Zhang Yiyue: 4.28 early evaluation of crude oil pitch continued upstream and set

"Today's focus on financial data and events" April 28, 2016 Thursday

1.11:00 BoJ announces interest rate resolution

2, 14:00 UK April Nationwide house price index monthly rate

3.15:55 German unemployment after the April quarter, unemployment rate after the April quarter post-adjustment

4, 17:00 euro zone April Economic Prosperity Index, April Industrial Prosperity Index, April consumer confidence index end value

5, 20:00 Germany April CPI monthly rate initial value

6, 20:30 the first quarter of the United States real GDP annualized quarterly rate initial, first quarter core PCE price index initial

7, 20:30 the first quarter of the United States actual personal consumption expenditure quarterly rate, to April 23 when the early week of the unemployment fund number

Fundamentals:

Oil prices rose at the start of a day after the American Petroleum Association (API) announced that the latest week of U.S. crude oil inventories fell, but the U.S. Energy Information Association (EIA) reported this morning that last week, oil inventories increased 2 million barrels to a record high of 540.6 million barrels after the oil price fell.

Then, as data released in Wednesday by the American Energy Data Association (EIA) showed, oil inventories rose to a record high last week, and crude was once again falling.

However, Beijing time Thursday Two o'clock in the morning, the Federal Reserve announced that the interest rate remains unchanged, its policy statement implies that there is no rush to raise interest rates. Brent and US crude futures surged before the close, hitting the high of the year as the dollar fell to intraday lows.

EIA Future Analysis:

Yesterday, the EIA, the data is much more, but the current wave of a sharp decline, then the rebound. Many investors must not understand why the EIA Droperidol will fall. Even if the fall should be the first rise and then fall Ah! Win Yu Point Gold yesterday has pointed out the essence of the problem, yesterday, the API data greatly benefit, the evening EIA is more than the iron plate nail, in this time people's expectations of the EIA data is relatively high, after the EIA data, although the data did not reach the expected value, and gasoline inventories refreshed new highs, At this time a wave of decline is obvious. Then why did it rise up? First Bollinger bands with strong support, not broken will rebound, and the market is overdrawn by the long power also because the wave fell slowly to balance, so there will be a future rebound, and the early hours of the Fed meeting better understand, directly led to a wave of strong stretching, Last night operation if the direction of the anti-stop and do not have a friend needs a good reflection.

Technical Analysis:

Yesterday morning API data, expected day market will have a callback, unexpectedly data came out before the market still no callback, back to fill the gap seems unrealistic, but the oil price touched a 45 dollar resistance level, there is a certain indication of the night rushed a wave then the market plunged down, all is conspiracy, is a routine, data deceive the market! Yesterday morning softening go, the European plate began to rebound, the United States has been in the high-level consolidation, until the publication of the EIA data, asphalt straight down, short irresistible force, Ningui asphalt directly back to 4210 near, such as the WAN Yue before, first plunged and then began to slowly rise, and finally broke new highs, Wan Yue to the real position of the operation of the proposal is also a perfect profit, has continued the callback to do long ideas. But from the whole trend to see last night asphalt overall upward, constantly hit a new high, investors keep chasing more is also very normal.

From the last week to take off the Yang line is expected to rebound after the evening crude asphalt callback, the quilt list of friends seize the opportunity, because the market bulls are still strong, 4 hours on the line, the Bollinger bands, the K break Bollinger Upper rail suppression, while the MACD indicator Gold fork upstream, short-term expected to further higher, The short-term operation of Wan Yue suggest still keep a low long strategy, specific operation recommended instant analysis set single unlock Baidu Wan Yue online guidance obtained.

Operation suggestion (Ning expensive):

1. Recommended callback 4250-4280 long, the proposed stop 40 points, the first goal 4330-4370, the second target 4400-4440;

2. Recommendation 4370 Short empty operation, the proposed stop 40 points, target 4330-4300

Operation recommendations (tinted):

1. Suggest callback 2050 to go long, suggest stop 35 points, target 2090-2110 broken position to see 2130-2160-2200;

2. It is recommended to close the rebound 2100 near, the proposed stop 35 points, target 2040-2020.

Meditation water, cold eyes contemplation, investment is not backwater, occasionally there will be some trouble, all the way to the landscape song. The market is so, it constantly send gifts to your hands, and do not accept in your own, do your own investment plans, a plan to face the investment risk.

(Wen/Zhang Yiyue Investment risk, the market need to be cautious, recommended for reference only, profit and loss)

Zhang Yiyue: 4.28 early evaluation of crude oil pitch continued upstream and set