Linux: Is "introverted explosion" coming soon?

 

In November 19, Steve Lake published an "Observation" and found that a large number of Linux distributions will see the so-called "implosion ". Let's just put it bluntly, that is: the Linux release has "a large number" of dead; the healthy and angry Linux releases are left so "a small number ".

This observation study is cumbersome. First, you must understand (clearly) What is "death" (or "half death") of the Linux release version ")? Which of the following aspects are involved in the judgment criteria? Steve Lake stipulates that:

1. Version release cycle;

2. Code Release Cycle;

3. Patch submission frequency.

The release cycle is within 9 months ~ Linux releases within two years are called "Angry"; 2 ~ The three years are called "half angry ". For more than four years, it is "dead ". The Linux release that releases the program source code once every day to several weeks is "healthy"; the source code once every month to 6 months is "sub-health "; if the source code of the program is not submitted (published) for more than six months, it is considered "dead. Steve said that patch submission frequency of various Linux releases is not ideal. He found that almost 35% of releases did not submit any patches for core systems in the past six months. Steve found that 2/3 of releases did not publish source code updates in the past month, and 45% of releases were in the past 3 ~ No source code updates were published within six months. In general, it seems unsatisfactory.

According to Steve Lake's observation, more than half of today's more than 500 Linux distributions are "killed" (in fact, they are no longer breathing, only 150 "Angry" Linux distributions can be left. He hopes that this action (called an "internal explosion" by him) will not cause any "panic" in the industry ").

For Steve Lake's "Observation Research", people can keep their opinions on the "judgment criteria" he has set. However, we must respect this "Earnest spirit.

In my opinion, Steve lake only gave us a "Mao Yu". The "introverted explosion" of the Linux release version is still coming soon.