The Dow Jones news site, according to the big events of the technology industry in 2012 and the industry's development trend , makes a forecast for next year's tech industry. The following are 10 predictions.
1. Apple stalled or broke? past 10 years Apple has been hugely successful with innovative products such as the IPhone, ipad and ipod, with an average annual revenue growth of 40% and a 40 times-fold increase in net profit. Of course, this growth is unlikely to continue. 2012 (end of September) Apple sales grew nearly 44%, a significant difference from 79% two years ago. Analysts forecast sales growth of 24% this year. After Steve Jobs died, Apple was less innovative and more hardware upgraded. Whether the iphone and ipad will continue to be hot next year or if other innovative products are being introduced will determine whether Apple can continue to grow fast.
Can 2.PC sales pick up? PC sales continue to fall, affected by the economic downturn and the rise of smartphones and tablets. Also, Wintel upgraded PC sales failed, and Windows 8, unveiled this fall, did not pull PC sentiment. Analysts say it will take a long time for consumers to adapt to the new system and not see the impact of Windows 8 until next year.
3. Can Microsoft (and Ballmer) make a comeback? PC market is weak, Microsoft borrow Windows 8 and Windows Phone8 Storm Tablet and smartphone market defeat, this makes Microsoft at a disadvantage, Microsoft's share price is slipping, next year will be the key year of Microsoft's comeback.
4. Can Whitman win back Wall Street's confidence in Hewlett-Packard? After HP's takeover of Autonomy's overpriced news, Wall Street is sceptical about HP's ability to compete in fast-changing markets, and CEO Whitman is increasingly hard to convince Wall Street that she is the right person to reverse HP's woes.
5. Who is the Intel leader after Otellini? Intel is at a disadvantage in the fast-growing smartphone chip market, threatened by rivals such as arm. Analysts expect Intel to pick up a new CEO who knows about Intel's problems in May next year, when he retires, to lead Intel back on the mobile internet bandwagon.
Can 6.Facebook regain the favor of Wall Street? Facebook's share price fell sharply following the initial public offering of shares this May, reflecting investor skepticism about Facebook's profitability. While the bright 3rd quarter has boosted Facebook's share price rally, next year is the more important test year for Facebook.
7. Can Mel lead the Yahoo Jedi counterattack? yahoo. This year under the leadership of the new management team and the board after a major overhaul, the share price since the CEO of Mel Rose 17%, next year the market will test whether Yahoo can "accelerate revenue growth."
Can 8.Zynga and Groupon reverse the trend? Two companies have fallen sharply since their IPO last year and are now facing the challenge of a transition to a business model that will launch more smart terminal games next year and Groupon to open deals.
9. Can BlackBerry survive? The 1th mobile phone, which uses the new platform, is expected to be launched next 2 March, and the first 2 quarters of next year are key to RIM's survival.
10. Next year's hottest technology term is cloud computing, Saas (software as a service) or SDN (software definition Network)? These popular new words often represent new trends in the technology industry and strategies adopted by big companies.