Interview the Ministry of Commerce "official report" participant Guo Lichen Foreign Trade "10 multiplier" strategy how to produce? What changes will be brought about? Yesterday, just from the Canton Fair "national Transformation of Foreign Trade Development Mode report" returned to the scene of the Ministry of Commerce International Trade and Economic Cooperation, Dean Jianguo as "post-crisis era of China's foreign Trade Development Strategy," one of the subjects, accepted the "first financial daily" interview and "strategy" to interpret. The Ministry of Commerce's International Trade and Economic Cooperation Institute 18th released the "post-crisis era of China's foreign Trade Development Strategy Study" report, the "official report" that the next decade, China will promote trade in goods and services both achieve "doubling", while continuing efforts to promote the balanced development of import and export trade. The report suggests that in the next decade China's trade in goods and services trade will reach a total volume of 5.3 trillion U.S. dollars, more than the current one-fold, when our country on the rules of international trade and the right to make a big rise. According to the introduction, the major issue by the Minister of Commerce Chen Deming led, Deputy Minister Zhongshan directly responsible for the full deployment of the post-crisis era, China from the trade power to the trade power to change the strategy. The reporting team is strong: 4 Head of the total subject, under 28 separate topics, according to each topic 10 or so of the research staff configuration, in addition to the Ministry of Commerce 12 departments, but also including the People's Bank of China Institute of Finance, the Ministry of Finance, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, including the relevant researchers The report has been planned since last May, and after 1 years of co-ordination, it has finally come out. The report is likely to be submitted as a blueprint for future development plans for China's foreign trade in an appropriate form. The two papers, which were rewritten on the basis of part of the total report, have been published in the Journal of International Trade in the 1th and 3rd phases of 2010. The topic is "Strategic choice of China's foreign trade policy in post-crisis era" and "strategic adjustment and institutional mechanism innovation of China's foreign trade policy in post-crisis era", a total of 7 pages and a half. Jianguo to reporters that the report's strategy will ultimately take 20 years to achieve from the trading power to the trade power of the transition: 2010 ~2020 years, the consolidation of trade power status, 2020 ~2030 years, to achieve a shift from big to strong. Indicator design highlights the specific research methods for making the report, he put forward the quantitative method of "competitiveness Quantitative index" is the biggest bright spot of this report, namely from trade big country to strong country, have done actual digit target position--divided into 10 first level index and 26 two level index, 10 one level index includes market share, per capita trade volume , product competitiveness, balance of payments, terms of trade, trade diversification, economic scale and the structure of per capita industry, exchange rate stability, terms of trade, transnational investment. Level two indicators include the proportion of industrial agriculture in the service sector, GDP per capita, number of the top 10/top three trading partners and other indicators related to economic development. In order for the reporter to understand the specific meaning of quantification, Jianguo took out a mesh radar chart as an example to explain, the map to the core source to expandThe size of the scattered area is strong or weak, the larger the diffusion area, the stronger the indicator. The figure of China, Germany, Japan, the United States compared to the indicators, from the graph, China currently only balance of payments and exchange rate stability of two indicators relatively strong, others relatively weak. The most common outer ring, which is the largest number of indicators, is Germany. The figure shows that the three circle is a basic tipping point, if negative means that the indicator is basically not competitive, if more than 0 indicates that it is competitive. In several other countries, three laps are largely covered, while China's three-circle development is unbalanced, Jianguo explained, which means that the gap between China's basic indicators and manufacturing powers is greater. The report further quantified the issue of competitiveness, and China needs to improve and break through these indicators to achieve the same goal of developing from a manufacturing powerhouse to a manufacturing powerhouse as the US, Germany and Japan. Straighten out the vague concept of foreign trade at the same time, Jianguo to this reporter pointed out that the report has two major roles. On the one hand, straighten out a lot of foreign trade development in the vague concept and concept, so that we have a relatively clear outline of foreign trade. For example, many people are looking at the growing scale of foreign trade, the slow growth of national welfare, the deteriorating conditions of trade and the need to support foreign trade, and the report provides some clarifications. Through research, the traditional concept of the national economic payment method to calculate, if the trade can not be surplus on the economy has negative impact, but the study of the use of national economic output method, that is converted into physical quantities to calculate the impact of foreign trade on the economy and contribution, from another point of view, foreign trade does not It promotes economic development and employment in its own right. On the other hand, the report made clear the next step in China's foreign trade development, such as the past China's emphasis on comparative advantage, will be more emphasis on the comparative advantage at the same time, to play a dynamic comparative advantage and national competitiveness or industrial competitiveness advantages.
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