390 million people need a swine flu vaccine to produce only 100 million in the first quarter of next year.

The intensity of influenza epidemic in our country is higher than that in previous years. The current round will last until March. 3.7878 million people 8 vaccine manufacturers have completed full throttle in our country's Influenza A (H1N1) vaccination strategy is to give priority to vaccination in key areas and key populations. The vaccination work of the key population has been carried out comprehensively, and the total number of key population in the country is about 390 million.　　As of October 31, the cumulative total of 3.7878 million people completed.　　According to current capacity, the country's 8 swine flu vaccine manufacturers at full throttle, is expected to produce 100 million people in the first quarter of next year, for 1.3 billion of the population of large countries, production capacity is very limited. Xinhua News agency Beijing Electric Ministry of Health Emergency Office, deputy director of the Wannian 1st, said that the current high prevalence of swine flu in China is still mainly young people, the condition is still mild, the overall situation of the epidemic control in China is still controllable, all over the expert guidance to do adequate prevention and control preparation. Experts believe that: China's influenza epidemic has advanced into the epidemic of high and continuous rapid rise period, the prevalence of scale and intensity will be significantly higher than in previous years, the epidemic cycle will continue to next March.　　However, there is little likelihood that a swine flu virus could mutate seriously during the current epidemic. After the National Day holiday, our country epidemic situation develops rapidly. Monitoring shows that although the virus has not yet mutated, the severity of the disease is generally more moderate, but the Chinese population is generally susceptible, nearly 80% of influenza cases are swine flu patients. Since October 2, 6 cases of death have been reported in our country, and more than 15,000 cases have been reported nationwide since October 12; As of October 31, 31 provinces reported cumulative outbreaks of more than 1500, including more than 98% per cent of school-related aggregated outbreaks.　　At present, the mainland has 411 network laboratories and 556 Sentinel hospitals to carry out influenza-like case monitoring work. The current epidemic cycle will continue until next March today, the swine flu pandemic is spreading globally, with the advent of the Northern and winter seasons, North America, Europe, Asia and other regions of the influenza A (H1N1) epidemic continues to spread rapidly, the world has reported more than 5,000 death cases.　　The World Health Organization believes that the number of actual morbidity and mortality worldwide is far greater than reported. According to Wannian, after the National Day holiday, China's rapid development of the epidemic, since October 12, the national report of more than 15,000 cases of swine flu cases, many local influenza-like symptoms of sudden upsurge, some areas have entered the high incidence of influenza, individual places have died, the epidemic is from the city to the West, Rural and ethnic minority areas continue to spread.　　Monitoring shows that although the current virus has not yet mutated, the overall severity of the disease is relatively mild, but the population of China is generally susceptible, nearly 80% of influenza cases are swine flu patients. Experts believe that: China's influenza epidemic has advanced into the epidemic of high and continuous rapid rise period, the prevalence of scale andThe intensity will be significantly higher than in previous years, and the epidemic cycle will continue into next March. However, there is little likelihood that a swine flu virus could mutate seriously during the current epidemic.　　　　In the meantime, local areas will appear large-scale outbreaks, the popular summit in different regions alternately, the overall epidemic will be in a relatively long period of time in a higher level, the National Health service needs will be significantly increased, some areas of health institutions will face greater pressure, local social production and life order will be affected.　　6 deaths have been reported since October 2 Wannian said that health departments and medical institutions around the world are according to expert forecasts, from the personnel, material, space and technical force to do adequate prevention and control preparation, including the establishment of local, rural and urban counterpart support and allocation of medical resources mechanisms, etc.　　Wannian pointed out that China has taken a series of effective prevention and control measures, the previous phase of the epidemic prevention and control work has achieved a phased outcome, in order to prepare and deal with the more severe outbreak of the precious time, to minimize the spread of the epidemic, to minimize the occurrence of severe and fatal cases. According to statistics, China's mainland since May 11 reported the first confirmed cases of influenza A (H1N1), as at October 31, 31 provinces (districts, municipalities) cumulative report confirmed cases of more than 46,000 cases, of which more than 44,000 cases of infection in the territory, accounted for 95.4% of the total number of cases, cured 33,000 cases. The cumulative report of 93 cases of severe cases, there are 55 cases in the hospital for treatment. Since October 2, 6 cases of death have been reported in China.　　As of October 31, 31 provinces reported a cumulative outbreak of more than 1500, of which the school-related cluster of outbreaks accounted for more than 98%. According to the disclosure, the next phase of the Ministry of Health will follow the "enhanced preventive measures, highlight the key links, strengthen the treatment of serious diseases, reduce the harm of the epidemic, scientifically judge the development trend of the epidemic situation, timely improve the adjustment of prevention and control measures to prevent the outbreak of large-scale proliferation and aggregation of outbreaks, expand and improve the influenza surveillance network, timely detection and effective disposal of outbreaks　　; Accelerate vaccine production, in order to do a good job in vaccination, the establishment of a sufficient number of Sentinel hospital in the country to strengthen the management of household isolation clinics, to further improve the school and other key places of the epidemic prevention and control, scientific and reasonable implementation of the suspension and other measures; timely release of information on the epidemic and prevention and control work The swine flu vaccine is expected to produce 100 million people in the first quarter of next year. At present, the mainland has 411 network laboratories and 556 Sentinel hospitals to carry out influenza-like case monitoring work.　　A total of 8 vaccine manufacturers are producing influenza A (H1N1) vaccine at full throttle, and are carrying out the vaccination work for the key population. Inadequate supply of vaccines is a global problem.　　At present, more than 90% of the world's influenza vaccine production capacity is concentrated in the Western developed countries. Our self-developed swine flu vaccine is based on the World Health Organization's recommended swine flu vaccine production line, through inoculation of chicken embryos, virus culture, virus solution, inactivationVirus, enrichment, purification, cracking and other procedures made.　　The vaccine production capacity can be affected by the supply of chicken embryo, the ability of inoculating chicken embryo, virus multiplication rate, vaccine perfusion and packing ability.　　Clinical trial results and vaccination practices have proved that China's domestic influenza A (H1N1) vaccine is safe and effective. As of October 31, in addition to Anhui, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Chongqing and other 4 provinces (cities), the other 27 provinces and Xinjiang's corps of Bingtuan have launched a major population of swine flu vaccine vaccination work, the cumulative completion of vaccination 3.7878 million people. Reports of suspected vaccination in various areas of the abnormal response is more light reaction, such as local pain, redness, mild fever and headaches.　　In addition to reports of 1 cases of laryngeal edema and 1 cases of anaphylactic shock (all have been effectively treated), no other serious adverse reactions have been reported. At present, China has 8 vaccine enterprises to produce a swine flu vaccine approved by the state Food and Drug Administration, according to existing capacity, is expected to produce 100 million people in the first quarter of next year. For large countries with a population of 1.3 billion, our existing influenza vaccine production capacity is very limited and cannot meet the vaccination needs of all nationals.　　　　The leadership of the Central Committee of the State Council attaches great importance to the production and supply of swine flu vaccine, clearly requests the relevant departments to strengthen the ability to organize vaccine production and supply, and strengthen scientific research work on vaccine production to maximize capacity and ensure the prevention and control work needs. The lack of clinical data for children under 3 years old and pregnant women in the synthesis of current global and China epidemiological characteristics of the epidemic, referring to the World Health Organization and related countries on the use of swine flu vaccine, as well as China's vaccine production and supply capacity and other factors, based on the expert demonstration, confirmed the vaccination strategy　　That is, priority should be given to influenza A (H1N1) vaccination in key areas and key populations. The focus area refers to areas with heavy epidemic, densely populated population and large population mobility.　　The severity of the epidemic is mainly based on the results of influenza A (H1N1) surveillance, aggregation of cases and the number of seizures. At present, the main population of swine influenza A (H1N1) vaccination in China include: safeguarding the national security and stability of the PLA, armed police troops and policemen, ensuring the normal operation of the society, Foreign Affairs, Port quarantine, customs, border control, railway, civil aviation, transportation, power grid, funeral and other key post public service , kindergarten staff and primary and secondary school students and faculty, chronic respiratory Diseases and cardio-cerebrovascular diseases and other chronic diseases.　　It is estimated that the total number of key population in the country is about 390 million people. The specific inoculation population is determined by the provincial health administrative departments of the provinces according to the vaccine supply and the surveillance results of the epidemic situation, and the immunization is carried out scientifically and orderly.　　According to the progress of epidemic situation and the improvement of vaccine supply ability, our country will adjust the range of the key population. Yu, deputy director of the Department of Disease and Prevention and control of the Ministry of Health, said that because of our lack of clinical data on children under 3 years of age and pregnant women, these two groups are notAs the target population for the swine flu vaccine.　　Relevant departments are planning to carry out clinical trials. As of October 31, the state Food and Drug Administration has received 8 vaccine manufacturers of 52.917 million people of swine flu vaccine batch issued, the cumulative completion of the issuance of 33.407 million people, the Ministry of Industry and Information technology has been to provinces, autonomous regions, municipalities, the distribution of 26 million vaccine.