Confused: Factors Affecting browser development in the future

Recently, I am thinking about the future development direction of browsers. There are also some soft texts on the internet, and I am still wondering about the popularity of webapp, which is not much new. I set up a problem myself: five years later, the browser. I would like to summarize it here. I would like to give you some advice. The content is organized in disorder. In fact, it is not important and divergent.

I understand the following important changes in the big environment of browsers that affect browser development:

1. kernel convergence, increasing competitors, divergent innovation, and diversified demands.

The browser market must be further subdivided and personalized features must be provided. On the one hand, the innovation of new entrants will focus on the shell layer and open the kernel, which can consolidate the share rate and reduce the influence of new entrants. On the other hand, improving your research investment not only cares about small innovations, but also explores major-to-functional innovations and establishes new core technologies (development requires people and money, and research requires patience .).

2. Both the network and page enter the video or rich media era, and the interaction requirements between pages and users become mainstream.
Text, images, and data transmission and pricing are no longer bottlenecks (or product upgrades ). The popularization of 4G networks, network construction of operators, and improvement of CDN are all promoting the improvement of network quality. In the 5G era, network connection protocols have changed, not just IPv6. The focus is on streaming data or real-time data, virtual reality 3D data, audio, video, WebRTC, xhr streaming, jsocket, and server push. In essence, the interaction requirements between servers and page users have increased.

This is also reflected in the development of page standards (H5, ecmascript), JS frameworks & Libraries, such as jquery, ASM. JS, and lljs.

3. High hardware and OS levels, mobile GPUs approaching the PC level, and higher image quality requirements.
(4 K screen, 8 K screen, 16 K screen .....)

Reconsider performance and adaptation issues. A typical example is a project launched by Firefox in 2013 (Samsung is involved in Android porting): servo, which is expected to take advantage of the hardware advantages of multi-core systems. Another point is the support of native client, such as Google pepper plugin.

4. the maturity of cloud services may lead to opportunities for turning webapp/plugin over.

How many years have the webapp been hyped up? I personally think it is not that the technology is not mature, but that there is a lack of support in the big environment. The key is to break through the search-to-Application Path (such as Baidu box, light application) and store model maturity (at least webapp can be added to existing stores)

5. Pay more attention to copyright, security, and privacy protection. Paid content will grow rapidly and more will be willing to pay.

Focus on industry standards and follow up in a timely manner. There are also non-trace mode, session-related caching and other technologies.

6. redundant information explosion. More and more information, far exceeding the load (@ Xingyun ).

Users are increasingly concerned about how to differentiate effective information? How can we improve the acquisition efficiency? The browser can make great efforts in business display and content recommendation.

7. Policy and legal changes.

There are loose reforms that may create new markets and eliminate one market. If the domestic software demand is a new market, you can consider deploying browser on the domestic OS. Another typical risk is copyright (Open Source requirements) and illegal business. Cooperate with possible policy directions to remove potential risky businesses.

8. The emergence and maturity of new products and new markets.

The old market segments can bring new market opportunities and new demands for browsers. Smart Home, automobile, etc. At the same time, new OS changes.

9. The population is now turning point, and society is aging.
The age distribution of users is flattened, and the average age of user groups is increased in a small amount (there are also small user groups). Mature Consumers increase, but the growth of young users is weak. Changes in consumption demands and habits drive changes in product ideas. This is also part of the market segment, but the process of its role will be slow.

My personal understanding is that the long tail will take longer in the next three years. Some applications will begin to mature. They are platform-based, personalized, and page-oriented. Then, the browser kernel will be gradually integrated into the operating system. In-depth cooperation in operating system R & D is a long-term layout. I have not yet been able to prove this.

There are also many stakeholders in this browser product. I have roughly sorted out the following requirements:

The relationship between pages (including search engines) and users is key to production and consumption. Browsers are an important node of this consumption activity.. What it needs to do is to meet the needs of pages and users, and more efficiently complete this consumption activity. Therefore, browsers cannot simply focus on users.

Reprinted please indicate the source: http://blog.csdn.net/horkychen

References

1. Mozilla Research

2. Chromium developers

3. China Telecom and China Unicom will form a joint venture to form a CDN company's CDN market or shuffles

4. Four major predictions of the communications industry: 5g speed will be 100 times faster than 4G

5. Good news for domestic Operating Systems: massive procurement by ministries and agencies

6. ecmascript 6 support in Mozilla

7. Browsing fans

8. Chrome fans

9. Analysis of GPU Mali underlying architecture of arm not only with MCU

10. Arm CEO defends its GPU Technology in NVIDIA's legal battle with Samsung

11. web video will soon be 90% of online traffic.

12. The future of web is video

13. The web design trends in 2014

14. China's demographic dividend inflection point may arrive ahead of schedule on March 13, 2015

15. HTML5 rocks

Confused: Factors Affecting browser development in the future