Point of view: How many years can a PC still exist? _apple

Now that handheld devices are getting stronger, the mobile phone's configuration is more and more high, more and more like the PC, the computational ability is also more and more strong, can do the thing also more and more; another so-called PC Terminator tablet computer, although Apple Unified mountains and rivers, but other manufacturers are also in the back, and TV, watches, A lot of things and devices in people's lives are slowly being intelligently intelligent. Modern people have a smartphone, a tablet, a PC (desktop or laptop), and less time spent on PCs, people are moving away from PCs that have been around day and night, and some worry that PCs will be replaced by other devices, and more precisely, laptops will be replaced by tablets.
But I don't see this yet, not for at least 10 years, as to what will happen in ten years, not even 10 years, because now it is changing too fast. Why, then? Because:
1. PC is the "digital hub" of all devices, the PC supports a lot of peripherals, and each new product comes out, it must be compatible with PC, also must obtain the support of PC. Functional mobile phones, smartphones, tablets, PDAs, and so on, all are bound to be compatible with the PC, and have the support of the PC. To see if all the devices have a standard USB interface that can be connected to the PC, to communicate with the PC, to synchronize data, or to maintain some equipment. Because these devices are developed on a PC basis, their maintenance must still be in the PC, which cannot be changed in the short term.
Of course, this is slowly changing, now a very popular word is the cloud, right, the cloud will change this situation, which means that the cloud in the future will replace the PC, become the new "digital hub." This means that in the future, all devices will interact with the cloud service without having to interact with the PC. Some giant apple,google and Microsoft, such as the launch of services are moving towards this goal, the front is the Apple icloud. This is a direction, but also a trend. Its advantages and the convenience it brings are very many. But it has to have three prerequisites: first of all, one is the support of wireless network, now the device and PC interaction is through the USB cable transmission, the speed is acceptable but it is very stable, unless the line is broken, otherwise it can be high-speed and stable transmission, but the wireless network can achieve stability and high-speed, Still need a lot of effort and a certain time to achieve. At least, for the celestial people, it's impossible for a few years, foreign 4G are quick to start, the celestial even 3G are not universal, now the most of the celestial use or 2.5G GSM transmission mode, whether it is a smartphone or flat plate to be synchronized with the cloud data is not small, no good network, users can not afford; High traffic charges also make users can not afford to hurt the stability of the network is worth the user worry. Second, on the one hand is the cloud services and equipment between the joint, whether to achieve seamless, this is a problem. Walking in front of Apple to do the real no doubt, Apple devices iphone, IPad, ipod and icloud perfect bonding, which is good for users, of course, only to achieve seamless engagement to win users, Apple can do this because he has a firm grip on hardware, software, data and cloud services, using Apple's devices (hardware + software), buying data from his store (Music, books), and interacting with its cloud services (ICloud). But for other giants, it's hard to do this, but it's not impossible. And the 3rd is the security of the cloud, the user data will be protected. Privacy, etc. will not be leaked. These I think should be no problem, because if your data is very important, it is not safe to put in the PC.
But I believe that this is only a matter of time, there will certainly be a day, we no longer use the PC, the device will be the cloud between the "digital hub", the maintenance of equipment can also be through OTA (over the Air) to complete, like the current iphone, Both the ipad and ipod can be upgraded, backed up and restored directly via OTA.
2. PC Office Efficiency is outstanding, it supports a lot of peripherals, its software resources are also very rich, network stability, easy input, keyboard and mouse can let you quickly input information, there are a variety of peripherals, such as photoelectric pen, camera and so on. This will not change in the short term, because people have been used to it for more than 20 of years.
3. Handheld devices are primarily used for entertainment because they have the advantage of portability, where people carry a mobile phone wherever they are, even when you're sitting on the toilet with a mobile phone in your hand. But because of their own limitations (screen size, input speed, peripherals support, etc.) that make them helpless in areas such as office research, it's painful to think about writing an article with an ipad or an iphone.
But I think it's going to change slowly, we are not accustomed to, or do not want to use the tablet to office, because we have "PC", we have been accustomed to the keyboard and mouse, because from the time we were born the computer is like this, from we use it to the computer has always been this way. But I believe that our next generation may change, and they start out with the ipad and the iphone, all without a hard keyboard touch screen, and they get used to doing everything directly instead of using the keyboard and the mouse. And from the perspective of human cognition, the handwriting touch screen is more consistent with human behavior, and the human hands directly operate more flexible, with a period of time after the ipad you will understand.
In addition, mobile phones and tablet functions more and more powerful, maybe our next generation are everyone holding a iPad28 to write the program. (There's already an app for editing the source code on the ipad now).
4. Tablets should be with the PC and mobile phones, all belong to the device, each will have their own application areas, for example, may be the PC will be in the office space, and the tablet in the entertainment of the glory, the mobile phone continues to play a wireless communication equipment.
So here, some manufacturers try to make the tablet more and more like PC, such as adding USB interface, adding peripheral interface, increased keyboard and so on. Personally think it's very stupid behavior and for example, like Asus and Lenovo to make a flat with a laptop long similar to the basic, I think the tablet is flat, PC is the PC, they have their own strengths, each have their own application areas, although people have been very accustomed to the PC, but if the flat with the PC, It seems stupid. For example, if you take a tablet as a monitor, plus a keyboard and a mouse, I'd rather have a notebook, because a flat plate plus a keyboard can lose weight or portability to a laptop.
The advantage of the tablet is its excellent reading ability, because the screen is big enough to be as normal as a PC reading and Web page, instead of frequent paging, but it is light enough, you can use in the park lawn, you can sit on the toilet, you can drink tea one hand, a hand on the internet, can be used in sitting, can lie down with, There is also its gaming and social application, which is the real advantage and the main purpose of the tablet. Although the mobile phone is more portable, but its screen is too small, read frequently to page and zoom out, so the tablet will appear.
The conclusion is that in the future PCs are likely to downgrade to another device, rather than the "digital hub" of all devices, like Apple's PC (IMac, Macbook), which also synchronizes data with the iphone, the ipad, and icloud from Mac Store to get the software. But at least in recent years, the PC will still be strong and play the "digital hub" of the device.