There may be 4 reasons Apple watch fail, and there is only one possibility of success

Sina Science and technology news Hong Kong's South China Morning Post published an article titled "Apple Watch's 4 reasons for failure and a chance to succeed", taking stock of the reasons why Apple Watch might succeed or fail.

The following is the full text of the article:

Apple's latest smart-wear device, watch, will be released in Monday (March 9), Beijing time, March 10, in California, local time. This is the first new category of products since Apple launched the ipad in 2010, and many industry watchers believe Apple Watch may have a big tumble this time around.

And why?

Reason one: every day to charge

Battery Endurance is a major quality indicator for all modern devices, and Apple watch is no exception.

The latest report shows that Apple watch can last about 19 hours after each full power, the dosage is "general." If you use a lot of apps or other features, you may be able to run out of batteries within 5 hours.

This battery power is similar to the iphone, but for Apple Watch, players may be far less tolerant of the iphone: Most watch batteries can be used for about 4 years.

Reason two: too expensive

Not all Apple Watch players will throw 5000 dollars (or more) to buy a 18K gold version of the smart watch, but even the most basic version of the Apple Watch (Aluminum Watch sports version) will be about 349 dollars a.

Of course, it is common for people who like to watch to spend thousands of of dollars to buy the beauty of the wrist, but their expectations are expected to be available for several years, even decades.

Based on the iphone and ipad update schedule, the Apple Watch released today will be replaced in a year, and it will be a few years old. Even Zuckerberg thinks Apple's watch are priced too high.

Reason three: No iphone can not enjoy all the features

Although most of the people who will rush to Apple Watch in the coming weeks are already having "fruit powder" for a lot of Apple products, an iphone is not a fact.

But to use all the features on Apple's watch, you might have to have an iphone. Apple Watch a couple of technologies with your iphone, the company said. The report speculated that without the iphone, users might not be able to use Apple Watch to answer phones or emails, or use GPS services, or complete personal health monitoring services.

Reason four: Inadequate infrastructure

One of the most exciting features of Apple Watch is the possibility of built-in near-field communications (NFC) chips so that Apple Watch can make wireless payments.

But Mark Wilson, on the Foreign technology news website Fast Company, pointed out that "even Apple Pay, which is based on the iphone's Payment benchmarking service, does not have enough retailers to accept support and is not as universally applicable as normal credit ... Tens of millions of smartphones have failed to achieve wireless payment, can millions of smart watches? ”

Some analysts believe that Apple pay may be the "killer application" of near-field communication payments, allowing the technology to be popularized and significantly increasing adoption rates, while some analysts believe it will take years to achieve full market penetration. Credit card security technology, which uses chips and passwords, has been in the middle of the 90, but is still not widely used in the United States.

Despite so many unsuccessful reasons, Apple watch still has a chance to succeed from many pessimistic criticisms.

The reason for this is:

It's an apple!

Apple has not failed to fail: Early handheld "Newton", Macintosh TV, game console Pippin (yes, Apple once made a video game).

Even so, Apple has had a huge success. The IPod, iphone and ipad, though not revolutionary, are all market-makers, countering criticism and making Apple one of the world's biggest companies.

While the criticisms of Apple Watch are plausible and the product is likely to fail, there is still the possibility that critics will eventually be surprised.

Apple could become the world's first trillion-dollar company if sales of Apple's watch match the hype. (Twilight Rain)