Arbitrage direction
Redemption
T-day arbitrage Efficiency Analysis
For relevant data, refer to the table in the following transaction steps. When calculating the discount price, the purchase price is calculated based on the actual value. The net value is the value published by the fund company on the evening of the T Day (September 14.
T-day net worth on-site purchase price discount premium
Yinhua steadily enters 1.0190, 1.037 + 1.766%
Yinhua Ruijin 1.2830 1.226-4.649%
Yinhua 100 1.151
With a commission and a redemption fee, the merger fee is free of arbitrage space for the moment:
Total investment = (1.037 + 1.226) * (1 + 0.06%) = 2.2644
Total recovery = 1.151*2 * (1-0.5%) = 2.2905
Arbitrage efficiency = 1.153%
Funds must be withdrawn on the day t + 5, and two days over the weekend, the annualized rate of return is 60.12%.
Transaction procedure
Describe the number of yinhua steady and acute advances, which is equivalent to 10000.
|
date |
operation |
Object |
unit price |
quantity |
balance after fee deduction |
handling fee |
total amount |
remarks |
T day |
September 14 |
On-site purchase |
Yinhua steadily enters |
1.037 |
10000 |
10370 |
6.22 |
10376.22 |
Commission: 1.037, closing price: |
|
|
On-site purchase |
Yinhua Ruijin |
1.226 |
10000 |
12260 |
7.36 |
12267.36 |
Commission: 1.228, closing price: |
T + 1 |
September 15 |
Merge |
Yinhua 100 |
|
20000 |
|
0 |
|
After the merger, yinhua 100 is obtained. |
T + 2 |
September 16 |
On-site redemption |
Yinhua 100 |
1.106 |
20000 |
22009.4 |
110.6 |
22120 |
Redemption 5 |
T + 5 |
September 21 |
Fund receipt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Rate of Return Calculation
Total Investment: 22643.58
Total recovery: 22009.4
Benefits:-634.18
Yield:-2.801%
Summary
During the arbitrage period, the net worth of yinhua 100 fell from 1.151 (September 14) to 1.106 (September 16), a drop of-3.910%. because there are no hedging tools, the first three days are subject to market risks. during this arbitrage period, we were unfortunately surprised and buried.
If you stick to the operation in a similar arbitrage scenario, and assume that the Fund's net gains and losses during the arbitrage period are roughly the same as those in the range, then theoretically, after reaching a certain number of times, the impact of market risks should be offset, making the actual rate of return close to the T-day estimation of arbitrage efficiency.