The missing horse shipping data tells you the real aviation security situation

The incident of the MA Hang's failure affects everyone's heart, the world has become a pick-up, and the latest news, @ CCTV News: "Proliferation: 54 hours of aircraft lost the latest news" ① China will be sent by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Public Security, composed of a joint working group to go to Malaysia, ② the first batch of Chinese passenger family will go to Kuala Lumpur ③ My Navy again sent a destroyer, an amphibious dock landing ship to rescue; ④ China's "South China Sea Rescue 115" is expected to arrive 18 o'clock today in the suspected wrecked waters; ⑤ Interpol said it found "more suspicious passports". Pray

March 9 09 O'Clock, Malaysia aircraft missing latest news: Malaysia Airlines number MH370 airliner flight lost in the incident has been more than 24 hours. Ma Airlines 9th at 9 O ' Day in Kuala Lumpur, the latest press conference, Ma said that there is still no evidence of finding any debris. The Observer network will continue to follow up on the latest news.

According to China Southern Airlines official micro-blog yesterday (March 8) confirmed that Malaysia Airlines MH370 flight to Beijing, the passenger list, 7 passengers are through the Southern airlines to complete the booking, and the previous media coverage of two passports stolen Western passengers of the booking information are all from Southern Airlines.

Approved by the Central Military Commission, March 8 11:50 P.M., is carrying out the mission in Nansha waters of the missile frigate Mianyang ship was ordered to sail to the lost waters, is expected to arrive 10th morning. Today 3 o'clock in the morning, the Naval amphibious landing ship Jinggangshan warship from Zhanjiang Naval port emergency set sail to the loss of the sea to participate in rescue, will arrive on the morning of 11th. Rescue continues, we are still waiting!

MH370 aircraft has lost more than 24 hours

For those who travel frequently by plane, the most unwilling to see the news is the flight accident, but for the statistical origin of people, there are rational data to prove that aviation is currently the most secure traffic on the earth. What is the status of aviation security, big data to tell you.

According to the International Air Transport Association, as long as an ordinary passenger rides a plane produced by a western aircraft manufacturer, he is less than one hundred thousand one out of 10,000 more likely to experience an aviation accident. In terms of the probability of an accident, even the longest-flying pilot can do more than 20,000 flights a lifetime. The chances of an airline accident are very low--even if a person takes a plane every day, it can take 14,000 years to get an air accident.

At this time, the network and all kinds of media flooded with all kinds of news, people's sensibility will prevail over rationality, the knowledge of statistics will give way to the inner feelings.

With regard to aviation safety, the analysis of large data can at least tell us a few truths that we tend to mistake:

1, the conclusion of the data statistics no doubt tells us that the aircraft is the most secure travel vehicles on Earth, than cars, trains and so on the level of security is too high;

What is the frequency of major aircraft accidents?

Major accidents rarely occur, resulting in a number of casualties of the accident rate of about one out of 10,000. Aviation is the safest way to distance traffic, and it becomes more and more secure. 30 years ago, the incidence of major accidents was 140 million miles per flight. It is now 1.4 billion miles before a major accident has increased security by 10 times times.

Which is safer, by plane or by bus?

According to a comparative study of the casualties that occurred in 1993-1995 years by the National Security Commission, it is 22 times times safer to take a plane than to take a car. In fact, in the past 60 years in the United States, the number of deaths caused by aircraft crashes is less than that caused by car accidents in representative 3 months.

There are 239 passengers aboard the MH370 aircraft, 154 of whom are Chinese.

2, for a single person, airplanes, trains or cars, the probability of safe travel is virtually the same.

From the distance between driving and the number of deaths, traveling by air is the safest way to travel, but if the number of deaths and the duration of a single trip is the same, the train is as safe as an airplane and the risk of travel by car is only four times times that of a plane; Cars are three times times safer than airplanes, and trains are six times times safer than airplanes.

But one must note that the possibility of a vehicle is difficult to compare accurately with the possibility of another vehicle. The aircraft had 250 passengers and crew at once, while a car carried up to five passengers. As a result, the aircraft is 50 times times the number of vehicles at a time, but the safety of the car is 60 times times (measured by the distance to travel). For a single passenger, the safety of an aircraft is no higher than that of a car.

3, the impact of aircraft accidents is greater than other accidents, because of the small number of accidents but the severity of the high degree of attention;

4. By analyzing the operating data of global airlines, large data experts in the United States have revealed that the aviation safety indices are virtually the same, not that developed countries are more secure, except, of course, those that are sanctioned and in a state of disarray;

5, foreign experts did get the conclusion of the data, international flights are often more than domestic flights out of the probability of accidents, all countries are the same, not developed countries international flights are more secure;

6. The safety factor of each airline is different, the Aviation Accident Data Evaluation Center (JACDEC) in Germany synthesizes the flight mileage and accident data of 30 of global 60 airlines, and evaluates the safety of each airline.

According to their data, Finnish airways is currently the safest airline in the world, and there have been no serious accidents for 50 years. Followed by Air New Zealand, Cathay and Emirates. China's Hainan Airlines ranked 8th, Eastern Airlines, Air China and Southern Airlines ranked 36, 43 and 48 respectively. The safest 9 airlines have not lost an aircraft for the past 30 years and have not caused any loss of life. But many of these companies were set up late, and the operating time did not reach 30, such as the UAE's Etihad Aviation 2003 years ago.

7. The safety of different seats on the plane is similar, the safety after the accident depends on the severity and luck of the accident, not the front cabin is safer than the rear, or the middle is safer than the two sides;

8, the flight process of the safety probability is not the same, take-off and climb to cruise altitude, descent and landing is the most likely to go wrong in the two stages of flight. In very simplistic terms, aircraft requirements are highest in engine thrust and structural integrity during take-off, while proximity and landing are most demanding for cockpit crews. About three-fourths of all serious accidents occurred during these two short flight phases.

9, the safety factor of large aircraft is not much higher than the small aircraft, its implementation of the safety standards are basically consistent, people on the safety of small aircraft more from prejudice.

10. European and American companies claim their planes are safer than other planes. The number of jet and propeller planes produced by Western aircraft companies accounted for 95% and 80% of the world's aviation market respectively. Of the 23 accidents that led to the death of passengers in 2012, only three were used by aircraft manufactured by Western aircraft companies. But there are also problems with this data, and for large data such as flying, the comparison between data of this proportion is of little significance, in fact, the reasons for such differences should be more closely related to the regional and national security management of aircraft flight.

Finally, I wish all the Flying people peace!