[Stock Market] undefeated experiences and long-term analysis of future trends (favorites)

Original: Wave king

If you want to keep yourself undefeated, you must conduct macro analysis. let's first talk about the stock market over the years. Premier Zhu has attached importance to the stock market and proposed that state-owned enterprises should be out of stock for three years, ben Wang began to be more careful when dealing with stock transactions. I learned from the media that state-owned enterprises have caused about 3 trillion bad bank accounts, which took about 10 years. Considering this trend acceleration effect, when State-owned enterprises put money in the hands of investors, so I infer that in the future (1998-2008), in less than 10 years, state-owned enterprises will bring 3 trillion bad accounts to shareholders. At that time, there were 40 million investors, equivalent to an average loss of 75 thousand yuan per person. So how can we avoid being a victim? When companies make money, they also make small payments. There is only one way to purchase new shares at ordinary times, and the cycle is too short-term, over the past few years, I have struggled to steadily increase funds in the stock market. What is basic analysis? I think the above is the basic analysis, not the macro-economy situation. Let's talk about how I conduct Basic Analysis on real estate, 02. I believe that the fund purchase should be canceled in and the House investment should be increased. I have never paid attention to the opinions of the media on the real estate, Because I know their views are just like the opinions of stock reviewers on stocks, economists may never think about the economic situation. I noticed that Prime Minister Zhu gave a raise to the civil servant. In three years, my unit's salary doubled. I searched for foreign real estate information and found that the working class (including the middle class) the savings of life are the pursuit of an ideal housing. When their savings increase, house prices naturally rise. At present, the Unit's income doubles, but this kind of energy will not be released immediately. It will take two to three years to accumulate. Therefore, I have to buy it before everyone accumulates enough. Afterwards, my judgment will be fulfilled, in the past few years, houses have been on the rise. So how can I analyze current house prices? The new demolition law greatly increases the cost of old city transformation and demolition. The 8.31 land tendering and transfer method makes developers unable to obtain cheap land. If one day the media reported that real estate has cooled down, you must never think that house prices have fallen. cooling means that the supply of houses is decreasing, house prices may rise, and whether the bubble of the house is cracked or not, before he came, he believed that Wang had already made a shot based on the basic analysis. Let's talk about the future stock market. We will not talk about the basic analysis for the moment. I only look at the deep-cover index for technical analysis. I only want to tell you some misunderstandings. In the past few years, my analysis on the length of Stock Indexes has been relatively accurate, some people think that I am blind because I only say the result is not mentioned. For example, "more than 1500 of meat is a master." Some people thought it was ridiculous (it is not ridiculous now ). Why should we look at the deep index now? Because it is relatively not distorted, the deep index points correspond to the Shanghai index points at 308, so now the 1050 points are equivalent to 326 points. You must know in your own mind that the 1100 points are the last line of defense, once it falls below, we can find 194 points (for all the 194 old investors know). Therefore, even if you want to build a warehouse, you must prepare for a stop loss (rebound is not ruled out ). There is a high possibility of low-price C3 by intuition (I have always analyzed 2 and 8 separately ). That is to say, the possibility of breaking 308 is huge. I am seeking evidence from individual stocks. If the market falls below 194, I have said that Changhong would like to see 2 yuan, develop 5 yuan, and then look at China Unicom, sinopec. The sinister trend of iron and steel is not too much at the beginning because of the decline of 1300 (I said at the time of 1580 that due to a lot of hostility on the altar, I did not learn Lei Feng in 1783, but secretly leaves and notifies a few netizens ). It can be said that this would be the consequence of continuing to do nothing, unless a file is published and continues to blow the bubble. Blind spot 1: whether or not we can reach the bottom in September may be based on the cycle and past trend experience. However, investors often fall into the trap of a long stock cycle based on limited experience, we did see the bottom of the last six months, but it was B Lang (I think). sophisticated investors must consider whether B Lang will be 8 months and 13 months, if it is 13 months, it will have to wait until next April.