Look past: Insist, not necessarily line, but do not insist, must not

Look past: Insist, not necessarily line, but do not insist, certainly not!

From the minority in the 2000 to the present minority, from the domain name to the Web site to the app, adhere to come over, such as the Immortal Road Teddy Boy, the United States Tuxiu, easy to name Chinese meatballs, speed technology cai Chongzhen they are insisting on, they are the first to know how to adhere to the minority, is Cai boss once said they are Xiamen entrepreneurial industry "5 brothers", but why a name is less, because that one in 04 years, go back to Quanzhou home, now he is in Quanzhou, he is doing his small business.

Look at the opportunity: you dare not believe, you can not believe!

You may not be able to trust Cai's future prospects, as we have been unable to believe that Cai's boss has done it, and the trend has been growing. 2000 a 4-digit domain name 30 blocks-60 pieces one, to now a tens of thousands of. If someone was willing to take out 300,000 investment, now this wealth at least a few billion to 10 billion! 09, CAI Boss with staff came to Xiamen Software Park, then very barren, car casually stop, now, you want to find a parking lot is not easy. Also in 09, he predicted that the PC Internet would decline, and many people called him crazy, but now it seems faster than he imagined. Then maybe you ask, do I have a chance now? Cai boss told you there is, but if you just follow the footsteps of predecessors, you will be very difficult!

Looking to the future: You may not believe in the history of human evolution, please refer to the "singularity near," a book, the book one of the biggest prophecy is that 2045 when artificial intelligence will be completely beyond human beings, the earth will not have social people, most of them are half man and half machine. At first you'll find it incredible, but if you look at it, it includes thinking back to the recent "Super Body", the recently aired "Interstellar Crossing." One of the most famous predictions of the book's authors is that computers will defeat the human brain in the 1998 chess game. Later we know that 1997, IBM out of a computer called Deep Blue, defeated the Russian Chess Championship.
Of course, after all, after 30 years, we are not able to go to that time, or we go to that time, we are 60 years old, 70 years old, so back to reality, the real business of what should be seen now.

Quite close to reality, there are three important trends:

First, the development of enterprises before the profit as the center, slowly, will be slowly converted to the user scale, customer service as the center.
The second, changing trend is that labour-intensive industries will slowly shift to the age of artificial intelligence and robotics.
The third shift, the real economy and the entity experience, will shift to the virtual line.
More exciting content, please look down to CAI boss speech finishing full version:

Recently participated in the entrepreneur meeting, very feeling!
More than 10 years ago, 2000 to Xiamen, at that time to find a few people to communicate the Internet, is really very few, as Faithwin said, Xiamen in 2000 that stage, only 3-4 of the Internet companies, most of the domain name registration and domain name space. 35 interconnection, business China, resources ... Just a few. At that time out of the entrepreneurial less, there are several people particularly active, Teddy Boy, Wu Xinhong, Meatballs, Cai Chongzhen, there is a fat, name I forget, I always call them five brothers. Cai founder Speed, has been listed in a shares, has become a a-share price of the highest stock. That meatball, also made the easy name China, recently did cloud entrepreneurship, the company valuation is very high. Punk, I play through, should be next month flying fish technology will be listed in Hong Kong, then Wu Xinhong, created the United States map. The other, if I remember correctly, 04 years can not adhere to the return to Quanzhou, he is now in Quanzhou, his traditional small business. This shows the importance of persistence.

Of course, you will say, I often heard entrepreneurs say, at that time so good opportunity, are Cai Wen wins, are punks, are Wu Xinhong they robbed, others did not have the opportunity, now basically a little late, in fact, each stage has different opportunities. Chances are better now than we were then. You have to think, at that time, they talk to people not, then you have to register a company more difficult, including you want to find employees, then the difficulty will be 100 times times more difficult than you now, you are now easier, but you are now facing the problem is what is more competition. You are better than others, and countless people are doing it with you. Then come back to a problem, you have to have a vision, now most of the start-up is vacant, what people do, you also follow what to do. Why don't you go see something more futuristic? Back in 2000, I was going to do domain name registration, at that time almost all people are not optimistic, I want to persuade me to be around the traditional business rich, take some money to do domain names, they do not do. I said you have all 4 domain names registered, then 4 digits, like this 1388, or 1366 of this domain name, you can casually note all, one on 60, I have registered more than 100, because too expensive. I let that friend dig a 300,000, a 60, you can note how much, you can note 5,000. Today a digital domain name is basically more than 50,000. Like 1388 this as long as 30, if he 30 really to the 5,000 domain name, this wealth is at least a few billion to 1 billion, right.

So we have to look at some more of the future, then I did the domain name later, to a website to develop, the same, then you go to do some Web sites, others will not be optimistic, at that time, we feel that personal site is selling ads, cheat some money. But in fact, we look at 265 today, I think selling early, we know hao123, a year for Baidu contribution 10 hundreds of millions of, now 360, most of the income from the Web site, right. We look again, from the nearest, 2009, I returned to Xiamen, I wanted to rent the software Park Wang Hai Road, building 2nd, when I came to the software park, occupancy rate is only 30%, when I brought our team, they all think it is too desolate, along the way, the entire software park you are rarely see people, You can stop any car you want. In just 4 years, you don't see how easy it is to find a parking space right now.

It was also 09, mobile Internet, when I was teasing all the people, if you pay attention to my microblog, I said 3 years ago, I will not be transferred to the PC-side of the internet, it must be mobile internet, then, also 2010, I was a micro-blog I said that my company will certainly decline, A bunch of people at the bottom call me a psycho, but it's faster than I thought. Now talk about mobile internet, I feel a little out. The account of the user, should be done by others, has now entered the late sale. You want early 2 years 3 years to enter, now sold late. If you enter now, I feel a bit late, of course, there are some opportunities, but very difficult.

What we do, we should put our eyes further. So Jing Cheng asked me to come over, I said always tell the previous entrepreneurial story nothing new. But the last question, or the future. So today we share more of the future with you, my own understanding. About half a month ago, I was also in Shenzhen, 3 net coffee, I told a book, called "Singularity near." Has anyone seen it? Give me a hand, alas, too little, too poor. The first three years I've seen, 90% are influenced by me. I sent them out. What does this book say, one of the biggest predictions of the book, What happens when artificial intelligence transcends humans in the 2045? There will be no social people on the Earth at this time, and most of them are composed of half people and half machines. At first you'll find it incredible, but if you look at it, it includes thinking back to the recent "Super Body", the recently aired "Interstellar Crossing." One of the most famous predictions of the book is that computers will defeat the human brain in the 1998 chess game. Later we know that 1997, IBM out of a computer called Deep Blue, defeated the Russian Chess Championship.

He founded three businesses, including music synthesizers, three things he sold and sold for hundreds of millions of dollars. Then, about 6 years ago, he founded a school called the Singularity School in Silicon Valley. About 2 years ago he joined Google, now Google's engineering director, this year 60 years old, I said his resume is said he is a human gene of a person, not to say casually, he is really in this direction to do. Why the 2045 is a half man and half machine world. I believe the people in this room, 30% of people are half a man and a half machine, such as your teeth broken, you go to install personal workers, you say you are not half man and half machine. Your phone has been basically 24 hours apart from sleeping and not leaving, also half a man and a half machine. Or in another 20 years, the phone must have disappeared, implanted into your arm, right? Therefore, the development of science and technology will eventually be combined with the human body, and then extended to see the things around us, it will feel meaningless. If today he said that the 2045 arrived at the singularity, then, our medical skills, to now only repair the role, such as the belly of the broken, for you to repair, again bad, no operation. Why not replace it, print a belly with 3D, or print a stomach, a bladder ... The current technology is actually done, but it is very expensive. You may have to change a stomach like that for 10 million dollars. Few people can afford it, but in another 20 years, maybe a stomach, like a mobile phone, 3000 dollars, everyone can afford. Then you say you don't change. Similarly, a mobile phone, this iphone phone, if put 20 years ago, the production of such a small mobile phone, to such a strong computing function, it should cost 100 million of dollars, we know the development of chips, today, a mobile phone how much money, is 5000 yuan. The same new industry will be so simple by then. Also we need to strengthen the body, to practice muscle strength, and then with others fight why, the future you do not go to change your arm, on 3000 pieces, that arm never wear.

Last 3 months ago, a company listed in the United States, called Newwork, this is an EC founder of the company, the company on the day of the listing 11 dollars, three days rose to 44 dollars, three days rose 3 times times more, this is a company, just 16 employees. Last year's revenue was just more than 1 million dollars and more than 10 million yuan. With 16 employees, he can become a company of nearly 1 billion dollars. Why can this, newwork, he solves a problem, help the disabled to stand up! You know people with disabilities have to get up and walk fast, and you'll use all kinds of new therapies. No, I have acupuncture on Chinese medicine in all aspects, no longer be in a wheelchair. But he invented a kind of auxiliary equipment, this kind of auxiliary equipment can let you wear up to stand up, the movement is comfortable, that this actually is I just said, the person and the machine unify. This thing, stretching development, what can he do? For example, military activities, fighting, he lets you run faster, bounce better, carry more things. Further down the development, he this set of equipment is very simple, if you come again two steel pipe, we put the two steel, the head also replaced with iron helmet, become what, Iron Man! These, as you can see, are the future that is happening.

So if we can all be like Iron Man, you think, why do you want to buy a house now, hurriedly sell the house, because you do not need clothes, the future of clothing may be this suit, this set of steel structure, you can change color, you can change anything. If our heart, our stomach, are converted to iron or 3D printing, we still need to eat, no, may be plugged in.

These 20 years will occur, so now do not say that the real estate slowly do not, the future of the real estate to engage in food and beverage have no future, I believe it. That OK, we still want to make money, we want to start a business? Be sure to start a business, because money is as important at that time. People will still have high and low points. Because you change the hand is a iron, he is more rich, he changed is steel, I have more money, I changed the aluminum alloy, richer is the exchange of hydrogen, carbonic acid. Cheap, you have to charge 5 times a day, I have money, I only a year to recharge electricity.

So, in this way of thinking, the future is likely to become incredible, I believe that the film "Interstellar Crossing" which we have seen in the past few days is also the "super Body" which was seen recently, in fact, the "super Body" film, 80% of the plot, is from the "singularity near" that the book transformed from. How we are going to develop our brain cell 10% is likely to be slow, because our human evolution is slow. We were 3 million years ago, the beginning of human beings, we are all hair, and then we invented clothes, we found that hair is not used, slowly degenerate. We're going to grow our hands today. It will be easy to get a pen, this evolution has not been able to keep pace with the changes in technology. With machines to replace our people, our organs, our senses, this has to slowly close to reality, so I think the entrepreneurial space inside, is very huge.

So I suggest you take a look at that book, this is about the future, of course, after all, it is 30 years, we can not go to that time, or we go to that time, we are 60 years old 70 years old, then to create unrealistic. So back to reality, the real business of what to see now.

Quite close to reality, there are three important trends:

The first, the development of enterprises before the profit as the center, slowly, will slowly convert to the user scale, customer service as the center. How to say, before we start a business, we began to think that 1.0002 billion a year, and the traditional business is how much money you pay for the majority of the shares, this is the traditional business method. This way is very bad, the Internet why the rapid development of the emergence of your money may account for small stocks, that is, we venture to find VC. The success of Millet is in this mode, not to make money-oriented, even if he now make money, he will take more money every year, take more money to maintain his circle, you see Ma Yun, then released more than 20 billion, now issued more than 8 billion U.S. dollars, is to occupy more users, forming a huge user platform. But in the beginning, you do business is to make money for the purpose, may not earn. Because in the future, a lot of things are free. It's like believing that the singularity will come true, and I think the House should be free after 60 years. Our Su Ying is doing such a thing, our Su Ying founded the garage coffee, now he found an exciting point, that is, rent the whole house, cheap rent to others, but think his mode to go down, is simply free. The House should be free, the car should be free, and the clothes should be free. Do not make money for the purpose, but how to make it, using services to replace your original profit. This has been a prototype from millet, from many businesses, the foreign Apple APP, including Google, is a major change for us, the Google, like a drop of a taxi and a quick taxi, I reckon he will one day be free, because so many people are playing his car, and then hanging an ad To earn your money. Just like we use QQ with micro-letter is free, but in fact you are contributing more energy every day. So this is the first.

The second change in the

trend is that labour-intensive industries will slowly shift to the age of artificial intelligence and robotics. For example, now that our college students come out, find a secretary, find a front desk, also 2000 block 3000, but you have to hire an aunt a nanny, will be particularly expensive, may need to 5-6000, or even 7000, not to mention skilled workers, those a bit of mud workers, those who have a bit of carpentry skilled workers, One months to earn 10,000. Like Wanda's boss, they have to take out cash every month to pay for them, otherwise they won't do it. Like college students out, find a job is not easy, but how to solve it, now can solve is aunt help, 58 home, they are in the solution, they more standardized, more standardized to exercise these aunts and nannies, eventually you must robot to solve these problems. Of course, the machine is divided into many kinds, he may be a platform, may be a lamp, may be a screen or a table, the existence of various forms, they more to the app direction, their space is also very large, in the next 5 years to 10

The third shift, the real economy and the entity experience, will shift to the virtual line. How to say, back to each of us reading, reading may now have very advanced university, after reading you want to come out to find a job, or you want to pick up the girls, our sense of need these, people face-to-face communication between people, the future is not necessary. I give my own example, my personal growth space, like my 70-born, your life relationship, basically by your primary school playmates, your classmates, your colleagues, to make up. While we were reading, we played together with the pair. But now, if you are a student, I believe that you do not have this experience, because your life is the family, the school, unless the family is particularly bad, there will be some differences, the students also rarely walk. What happened to me was actually about 7 years ago, I had a son in 94, and then, when he stayed at home every day, I was worried, why worry, because he only has a family school, playing computer games all day. I worry, the child is not stupid, do not contact with others. At that time he was 15 years old, and then I accidentally saw his QQ, I realized, I saw his QQ, he has 50 groups inside, a group of dozens of people, all over the world, all walks of life, what Professor chef who have, I suddenly wake up in where, I think of my 15 years old, I am the same 15-year-old, At that time I didn't even come to Xiamen, I have never seen a plane, never seen the train, I knew a quanzhou people at that time, I can be happy and show off, that is, when our horizons only classmate companion, but now the child, although he did not leave the home, but his world view, contact people, are world-class. This is also the case, this is in the future, a way of making friends may be more online will be realized, which is why like singing it, now there will be some to karaoke OK, then you do not have to go, sing it is not the line. Why is beauty Mito popular? In fact, we define the Mito as a cosmetic, traditional party, you go out to wear makeup, now, you participate in the online party, you want to have a head, to participate in a social network, you have to use the same beauty Mito makeup. This is a manifestation of respect for people. More experience games, there will be more exciting experience in the future, in fact, about 5-6 years ago, when the PC side appeared a software called SecondLife, Second Life, who knows, at that time this software in the United States is rage, this Second life, is to build a world on the Internet, there are countries, There are banks, there are McDonald's, there are casinos ... You can change into dollars, then I found that the client is too big, the second is that he uses a computer, to go home to use the computer, I believe that soon the second secondlife will appear.

End：

We Xiamen is a humane, warm, but also the same is suitable for entrepreneurial city. Of course, 10几 years ago, because the internet needs a certain scale, you can achieve success, so the size of Xiamen was not strong enough, but today, he is enough

Back to our theme, Cross-strait Entrepreneurship Week, which said what the problem, you have in Xiamen and Taiwan have a very good point of combination. Taiwan in the Internet age, they missed, half a month ago I saw Ma Ying nine in Taiwan, I told Ma Ying-jeou that your Taiwan needs to open, open and China's cooperation innovation entrepreneurship, MA said too ashamed to let the mainland guests talk about opening.

But Taiwan has the advantage of Taiwan, the Taiwanese people in the brand building, in the cultural creativity, in the service industry, they have been very top-notch. We know that the CEOs of China's top internet companies, including the CFO, are Taiwanese, just as we see Alibaba CFO Cai Chongshen is Taiwanese. Xiamen and Taiwan in a geographical relationship, how to combine, I think is a very big opportunity, Xiamen's hardware and software, we see, very good.

The last thing to say, like the advice I made last year, we come to participate in this kind of entrepreneurial competition, more you regard him as a kind of entrepreneurial opportunity, do not care about that position, that position as you in the school exam results, in the school exam is good, does not mean that he did in the entrepreneurial good, understand. This is only to prove that he has a good exam, the game is the same, of course, you want to share with others, how to let more people identify with you, the achievement is only to give you a commendation, give you a compliment. But there is no ranking, do not worry too much, I give an example, last year, should also be in the entrepreneurial week, face Meng founder, we know, face Meng reached 80 million users this year, just at the beginning of his silent nameless, no one to help him, did not think he was a cannon and red. Thank you!