The Web is dead? Where is the internet trend in the future

According to foreign media reports, George Crannie, chairman and chief executive of Forrester Research, at the LeWeb meeting in 2011, sparked yet another hot debate about comparing apps to the Web. And the following is the well-known science and technology blog GigaOM.com to this introduction and comments:

In Crannie's view, he thinks the web is dead and has been replaced by an applied economy-mobile and smartphone apps that use cloud or other services are not open web. This view quickly sparked a lot of intense debate, such as the RSS pioneer Dave Winner Dave Winer, who felt that the future was not a world of applications. But others have likened the application to the "interactive" CD-ROM in the 90 's. Does the boom in application necessarily mean the death of the Web? And if so, does it mean that we are losing something important?

and Crannie that in the future, "the application of the Internet" will be a trend, partly because of the increasing computational power--not only in a cloud where a giant server is storing and processing our data, even on our handheld devices, such as the ipad 2. However, Crannie also said that bandwidth has not been able to keep up with these changes, so we will see that the web can only give way to these processes and display data from cloud services.

If you are a platform owner, you will find the closed system very good.

If you are an application developer, or if you are an important participant in an application economy, like Apple and other platform providers (such as Facebook and Google), you will no doubt feel that this prospect sounds wonderful. Applications are valuable because they allow you to control the user's experience in all the tiniest details, and they also give you a way to get income by providing something, whether it's the application itself or the content or service your application provides (games, reviews, news content, etc.). If you are Facebook, you will have a direct channel to the users of the Zynga game or the social-reading apps launched by the media company.

But not everyone thinks it's a wonderful prospect. Winner, for example, feels that the application ecosystem seems to be a series of islands of information-islands that work only on a particular service or platform, which in many cases cannot even be connected to other applications. As winner said: If I can't link to your world, the application ecosystem is far from the alternative web. It's ridiculous to say that you don't need the ocean anymore because you have a bathtub. Your bathtub is very good, but you try to build a continent around it to see.

John Battelle, founder of Federated Media, also believes that the application of ecosystems has its own benefits, but it still does not provide much of what the open Web can provide-if the "Application Internet" replaces the web but does not develop these features, Then the web might as well have died for him. Like winner, Battle also believes that the most important of these features is that the web makes it easy for Web sites to interoperate and data exchange based on open standards. In contrast, the application is a "walled garden" (walled garden) that can interoperate only if the platform owner allows them.

Is the Web dead, or is it just evolving?

As winner pointed out in his post, the controversy has preceded it, and it is likely to reappear later. The last time that the Wired magazine produced a cover story that said "The Web is Dead" and applied the economy to replace it (wired uses a somewhat misleading network traffic map as an argument). The response to the line includes one of the founders of the web, Sir Tim Bernas-Lee (Tim Berners), who believes the trend is fundamentally negative because it gives platform companies like Apple and Google the right to control the walled gardens, This is to some extent detrimental to the entire Internet and to society as a whole.

As some have pointed out, the debate about the Web and the application of ecosystems is, to some extent, a debate about terminology. After all, there are many applications that are just dedicated web browsers that use web-based standards and techniques to display and manage data--and there is no doubt that some applications offer more value to users. For example, some games are more expensive to use than HTML5, and applications can make good use of the camera or other built-in features of the device (for example, the path application is beautifully designed).

Some people, including startups consultant and investor Dave Macluer (Dave McClure), say that applications and the web are not necessarily opposites, and that applications that can connect and exchange information in different services or devices can exist- Even now this application is rare. Scott Hanselman, Microsoft's senior project manager, Scott Hanselman that apps are not necessarily a walled garden island like the CD-ROM of the late the 1990s. Stow Boyd Stowe Boyd, a social networking consultant, argues that we need a different paradigm, both beyond the browser-based web and beyond the current application, that the application ecosystem we see now is just a transitional thing.

Ideally, the future world will combine the best applications with the best Web features (open, without proprietary standards, and without gatekeeper-style platform owners). Perhaps somewhere, entrepreneurs and developers are struggling to achieve such a future.