The Secret of the rent

A few days in a row, Beijing high temperature. Walking on the Hot asphalt Road, Xia Shi (alias) inner anxiety and Beijing summer heat stirred together, more restless. Xia Shi, a native of Beijing, has been living at home.　　Then he decided to move out of the house after his girlfriend, and then he really felt the pressure of rising rents. July, it is also the graduation season for college students, many graduates of Beijing university students have become Xia shi competitors. Xia Shi commissioned by the agency to find the house, not too old is too far, the conditions better a little traffic convenient one bedroom, the rent is more than 2500 yuan per month.　　Plus the intermediary fee, the monthly rent is actually as high as 2700 yuan, almost equivalent to his half a month's income. Indignant Xia Shi will also accompany him to see the house intermediary said, "is your intermediary to the rent fry up." "The housing rental market price rising momentum too fast, has become the focus of macro-control since the issue." Recently, the reporter learned that the rapid rise in rent has aroused the attention of management, housing and Urban and rural Ministry of Construction has commissioned a unit of real estate brokers to investigate Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other cities in the cause of soaring rents.　　But the underlying causes of the short-term bubble rise in rents still seem to be out of the equation.　　Beijing's top 20% rise in the report caused a stir in the intermediary industry.　　Daily active second-hand housing intermediary analyst, interviewed by reporters, invariably take evasive attitude, or repeatedly asked to hide the real identity and information sources. It was not long ago that the Department of Housing and Construction commissioned a real estate broker to study the changes in rents in Beijing. The real estate Broker society in Beijing chose Zhongyuan Real estate, chain Home property and I love my home real estate three intermediaries as the Beijing market research object, in Guangzhou, chose the Full House red, Shanghai chose Familia, Shenzhen selected 21st century real estate.　　All the agencies involved in the research have submitted their own research reports according to the requirements of the Institute of Real estate brokers.　　This reporter July 9 to China Real estate valuers and real estate brokers, vice president and Secretary-General Chai Qiang to verify the matter, Chai Qiang said that the official report has not yet submitted to the Ministry of Housing, the market rumors of the intermediary to push up the rent of the argument, to a certain extent not comprehensive. 21st Century, vice chairman of real estate China Lu Ai told the newspaper reporter, he had a complete read the summary report. said that the report is more objective, the report mainly mentioned three points, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and other first-tier cities from the beginning of this year, the average rent rose to 8%, but some areas such as school district room rent rose faster, some areas more than 20%.　　Lu Ai also said Beijing's rents were rising in 2009, but only up 9% in the year. The report also mentions seasonal and market reasons for rising rents. There are also references to a handful of intermediaries driving up rents.　　A small number of intermediaries have "housing Bank" business, at a certain price from the owner of the house to take over, and then sublet their own to earn the difference, but not all intermediaries are doing. Interestingly, in the reporter to the intermediary analysisIn the course of the investigation, intermediaries have accused each other of being involved in driving up rents, but they do not consider the intermediary industry to be the main culprit in pushing up rents.　　Lu Ai pointed out that the intermediary industry does not have a unified database, often according to their own customer transactions to statistics, and in Beijing real estate transactions Management network did not release second-hand housing transaction network signed data, the intermediary even according to some point of view to write some data, so that the annual report when the data are available.　　Market lockout brings about the rise effect although from an objective point of view, by the State regulation of the real estate market, the recent national housing sales slump, intermediary income plummeted, rent rental agent is really a lot of intermediary survival key, intermediary is alleged to drive up rent the most motivated group. Some experts also pointed out that prices did not see a sharp reduction in rent but the phenomenon of rising, it is easy for people to question the effect of real estate regulation, thus affecting the Government's determination to further regulate real estate, which may be some interest groups in the government's real estate regulation at the beginning, wantonly hype the purpose of the　　Xinhua and other Mainstream media have reproduced this view. But Zhong Wei, director of the Centre for Financial Research at Beijing Normal University, from a neutral point of view, said the problem was simple, and the most fundamental reason for the rise in rents was the supply and demand relationship. In the new house market, developers may form a price Monopoly alliance. In the second-hand housing market, each tenant, each broker is a decentralized individual, even the largest intermediary on the market share is very limited. In such a decentralized market, it is impossible to form a complete monopoly.　　Zhong Wei that even if there are interest groups, it is difficult to completely pry such a large market.　　But why in the case of second-hand housing prices have declined, the rent has risen steadily? Zhong Wei pointed out that, in essence, rent is determined by the supply and demand relationship, but also the inevitable result of this round of regulation. The new deal has made some people lose the opportunity to be a house slave and ant colony, and many people who are supposed to solve the housing problem through the house purchase can only be solved by leasing.　　and the seasonal factors of college students ' graduation will have much effect on how to push up the rent, and the truth will be sorted out by September. The dramatic rise in rents is also due to the relatively rapid rise in house prices in the first half of this year, or even a rise, a situation that regulators have not anticipated. "The new deal has led to a market lockout and soaring rents, proving again that regulation is not a straight-line regulation, but rather a complex nature."　　"Zhong Wei said. Lu Ai also believes that the supply and demand relationship is the decisive factor. After the new deal, for outsiders to buy a house restrictions, buy less people. For investment, after buying a house to rent, the return on investment is very low compared to sales, this part of the group is looking for asset preservation effect. When people can not buy a house, there will be less and fewer houses available for rental. Plus the expectation of a property tax levy, when the landlord's cost is getting higher. "Affected by the new deal to suspend the purchase of the group, a large part of the rigid demand for housing groups, this situation is not normal unhealthy."　　"Lu Ai said.Niemesen, President of the Chamber of Commerce of the real estate industry, is also concerned about the rise in rents, and she believes that the rise in rents also proves the existence of a lot of rigid demand. From can't afford to rent 2005, the Beijing Municipal Construction Council issued the first quarter of the year housing leasing guidance Price: Ordinary building one bedroom average rent 1295 yuan/month, two bedroom for 1614 yuan/month, bedrooms for 2122 yuan/month. By 2008, the real estate of the chain of statistics for one bedroom monthly average rent of 1900 yuan, 2009, one-bedroom monthly average rent of 1970 yuan.　　But by the year 2010, the average rent for one bedroom had risen sharply to nearly 3000 yuan. "This is really a big impact for some rental groups," he said. These groups are completely out of policy consideration and even rely on investors to solve the housing problem.　　"He told reporters in a rather worried way. He further analysis, for the monthly income of 5000 yuan to 10,000 yuan white-collar workers, in the absence of sufficient savings before, are relying on rent to solve the housing problem. In the absence of wage increases, a sharp rise in rents will have a significant impact on the lives of this group.　　And these groups are not low-rent housing supply object, and public rental housing to local government financial pressure is more, slow to market, far water can not solve thirst. Zhou Xiao, director of the Institute of Law and Sociology of Renmin University of China, is receiving an interview with the reporter also said that the rent rise, rental ratio from abnormal state gradually return to normal is good, but it may bring new social problems. "Usually the government solves a problem, always create two new problems, to learn Dayu flood water, can not block only sparse."　　Zhou Xiaozheng says the rise in rents is likely to force companies to raise wages. "If you can't afford it, it will be more socially problematic," he said. More than one industry insider expressed similar concerns in an interview. And Zhong Wei, Lu Ai and others have predicted that rents in the future there is the possibility of rising.