream demand has not really warmed up.　　Data show warmth some of the data in the textile and apparel industry have been showing signs of "going well" for some time. The increase in the value of the textile industry increased from 5.5% last December to 12.2% in April, while in the first quarter of this year 22 regions in the country's chemical fiber industry profit from 1-February loss of 160 million yuan to profit 230 million yuan, textile and apparel industry profit growth from this year 1-February 17.6% Rose to 24.4%. Exports, the month of April, China's exports of textiles and clothing a total of 12.493 billion U.S. dollars, a growth of 329 million U.S. dollars last month, a small increase of 2.71%, year-on-year decline of 1.793 billion U.S. dollars, growth-12.55%. Although it still fell sharply year-on-year, it has been a two-month rebound since March this year.　　From this, many views that the textile and apparel industry has been warming, the industry will step into the rising channel.　　However, the industry is generally more cautious, they think, despite the warmth of the data, but the "industry warming" is premature, the current textile industry into the bottom confirmation stage, still need to linger at the bottom for some time.　　Wang Maijin, chief editor of China's first textile network, said that in the downstream replenishment of the inventory pull, the main textile raw materials products continue to rise, resulting in chemical fiber and other industries profitability significantly improved. Kong Jun Analysis of CIC Securities, after the impact of last year, textile enterprises fell a part, resulting in a reduction in supply, so at the current demand for production to be a certain recovery, the operating rate has some improvement; at the same time, due to the impact of Southeast Asia, a part of the demand transfer to China, so domestic clothing exports better than textile exports In addition, the industry believes that the data rebound and national policy support also has a certain relationship.　　Since last year, the country has repeatedly raised the textile and garment export drawback rate, and the textile industry to adjust the revitalization of the planning, for the plight of the textile enterprises "burden."　　Industry is still unspeakable recovery Wang forward pointed out that in the "troika" of the textile economy, exports and investment both lost, and consumption has not yet confirmed the trend of recovery, in the end of the demand is not significantly warmer, the textile industry is still missing out of the "cold winter" enough power. Kong Jun also believes that foreign demand is the main driving factor in China's textile and apparel industry, the current foreign demand has not yet recovered, the industry is not yet a recovery. The first closing of the 105th session of the Canton Fair export turnover of 26.23 billion U.S. dollars, compared to the previous session to reduce 5.32 billion U.S. dollars, a reduction of 16.9%. Among them, textile and apparel transactions 3.23 billion U.S. dollars, reduce 11.7%, accounting for the total turnover of 12.3%. Industry pointed out that the orderSingle drop means that demand is still not warm, especially in Europe and the United States and Japan, the three major market consumption capacity of the decline, so that China's textile and garment exports difficult to pick up, it is difficult to make the textile economy began to turn optimistic affirmation judgment. At the same time, Wang said that the industrial industry added value, profit and other indicators of the rebound, and can not reflect the industry in many small and medium-sized enterprises widespread phenomenon. It is understood that this year, some of the downtime and the closure of enterprises, customers are moving to large companies to concentrate. At the same time, some brand enterprises have obvious advantages in the competition.　　As a result of the growing polarization in the industry, most of the business situation is still not ideal, the economic benefits of the decline is obvious, especially the large volume of small and medium-sized enterprises. He thought, "the textile Small and medium-sized enterprise to the employment, the export contribution degree is high, is close to the industry to the economic prosperity degree the feeling, to determine whether the textile economy really enters the recovery interval to have the special significance." ”