Calculation formula of stock rising and selling forecast

Source: Internet
Author: User
Tags benchmark call back stock prices

1. Calculation formula for the next day's bid price: Buy forecast = Open today + (today close-open today)/2 Note: The premise of calculating the bid according to this method is that the stock prices are rising today, and the candlestick is paid by the Yang Line.

For example: If a stock open price is 10 yuan, close price is 10.8 yuan, then the next day's bid calculation should be 10.8-10/2=10.40 yuan. As the stock gains large, up to 8%, so the next day there is the possibility of a return, regardless of the results of the investigation is formed under the shadow Line or the formation of the light Foot Yin Line, its decline is often between the opening and closing price of more than half a little more, so the next day if a pending order in 10.45 to 10.50 yuan, the likelihood of

2. The next day selling price is calculated as: Sell forecast = Today's closing price + (open today-today's close)/2

Note: Stock prices in the process of decline in the probability of this situation is relatively small, generally in the main shock decline, but if the next day rebound, the intensity is often stronger. According to this method of calculation, although the rate of selling is higher, but not necessarily the highest price, and this method needs to be based on the premise that the same day the price candlestick should be the yin line.

3. Next day rise and fall space forecast = closing price ±n* (high-low)

n is a variable, that is, a multiple of (highest-to-lowest), a common n is 2 or 3 for an upward-space prediction, and a common N for a fall-space prediction of 1.

Example: May 27, 2003 Tongcheng Group (000672) (the author buys in a disk, but to ensure the credibility of the operation with the closing price position). Open 5.47 yuan, up to 5.60 yuan, a minimum of 5.43 yuan, close 5.59 yuan. Predict the next day the space is: the second day rise Space Forecast =5.59+ (5.60-5.43) *2=5.93 second day down space forecast =5.59-(5.60-5.43) =5.42

The next day after the opening of the 9:31 operation: first put on the file 5.93 yuan sell orders and wait for the deal. The actual opening of 5.59 yuan, a maximum of 5.94 yuan, a minimum of 5.51 yuan, close 5.75 yuan, the operation is successful, two days trading net profit margin is 5% (minus the handling fee).

May 28, 2003 Fu Day Shares (600203), buy in the intraday, but to ensure the credibility of the operation, to the closing price of the bid position). Open 6.78 yuan, up to 6.90 yuan, a minimum of 6.74 yuan, close 6.83 yuan. Predict the next day the space is: the second daily Rise Space forecast =6.83+ (6.90-6.74) or 6.83+ (6.90-6.74) *4=7.31 or 7.47 2nd decline Space Forecast =6.83-(6.90-6.74) =6.67

The next day after the opening of the 9:31 operation: first put on the file 7.31 yuan sell orders and wait for the deal. The actual opening day of 6.82 Yuan, up to 7.51 yuan, a minimum of 6.82 yuan, close 7.44 yuan, the operation was successful.

4. Calculation formula for buying and selling stocks

Today's price =∑ (high + low + close) *2-on the day of the lowest price today bid grid =∑ last day (high + low + close) *2-the highest price on the day

Not to make the difference that day, for example, you are ready to buy stocks today, you calculate the price of the stock you are going to buy is more then as a reference price to operate, so that you buy the price may be lower than the price of the day. If you are going to sell a stock today, you can calculate the price you run out and then hang the price out, and you will generally be able to sell a better price.

It is necessary to emphasize that this is the way you are going to buy and sell stocks, not to make predictions about the trend of a particular stock. I have been measured many times, the accuracy is still relatively high.

5. Predicting pressure and support positions

Stock lowest Price Stock price * 1.0809= First half step pressure position stock price * 1.1618= Stock First step pressure level

Stock price * 1.0809 * 1.1618= The second half step of the projectile pressure level

And so on

Top price of stock/1.0809 = First half-step support level

6. Predicting pressure and support positions

Release the second stock price forecast formula, calculate pressure level and support position pressure level = low price + (high-bottom point) *0.375 pressure level = lowest price + (high-bottom point) *0.50 pressure level = lowest price + (high-bottom) *0.625 pressure level = low price + (high-bottom) *0.75 pressure level = Lowest price + (high-bottom point) *0.875

7. Gold rate of division

Golden Split Rate: The 1 is divided into 0.618 and 0.382, and when the number is close to 0.618 or 0.382, the transaction may change. The correct calculation method is 1.618 minus the Radix 1, the 0.618,1 minus 0.618 to 0.382. The way in which the Golden Section is applied in a single stock is the idea that it is directly from the low point of the band plus 0. 382 times times, 0. 618 times times, 1. 382 times times, 1. 618 times times ... As its upward pressure, or minus 0 directly from the band's highs. 382 times times and 0. 618 times times, as its fall braced. Stock price (index) x (1+0.382) = Change point (first resistance level) stock price (stock index) x (1+0.618) = Change point (second resistance level) stock price (stock index) x (1-0.382) = Change point (first support) stock price (stock index) x (1-0.618) = Change point (second support level)

Another faction thought that should not take the high and low points of the band as its base period, but should be the previous one-band percentage change as the calculation period, the Golden section of the support points can be calculated by the following formula:

A segment of the market back high support = a segment of the market End-(a segment of the market end-a period of market lows) x0. 382 a segment of the market low support = a segment of the market End-(a segment of the market end-a segment of the market at the lowest point) x0. 618 If you want to calculate the target bit, you can use the following formula to calculate:

Upward pressure level = This paragraph of the market up point + (the top of the previous market-this paragraph of the market rise point) x1. 382 (or 1. 618)

The above formula has four kinds of calculation methods, which are applied according to the different conditions of each unit.

Case: Top Software (000583) The trend of the stock is quite in line with the Golden Section principle, March 1999, the unit from 14. 31 Yuan started, until the end of June, the unit pulled up to 34. 31 Yuan, complete this wave of rise, then we look at the support price of the stock, according to the formula down low support =34. 31-(34. 31-14. ) x0. 618=22 in fact, the unit's November 1999 Retracement Point was 22. 48 Yuan, the error is very small, investors as long as 22 yuan near the first line to absorb, you can find profit opportunities. The target price can also be calculated by formula, rising market upward pressure =22.48+ (34. 31-22.48) x1. 618=42 Yuan, which fell after a high of $45 in February this year, has allowed investors to sell profitably at $42. The movement of the stock shows that if you have a thorough grasp of the golden section, you can successfully use it to capture dark horses. Pay attention when using: Buy points in the callback to 0. 618 more secure, callback to 0. 382 was more suitable for aggressive investors, and prudent investors opted for a pullback to 0. 618 are involved. Second, the selling point in the rise of 1.382 more conservative, as long as the trend to maintain the upward channel, you can choose to rise 1.618 sell.

8. High-band high-point calculation formula and next week trend forecast

Band highs = Start index x[1 + 1/(10-Genius factor x days)]

Starting at the beginning of the October 28 market 1665, the market first wave rebounded 17 days of theoretical highs =1665 x (1+1/(10-0.36x17) = 2,094 points. The resulting point of time may be around November 21. Then use my other formula to evaluate the current band process of the market

Band Process = (current index/Start index-1) x (10-Genius factor X days) then the band process as of November 14 = (1986/1665-1) * (10-0.36*17) =74.8%

In my past is not too rich experience, the theoretical value shows that the current point in the market in the next Monday does not have a decrease in the adjustment, probably the band process reached about 86% will produce a small adjustment in a single day, that is, to reach about 2036 points will have a daily callback pressure. Will then continue to rise to the band process 100% and encounter greater resistance.

9. Judging the strength of a stock by the method of golden segmentation

9.1 The Golden Division method can be the strength of a stock of the qualitative

9.1.1 's judgment on the strong rising stock stock

Suppose a strong stock, the last round from 10 yuan to 15 yuan, showing a strong, and then a callback, it will call back to what price? The golden section of 0.382 bits is 13.09 yuan, 0.5 bits is 12.50 yuan, 0.618 bits is 11.91 yuan, this is the unit's three support level. If the stock price is 13. 09 Yuan near the support, the unit strong unchanged, the future breakthrough 15 yuan innovation high probability of more than 70%. If a new record is reached, the unit will run in the third main wave. What price can you make? With a 0.382 price (15-13.09) +15=16.91 Yuan, this is the first pressure level, with two 0.382 price (15-13.09) x2+15=18.82 Yuan, this is the second pressure level, the third pressure level of 10 yuan is a multiple of 20 yuan. Back to the previous article, if the stock from 15 yuan down to 12.50 yuan to get support, then the strength of the stock has become weak, the probability of a breakthrough of 15 yuan only 50%, if the breakthrough, the high point generally can only reach a 0.382 price is about 16.91 yuan; if not breakthrough, often form M head, After the next break 12.50 yuan Meridian position back to the beginning of 10 yuan near. If the stock has been lowered from $15 to 0.618, or even lower, the stock has been weakened by a strong switch to a new high of 15 yuan, less than 30%, mostly only the 0.5-bit downward space

Nearby (assuming the callback to 11.91 yuan, the rebound target bit about (15-11.91) x0.5+11.91=13.46 yuan) and then the line fell, running the stock fell C wave. about what price to fall? With 11.91-(15-13.09) = 10 Yuan, is the first support position, is also the early low point; 11.91-(15-13.09) x2=8.09 Yuan, is the second support position.

9.1.2 on the weakness of weak stocks

Suppose a weak stock on the last round from 40 yuan to 20 yuan, and then rebound, the gold section of 0.382 is 27.64 yuan, 0.5 is 30 yuan, 0.618 is 32.36 yuan. If the stock only rebounded to 0.382 bits of 27.64 yuan near the setback, then the weak characteristics of the stock does not change, the future break 2 0 yuan Innovation low probability of more than 70% , if the rebound to 0.5-bit 30 yuan setback, then the weak stock of the stock has turned strong signs, the probability of breaking 20 yuan in the future less than 50%, most of the 20 yuan on the support again, the formation of a w, in the future there is a breakthrough of 30 yuan on the neck line 40 yuan early highs. If the rebound to 0.618-bit near the 32.36 yuan before the setback, the shares of the stock has been from weak to strong, after the basic can certainly not break 20 yuan before the low, the larger may be back to explore the rebound space of 0.5 bits (assuming a rebound to 32.36 yuan, the return target is (32.36-20) x0.5+ 20 = 26.18 yuan), the probability of breaking 40 yuan in the future is higher than 50%. The first pressure level of 40 yuan, is the pre-high, is also a multiple of the former low of 20 yuan, the second pressure level is 2, that is, 26.18 yuan in multiples of 52.36 yuan. At this time the unit has been running in the new rising wave of the main rise of 3 waves.

The Golden section is effective for stocks with a significant upward or downward trend, which is invalid for a unit running on the platform, and should be differentiated when used. 9.2 The use of time-sharing trend in the intraday of the Golden segment method

9.2.1 characteristics of the rising stock trend of the day

Volume amplification, the daily average line is generally above the previous closing price and slow operation, the volume ratio of 2-3. Soon after the opening of the morning, a lot of stocks rushed to the 6-8%, but at this price do not chase first. In the morning 9:30-11:00 the stock has appeared high and low price as the benchmark (if the high jump open, should be closed yesterday as a low benchmark) with the Golden Section to draw a split line, to see whether the daily price line is 0.618 or near, whether continue to slightly rise, if it is, the stock future upward breakthrough probability is very large, at this time should be 0 . The 618-bit price is the buy reference point. If the average daily price line only in 0.5 or even close to 0.382 of the position of hovering, the stock of large yang line of the probability is small. 9.2.2 characteristics of the falling stock trend of the day

The average daily line is usually run below the previous closing price and slowly downwards. 10:30-11:00, observed in a stock with a decrease of more than 3%, the high and low prices that appear in the morning as the benchmark (jumping low open stocks should be higher than the previous closing price), draw the Golden Section line to observe, if the daily average line in close to 0.382 places, the stock day is likely to take out bare feet or sub-low big yin Not only can not consider buying, but also to the high distribution. If the daily price line in parallel to the 0.618-bit operation, the unit has now rebounded stronger, can consider short-term intervention.

Calculation formula of stock rising and selling forecast

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