At this time last year, the Forester Research Company (Forrester) released predictions about how the maturity of cloud computing technology would change the market. Now that the year is reviewed, we can see that, while mature markets do seem promising, the maturity of the market does not mean unification, so our predictions prove to be a hodgepodge:
1. Not everything will go to the clouds.
Rating: A. While top management may still be advocating it as a long-term vision, given the maturity and capabilities of the current cloud technology, we already know what should not go to the cloud. The guiding principles of architecture and economic models suffice to suggest that many traditional work operations do not require a public cloud. We are beginning to see some early indications that the private cloud is not a new name for virtualization, but it is a separate environment, and not all applications in the data center will be placed in a private cloud.
2. Cloud and mobile are combined.
Rating: A. As predicted, the dominant mobile application model is a support force for the cloud. Commercial mobile back-office services not only help mobile applications to scale freely to meet the needs of mobile clients, but also reduce the load and security risks of the company's business data centers. But for those companies that are slowly accepting this synergy, we have to give a C-level rating here. Now we'll still see a lot of businesses bypassing Mbaas (moving back-end services), trying to connect mobile apps to their Web tier or back to the background. This not only adds unnecessary burdens to mobile applications, but also suppresses their potential agility.
3. No more emphasis on cloud SLAs (service layer contracts).
Rating: C. Since there is a consensus that applications need to be self-protection, too many companies tend to seek specific SLAs in their contract negotiations. While more cloud outages often trigger a business's desire to simplify SLAs, your own datacenter is not as sensitive as the cloud, so don't panic. Because the cloud rarely negotiates with individual consumers over their SLAs, the end result for many companies is a professional management service contract (either signed with the cloud provider's service team or signed with a third-party vendor that monitors and actively manages the user's work). Take a look at the best example report of the cloud SLA negotiations Forester Research analyst Bill Martorelli.
4. The cost of cloud services and cloud platforms in the business is becoming clearer.
Rating: C. Although we have seen strong sales and growth of cloud services management companies such as Cloudyn, Cloudcruiser, Cloudability, DataPipe's Newvem, and Rightscale's plan for cloud, But we do not see the majority of their corporate users across the cloud platform. And the survey is often about how to control the cost of the cloud to rise, not to fall. There is a big demand for how to manage cloud costs more effectively within the enterprise. We also want to see more companies from the cloud and expect them to start improving their own it financial management technology. In this respect, we still have a long way to go.
5. Infrastructure and Operations (I&O) maintainers will allow the enterprise development team to build applications on the cloud platform.
Rating: D. Although some evidence of this is certain to be found in 2013, most companies will not make this rule. The IT op typically still sees the public cloud as an enemy, not a popular new member of a group. As stated a year ago, developers do not need its permission, and our surveys and customer surveys also show that the same type of business developers must not wait for their permission, after all, their use of the cloud has only grown over the past year. Although some "type a" companies have the IT OP that supports the development of the source code most often, I&o is still trying to understand the new role it will play in the cloud era.
6. Real use of cloud backup and disaster recovery.
Rating: B. According to the 2013 Forrsights Hardware survey, disaster recovery, the proportion of services (DRAAS), has increased to 23%, and the proportion of DIY Dr implementations in the cloud platform is 21%. In addition, we can foresee a strong increase in the number of Dr installation enablers over the next year. We look forward to seeing this growth in 2014, as surveys show that business continuity and disaster recovery (BCDR) are a key factor in getting companies to move to the cloud. Rachel Dines, BCDR analyst, said: "They are moving towards the cloud platform because Dr is part of the wave of people investing." In addition, some companies may even never openly discuss Dr because they regard Dr as a competitive advantage. ”
7. Clouds are not synonymous with commodities.
Level: A. Thanks to the new types of cloud resources, such as SSDs, Infiniband, 10GbE, and even GPUs, the idea of getting the basic product from the cloud has finally vanished, and there should be more derivatives in 2014. The specialized cloud platform we are actually seeing is beyond the offerings of bare metal servers and specific High-performance computing (HPC) environments like Newgogrid. In fact, you may find that its main suppliers are moving away from commercialization. AWS, IBM, HP, Rackspace, Google and Microsoft ... Every company does not want to lose in the race, and is moving up the value chain of high-performance professional products.
8. The cloud does not equate to AWS.
Rating: A. While AWS still dominates the public cloud platform space, the steady growth of legitimate private clouds is worth treating as a competitive growth from 2013. Microsoft Cloud OS Windows Azure also adds IaaS functionality. Google, IBM, Hewlett-Packard and Salesforce.com have significantly increased the role of their cloud platforms, showing strong growth. Several leading companies also in Hong Kong say they can account for the value of private clouds within real firewalls, such as the US's largest limited Comcast (Comcast), concur, PayPal, CERN, MIT and Ctrip (Ctrip), Have talked about its private cloud based on OpenStack.
9. Advanced virtualization is a good thing, but clouds are not equal to virtual machines.
Rating: C. Infrastructure operators should recognize the different roles of their virtual machine environment and private cloud, and do not confuse them. Cloud environment. As the 2013 Forrsights Hardware Survey shows, European and Asian companies are the culprits in confusing the concepts, and they see cloud computing as a tool to advance their own virtualization agendas. However, because there is a positive side to our upcoming "Forrest" Private cloud software solution, we have not given it a worse rating. Through a study of more than 30 customer interviews, Lauren Nielsen (Lauren Nelson) found that the various operations teams were aware of the differences and performed their actions according to their correct understanding. However, these environments rarely provide self-service, automated provisioning, standardized services, or cost transparency to developers. Not because they do not understand these needs, but because cultural and organizational change is difficult and takes a certain amount of time.
10. Developers will also be aware that development in the cloud is no different from traditional development.
Rating: B. While cloud developers are young, more open source and more mobile centric, they are the same as the development language, framework, and development approach we use in the enterprise, an expanded cloud developer survey shows. Cloud developers now have a significantly higher proportion of modern application architectures and continuous delivery methods than open source cloud configuration management and automation tools Opscode Chef.
So, what kind of forecasts will the Forester research company make in 2014?
(Responsible editor: The good of the Legacy)