Industry personage: Economic trend decides the property market regulation executive power

Tanaka April 14, 17th, the State Council has introduced some cities to curb the rapid rise in housing prices "the strongest in history" regulation.　　It is noteworthy that April 15, the National Bureau of Statistics released a quarterly economic data, the first quarter of 8.0577 trillion yuan in gross domestic product, an increase of 11.9% year-on-year, faster than a year earlier 5.7%.　　First Pacific Davis Shanghai Company chairman Liu Deyang April 20 to our correspondent said that the overall economy to good is the premise of the real estate control, the first quarter of the overall economy to a good affirmation, especially the important economic indicators of GDP growth, to a large extent, determined the policy makers issued strong policies to regulate the property market determination.　　In interviews with reporters, many professionals hold similar judgments. "The first quarter GDP growth rate, the overall rapid development of the background and the housing market stringent measures, in the announcement of time node and logical relationship, are not just coincidence."　　Liu Deyang admits. So far, because of the contribution of the real estate industry to GDP and the important position in the whole economy, to really regulate the property market, curb the rapid rise in housing prices and the entire property market overheating, we must consider the adjustment of real estate after the impact of the entire economy, the overall economic good is to carry out the property market regulation of the necessary prerequisite.　　Liu Deyang that the first quarter of the overall economic data, the strict regulation of the policy to provide confidence. "This policy is unprecedented in its lethality.　　"Liu Deyang pointed out that three of them can be banned from loans and buy houses in different places, the most stringent measures. Industry generally judged that adjustment has been inevitable, optimistic estimates at least 3-6 months of short-term regulation will come, the entire two quarters of the housing market difficult to do.　　The adjustment will bring, in addition to the volume price fluctuation, the developer's investment pace will also greatly slow down. "There is also the question of sustainability, when the real estate adjustment to the overall economic impact, leading to GDP growth and other key indicators decline, the regulation can continue?"　　Liu Deyang Frankly, the mechanism of land finance is also the resistance of implementation. In the industry, it is still difficult to find other industries can make up for the real estate adjustment to the overall economic development impact.　　From the past regulatory experience, as well as other countries in the handling of real estate regulation and the overall economic relationship, has not yet found a disregard for the overall economy and adhere to the precedent of real estate regulation. "A very simple assumption is that if GDP growth in the two quarter and three quarters declines significantly, will the property market continue to be regulated?" "Liu Deyang said. "From this point of view, there is little likelihood that the government would be anxious to launch a larger property tax and other similar taxes on the market."　　"Smart developers know more about the mystery, the money on hand enough to support more than half a year or more enterprises, the current choice is to cover the plate for sale, observation." Liu Deyang pointed out that the existing measures are not the root causes, the most fundamental relationship between supply and demand, if not resolved, the regulation of the game or play as before.