Does cloud computing pose a threat to former technology companies?

International Data Corporation (IDC) technical analysis and forecasting affects the procurement of many companies, and it predicts a new high-tech industry that brings together mobile devices, social networks, cloud computing and data storage.

In a new study, the company said many industry giants would scramble to maintain their relevance, with some nouveau riche in positions of leadership or acquisitions.

Frankgens, lead analyst at IDC, who led the study, said: "The incumbents are facing a huge transformation." ”

IDC says new technology inputs will reach about $700 billion trillion, about one-fifth of the money spent on hardware, software and services in Global information technology (USD 3.5 trillion). With so much money invested in maintaining the old system, it is surprising that so many shares have been put into relatively new technologies. The cost of new technology is growing six times times faster than traditional computer servers and PCs, and industry growth will reach 80% by 2020.

IDC says there will be many new developments in emerging markets such as China. It predicts that 28% of the cost and 53% per cent of industry growth will come from outside the US, Japan and western Europe. Before the middle of 2012, China was expected to eclipse Japan as the world's second-largest information technology consumer.

If IDC's predictions are confirmed, the technology industry may be in the midst of the fastest-changing period ever. Early transformations, from mainframes to microcomputers to personal computers and client server technologies, have led to the emergence of giants such as Oracle and Microsoft, Also led to the decline of old leaders such as Digitalequipmentcorp and wanglaboratories.

Gens said the identical.

"HP will be challenged. Microsoft, Intel, SAP, RIM, Oracle, Cisco, Dell--all of them are facing a transformation, and there will be competition for about 2020 years. At least one-third of the companies will gradually weaken. ”

In those high-profile forecasts, IDC said that by 2012, the cost of only the hardware, software and services in the cloud computing system would be $60 billion trillion. This part of the growth rate is 4.5 times times the growth rate of the entire industry. The company's cloud-servicing spending is about 36 billion, provided by Amazon.com, Salesforce.com and Google. The difference comes from "arms dealers", which provide equipment such as servers and network devices.

According to IDC, Amazon has not officially disclosed the amount of computing services it sells to companies through the Internet, and will earn more than 1 billion dollars in the industry next year.

In the early years of this year, mobile devices were annihilated by personal computers and, for the first time in 2012, revenues would surpass those of PCs, IDC said. Mobile devices will be shipped more than twice times the personal computer, and 85 million mobile apps will be downloaded.

Mobile data networks will cost more than wired networks.

The rapid shift to mobile devices caused by tablets will challenge traditional computer software companies such as Microsoft and its beneficiaries, such as Apple, to perceive that the dominance of the iOS operating system is challenged by Google's Android open source operating system.

"Before 2013, the true colours of the leaders will be revealed," Gens said. Android and iOS still exist, will Windows8 still make Microsoft exist? By the end of the year, we'll know whether it's a good idea to put a personal computer running on a mobile device.

In 2012, Kindle, the Amazon, will dominate the tablet market by 20% and it will be the most successful device, IDC said. Although fire is operating in Android, Google is not involved in this product. Gens the fire as "a huge content device," he predicts, Amazon will produce in a larger plate, which will make it more beneficial to enterprise functions, such as creating and sending data after a year or two.

The increase in the number of online people and machines will lead to a surge in digital data. In 2012, IDC said, the volume of data storage would grow by 48%, to 2.7 bytes, or 2.7 billion bytes, relative to 2011. The company said that before 2015, the total amount will reach 8 bytes.

These changes will make the incumbents richer but will also face challenges in acquiring new companies, Gens said.

"IBM, Microsoft and Oracle are destined to become cloud providers," he said. Microsoft needs a content cloud and a media cloud, like Netflix. Smaller independent service providers such as NetSuite, Workday, Taleo and SuccessFactors will be acquired over the next 6-10 months. ”

(Responsible editor: The good of the Legacy)