Vanke predicts property market will reverse

Yanhong April 21 afternoon, Guangzhou Land and housing Bureau summoned the decimating, Vanke, China Sea, Evergrande, New World and poly six major developers and four state-owned banks, three intermediaries and a number of industry insiders held a closed-door meeting to explore the current situation.　　Developers at the meeting expressed the new regulation of the new deal "too strict" view.　　Vanke, in the 2008 adjustment in the first to reduce the lead eldest brother, in the first financial daily issued a review of the New deal, expressed the market will be "reversed" judgment.　　Is the downward trend set? Near the "51", the major developers in charge of marketing, are in the traditional peak season for this property to do a positive deployment. However, the State Department's new policy is most likely to disrupt their sales plans.　　Although no big developers have joined the price-cutting camp, this may be short-lived, as most developers believe that they will eventually come to the "fluctuation" day. Vanke said: "After the second half of 2009, individual hot city housing prices have risen too fast, this phenomenon behind the existing new house stage supply shortage, the sustainable decline in the sale of resources and other factors, there are also the increase in asset allocation needs of many complex reasons. Affected by the continuous tension between supply and demand and market expectations, and other factors, a few recent hot cities have once again panic purchase situation. "In this regard, Vanke said:" Individual hot city housing prices rapidly rising momentum will be reversed, the excitement of the spread of other cities will be suspended. In fact, Vanke represents the attitude of many big developers to the future.　　China Merchants Real Estate managing director Lin Shaobin before the media interviewed on the house prices made a "much more than a drop, a little less down, after the two or three-line city followed by" judgment. Lin Shaobin said that the market is still in a state of demand, and developers capital pressure is small, the market is difficult to make deep adjustment.　　But he thinks the new policy will still hit the market. Shenzhen, another listed company's executive review, last year, in the first quarter of this year after four quarters, many local housing prices "crazy", and so on, regardless of the market, or developers, is a very "scary" thing. As a result, there will be a "reasonable correction" to this period of increase. "To the level of 2009 years, many developers are able to withstand."　　These people also point out that for the next time, there are two kinds of people will be quite uncomfortable, one is late last year and early this year to buy a house, they will have a period of high bedding, and another person is this time to buy the land King developer, will be doomed to pay for their behavior.　　A week after the new deal was put in place, the news of the Sell-off has come and go, and large development groups have opted to "sit tight". April 16, the State Council announced two sets of loans to increase down to 50% on the second day, Guangzhou, a real estate listed company marketing Director is in Shanxi, the deployment of a new property opening work. After that, he hurried back to Guangzhou to arrange "51"The work of the national market. "' 51 ' has not yet adjusted for the new policy, or will be based on the original strategy to sell, in fact, the last two days, the new opening has sold very well."　　"When talking about the" 51 "sales strategy, the person in charge said that it was time to look at it, and that there were differences in every city, so it's not easy to say what's going on. Another private property Enterprise marketing department head also revealed: "The company these days to the possible situation to do some plans, but now the final plan is still not set." To see, the situation is not clear.　　However, the developers interviewed admitted that all the "performance" of the listed companies, will "guarantee the performance of the main", which means that once the situation of the transaction downturn and long-term breakthrough, "The price will still fall." Insiders said that the 2008 round of regulation, some of the first to reduce the developers have caused the strong dissatisfaction of the old owners, but also their respective owners to return to the building and other events.　　This will allow developers to adopt a more cautious sales strategy this year, not easy to reduce prices. According to the introduction, developers are very likely to take the strategy is: waiting for second-hand housing first drop, so that the market has sufficient preparation, and then began the new open pricing on the start. "Some of the prices have been the arch of the old real estate sales do not move, had to let it out first."　　"Sales of famine" in the view of most developers, given the current financial situation of developers, as well as the current lack of supply in the market situation, the big developers "do not" will continue for some time, some people think that 3 months later, the scale of the price will not appear, because there will be a large number of new goods listed, market competition will increase sharply. It is reported that in the fourth quarter of last year, all large groups have significantly increased the number of new start. Statistics show that in the four quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year, the six months of new start, than the previous year, more than the total, and this batch of new goods, will be concentrated in the third quarter of this year began to launch.　　In fact, just before the announcement of this year's sales plan, to Jindi, decimating, Evergrande and other listed companies have been revealed that the group's supply of most concentrated in the second half.　　Data show that 2009, the country to achieve sales of commercial housing 3.8 trillion yuan, compared to the 2008 2 trillion yuan nearly doubled, no doubt, the irrational rise in house prices and macro-control, is destined to interrupt the trend of volume continues to rise. A board secretary of a listed company admits that, like crops, if 2009 is a "harvest" for real estate companies, 2010 will be doomed to a "poor harvest" year. In his view, the overall turnover in 2010 certainly saw a sharp decline.　　And developers of sales, will again be tested, whether the group can complete the establishment of more than 20% of the growth task, is still unknown. As a result, the performance of property companies has been hit. In 2008, the performance of property listed companies generally declined or zero growth, perhaps in the 2011 Annual report.