Who will upgrade China's manufacturing industry ten years later?

"It is spring outside, but my heart is winter ?" The classic line of Sakuragi is a true portrayal of China's manufacturing industry. Since the winter of last year, the coastal areas of Mainland China and Jiangsu have witnessed the collapse of the modern region, such as the Panel store Shenghua technology, such as the Dongguan boss who attempted to commit suicide... Now that the winter is spring, China's manufacturing industry has not ushered in spring, but the form is more severe.

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According to domestic media reports, on the eve of the Spring Festival, the famous Japanese watch company xitie city announced the liquidation and dissolution of its production base in China. More than employees were terminated from the labor contract. At the same time, microsoft plans to shut down Nokia's Dongguan and Beijing factories and cut off 9000 people. In addition, some other well-known foreign-invested enterprises, such as Panasonic, sharp, and TDK, plan to further promote the manufacturing base migration plan, samsung, Foxconn, Nike and other internationally renowned enterprises are also under pressure from the cost of mainland China to East and South Asia to set up factories. After the Spring Festival, the manufacturing industry in mainland China experienced a "Grief" atmosphere. This reminds me of the fact that after the Spring Festival in 2014, Dongguan became a home for 0.2 million girls. Obviously, this analogy is a bit evil, but there are many similarities between the assembly line staff and the station street girl. For example, they all rely on their youth to eat, and they are busy every day and need to work night shifts. The only difference is that, manufacturing employees are sitting on the assembly line, while zhanjiemei is lying on the couch. What makes manufacturing employees feel better is that there are people who care about their future lives.

In fact, the survival of the fittest in the industrial chain, or even the destruction of the Internet, is originally a natural law of natural competition, should not have such a vigorous effect, but it is undeniable that this effect spread like a plague in mainland China, this increases the anxiety of the Chinese manufacturing industry group. It also proves that some manufacturing enterprises are very weak and lack of skills from practitioners. They prefer to spend their energy on planning strikes, instead of reserving knowledge.

Who has moved the foundation of Chinese manufacturing enterprises?

Lang Xianping, a famous economist, proposed the theory of "extraordinary 6 + 1" 10 years ago, that is, dividing the entire industrial chain into seven parts, of which six are high-profit links, it accounts for 99% of the total and is in the hands of European and American enterprises, while China's manufacturing industry is at the lowest end of the industrial chain. It not only has a small profit but also has to fight hard, and it has to pay the environmental price. In short, in Professor Lang's eyes, China is a manufacturing power, but it is definitely not a manufacturing power.

Today, foreign investment has been withdrawn from the Chinese mainland mainly due to the oppression of China's economic environment in the past 10 years. Looking back on the past decade, the real economy such as manufacturing industry is very undesirable in China, and the saying that people even come out of China to "send you to Foxconn if you don't study well" is even more important, policy-oriented has made manufacturing in China quite awkward. The biggest complaint should be the real estate economy. It is true that the investment PULL mode, represented by real estate and urban construction, has played a staged and short-lived role in China's economic growth, but it cannot bring sustainable development impetus to China's economy, in addition, the damage of the real estate economy to Chinese society has exceeded the economic field and has a catastrophic impact on Chinese people's livelihood, systems, and culture, there are a whole generation of Chinese people in the 80 s who will be in the embarrassment of repaying loans. There is no ideal, and there is no way to have an ideal. According to Li chengpeng, our heads are running two dogs every day, one is "Proliferation" and the other is "mortgage". The so-called dream after the 80 s is to use the bones of youth to cook a hot pot of House soup for five, ten, and 20 years... Drinking is like drinking ganlin, such as poisoning and trunking. I believe that it is okay to pay off loans. After all, young Americans also pay off loans. But when a person runs two dogs in his head, what other good ideas can he expect them to come up, let alone give advice to the country on these advanced things.

In addition, the real estate economy is also a huge impact on the manufacturing industry capital. As mentioned above, the real manufacturing economy is an industry with a very low gross profit rate. In addition, it needs to invest a lot of manpower, plant and equipment resources in the early stage and be subject to the constant pressure from customers. Generally, the gross margin of many manufacturing industries is lower than 5%. Powerful companies such as Foxconn can earn only 2% of the profits for Apple OEM, but the company has to take on the most tedious part of Apple's supply chain and, if appropriate, back up some black pots for Apple. While China's manufacturing industry is struggling with single-digit profits, the real estate economy can make a high-profile announcement that it can easily capture 30% of the profits, which makes the hard-pressed manufacturing enterprises out of balance in large areas, the most direct result is that Haier, KONKA, and other well-known manufacturing industries are also planning to enter real estate, and some State-owned enterprises also want to take advantage of the opportunity to get a deal, thanks to Guo taiming once vowed not to engage in real estate, otherwise, relying on the local employment advantages and a large number of employees, Foxconn's real estate industry is estimated to be a huge addition.

The State has set clear restrictions on capital entry into real estate, especially state-owned enterprises and large manufacturing capital, but it still cannot change the pattern of "Real estate most favored by capital". What's even more terrible is that, real estate is just one of the malformed virtual economies in this country. All people speculate and stock trading, training institutions, a wide array of projects, and the roads in the city are repaired once a year... These institutions and policies have absorbed a large amount of private capital, leaving less and less space for the manufacturing industry. It can be said that the economic environment has delayed the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry. Of course, the troubled Chinese manufacturing industry certainly has its own problems. The most critical defect is the lack of a future layout, from technological evolution to cadre training, then to the cost control mechanism and automated R & D. Without doing a good job in these manufacturing industries, they are doomed to be unable to take over the big hurdle of this transformation.

Who moved the rice bowl of Chinese manufacturing employees?

The collapse of a large number of manufacturing industries, or the release of contracts without warning, affects not only the export of several enterprises and local areas, but also the question of what should employees do? As mentioned above, Lang Xianping denied that China is at the lowest end of the industrial chain, with a meager profit and environmental pollution, but he ignored one of the most important adverse effects, that is, the cultivation of talents. As we all know, the work on the assembly line is a physical term. Coastal migrant workers are basically the main young and middle-aged people from rural areas. They have devoted the most time of study to boring and monotonous work, we can't help but ask: who will help China's manufacturing upgrade in ten years?

In fact, the life of assembly line employees has received the attention of authoritative media. The life described in "New Weekly" is "two hours ". Many manufacturing enterprises in coastal areas adopt a piece-rate wage system. In order to earn more wages, employees take the initiative to compress the rest time and work hard like a clockwork, but because they are too tired, the total amount is still unsatisfactory. For young people, night shift is the most painful thing. Every time they watch a table, it takes only five minutes. The assembly line is just like a perpetual motive, and it seems that it will never stop... These details basically constitute a day for assembly line workers. Because the work is too monotonous and boring, employees need to put a lot of energy to cope with it. Naturally, after work, they cannot study independently. They also think that the training courses offered by the company are a burden, they just want to see their men and women and friends as soon as possible, and then go to the room to fight for it. This bad working and living condition not only consumes the youth of employees, but also hinders their upward flow, so employees have to focus on wages and overtime. In recent years, I have seen news about employee strikes. The strange thing is that they strive for overtime instead of day off, because more overtime means more income, many manufacturing employees often choose to sit on the assembly line for two hours, consuming their lives.

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After the collapse of some manufacturing enterprises in China, there will always be protests from employees. They are worthy of sympathy. duang has lost his job in a short time. It is really pitiful, but this kind of pity not only comes from the system and environment, it is also derived from their own life value orientation. In fact, the really poor person is definitely not the executives who have intellectual capital, but the grassroots employees who never like to learn.

The only way to change this state is to upgrade employees along with the enterprise. For example, the current popular industry 4.0 concept includes a basic transformation from centralized control to decentralized enhanced control, the goal is to establish a highly flexible production model for personalized and digital product user services. In simple terms, there will be more intelligent and automated factories in the industrial 4.0 era, by then, a large number of traditional workers will be laid off, and robots will understand the SOP and be able to complete assembly perfectly. More importantly, factories do not have to pay them overtime. In the era of industry 4.0, people without intellectual capital will become homeless people, but no one is obligated to remedy them because they are neglected to learn and can only be eliminated. In contrast, employees who focus on advanced technologies such as automation, big data, and sensors do not have to worry about losing their jobs.

Finally, I would like to remind readers that enterprise collapse is the end of the world for those who have no knowledge reserves. For those who have rich knowledge reserves, it is just a new job location and a new start! (New technology discovery: Kang standing/Wen)

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Who will upgrade China's manufacturing industry ten years later?