"Panic purchase" after the sudden stop in Beijing May New pre-sale certificate of 25 new properties, since the opening week, 14 new trading transactions to zero April 30, Beijing issued a real estate market regulation of local policies, in the individual home purchase, differentiated credit, personal sales tax method, Commercial housing pricing and other 4 aspects of strict regulations. Affected by this, the "51" period of Beijing second-hand housing turnover fell, new open real estate first appeared "0". 14 New trading transactions for zero Beijing's new policies include: the same home buyers temporarily only buy a set of commercial housing in Beijing, commercial banks suspend the issuance of third and above housing loans, suspension can not provide more than 1 years of the city's tax certificate or Social insurance payment certificate of non-city residents purchase loans and so on. The reporter statistics Beijing Real Estate transaction Management network data found that, since April 15, Beijing's property market turnover decline, the daily turnover of new homes from the last half of April to 517 sets down to the second half of the month's 310 sets, second-hand housing transactions from 1100 sets per day, down to 300 sets. "After the policy was introduced, consumer panic buying stopped and the market is expected to remain on the sidelines for some time." "Beijing Chain Home real estate researcher Builded said. On the other hand, the total number of unsold buildings in Beijing increased. As of May 8, Beijing can sell faster and not signed the total number of homes for 86202 sets, compared to the first quarter, Beijing can be sold from the new house to maintain a trend of upward volatility after April 15. It is understood that the current Beijing stock room listings reached 30435 sets. 2009 "51" a small holiday during the period of only 15147 units, compared to this year's stock room listings increase by 100%. At the same time, developers to open new property pricing decline. April Tongzhou house prices repeatedly hit 30,000 yuan/square meters mark, in recent years, Tongzhou Pear Garden a new plate of the lowest price of 18,000 yuan/square meters; located in Beijing Tongzhou District "K2 Begonia Bay", open in the opening of 20,000 yuan/square meters, and in early April reporters here, sales staff insist on the average value of 24,000 yuan/square meters Beijing East Four Ring of an upscale property, May new open 7th building price set at 40,000 yuan/square meters, prior to the price in 45,000 yuan/square meters. Beijing May New pre-sale certificate of 25 new developments, the opening week, 14 new trading volume of zero. This newspaper reporter learned that there are also some of the real estate options to increase prices to reserve discounted space. Chaoyang District, such as a real estate price 37,000 yuan/square meters, the latest open up to 39,800 yuan/square meters, the entire sales discount from the previous opening 98 percent "concessions" to the current 97 percent. Shunyi District a project at the beginning of the transaction price of 17,900 yuan/square meters, the recent opening prices of 18,500 yuan/square meters, preferential way for the entire customer 95 percent. In addition, the real estate intermediary "I love my Home" statistics show that "Beijing 12" promulgated, second-hand housing prices fell 5% to 10%. How long can the stock room last? Chinese real estateZhu Zhengyi, vice president of the association, said that the new "country 10" in the proposed two to control the price of ideas: first, to increase the effective supply of commercial housing, the second is to curb investment speculative demand for housing. But some observers pointed out that the current Beijing, Shenzhen and other major cities in the local policy, are dominated by the demand for control. Niemeisheng, chairman of China Real Estate Association, said that from now on the new area has not slowed down, if developers do not buy land, a year after the market supply will be reduced, if supply is reduced, house prices may appear retaliatory rise. This is part of the policy that should be paid attention to later. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Li Jingguo said, from the National Commodity housing, 2009 sales area is 850 million square meters, an increase of 43.9%, completed area of 580 million square meters, an increase of 6.2%. The gap between sales growth and completion growth determines the tight supply and demand. and 2009 Development of land area of 230 million square meters, the growth of 19.9% per cent, the lowest year-on-year growth since 1997. This is likely to have a negative impact on the supply of commercial housing in the next month or two. According to the China Real Estate Research Center data, April 2010 and the inventory of all the homes have come down to varying degrees, of which, the auction can be sold to 57054 sets, the chain decline of 3.32%. and the sale of the house has fallen by 7.54%, down to 30386 sets. From the situation in Beijing, the new policy before the launch of the Beijing daily sales of 700 sets, the new policy after the introduction of the reduction to 300 sets, one months about sales of 10,000 homes. Before January 2010, Beijing's new monthly commercial housing sales of 12,000 sets around, to April has dropped to about 9000 sets. The absolute quantity of commercial housing stock also reduced from January 61,000 sets to April 56,000 sets. Although Beijing said that 2010 completed 46,000 of policy-building housing, but some analysts believe that Beijing's annual sales of about 200,000 units, if the supply of commercial housing is insufficient, will still create a supply gap. On the other hand, looking from the land market, April, in Beijing, the implementation of the new land transfer regulations, commercial housing land sold to zero, May 7, Beijing restarted 4 housing auction, after the most optimistic of the Shunyi Mapo because 5 bids are lower than the price of the bidding developers, this shows that developers to market expectations more confused, This will directly affect the market supply for the next two years. Industry insiders said, the new policy, developers will choose to postpone the opening and project development. Even if the Ministry of Housing and Urban and rural construction developed a real estate development regulations, detailed to each link, but for developers, if you can get through the joint adjustment of land planning, can make the land development life extension of 2 years. Beijing Real Estate Association under-Secretary-General Chenzhi said that after the new policy, short-term sales will fall and increase the availability of the phenomenon. But with the end of the policy expectation game, the rigid demand of the market is still very strong. At present, local policy should seize the time to formulate a policy of stabilizing market expectations and guide developers to maintain the volume of housing development. How the new policy holdsLine Zhu Zhengyi that, at present, some of the restrictive measures issued by local governments, many have obvious short-term, concrete operation is quite difficult. May 1, Beijing Municipal real estate Transactions Management Network, the request to buy a person must fill in the Family Housing Status Declaration form. If the applicant is fraudulent, he will assume legal responsibility and inform the Banking Department of its information. Insiders say the real estate information does not have the national networking, the long-distance data cannot exchange mutually to investigate, but the unmarried, the married, the divorce family and the family member's relations cognizance also needs to connect with the Civil affairs system networking, and the Public Security Registration network, this becomes a huge system engineering, cannot use the simple legal document way to A person in the real estate industry has proposed at present, Beijing's policy is mainly for individual market investors, and for developers, the Ministry of Housing construction issued documents required to enter the sale of house sales supervision Account management, this policy is not really implemented, real estate developers usually turnover of more than six or seven of the money from the pre-sale, if the pre-sale funds by the bank monitoring , and then funding the progress of the project, this part cannot be diverted for the purchase of new land; In addition, if the developers to stop the loan, to the construction unit loans, and the provision for developers to advance more than 30% of the project funds, will also affect the cash flow of real estate developers. These policies, if implemented, will effectively curb the developers hoarding land, cover the plate behavior. Zhang Xiaode, a professor at the National School of Administration, said that the government's responsibility for housing security is becoming more and more clear in Beijing's new real estate control policy, but the object of the protection room is still vague, and the housing needs of the "sandwich layer" are not effectively protected, and the new policy mentions the development However, there is little progress in the construction of rental system. If we can establish a long-term housing leasing system to protect the interests of tenants, we can change people's concept of housing and reduce the demand for home purchase. Similar to the further promotion of residential housing demand for diversification of practical measures can be implemented, can completely change the market for housing prices long-term bullish expectations. (Source: "Lookout" Newsweek)
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