World Cup Big data: Players to repeat the winning of the winning geometry?

Passionate World Cup June 25 newsletter for so many nights, drank so much beer, I believe many people with small and our leadership as easily lost all the chips in the pocket, boil (lose) red eyes. There are two days to the end of the group game, immediately to usher in the long-awaited knockout, according to the reliable news, organizers will be in the knockout stage to increase the number of "betting" chips, but the specific rules have not been introduced. However, the small part of the current more important is to sum up experience, strive to get better results in the back of the quiz.

The legendary top team value is not worth our life.

The World Cup so many days down, false fans have become a real fan, I believe that at this time of the game, everyone has their own idea of support team. For example, we lead, just like Spain, as long as the Spanish game must be in full play, such as small series, that is, like Brazil, as long as the Brazilian game lianping do not consider, later ... As we all know, boat has lost the light and has become a fanatical supporter of encouraging the organizers to increase their betting capital.

Of course, like us, the player is still a lot of, from the background data to see we are not alone:

The majority of the World Cup predictions wrong core data disclosure

As you can see from the table above, the number of traditional strong teams to win the game is overwhelming for the weak team, which shows that most of the fans are very enthusiastic about the strong side of the heart. From the perspective of http://www.aliyun.com/zixun/aggregation/31480.html "> Rational Investment, it is necessary to invest in the reliability of nearly 100% of the investment which can make people crazy to put all the principal into the capital. But in fact, what are the winning teams in the World Cup?

To answer the question above, small compiled up to today's 40 games, and out of 6 betting on both sides of the match, the results found that the absolute overwhelming point of view of the 34 games, the majority of the winning team won only 55.88%, with the probability of losing a coin is not much different.

So, the final conclusion is that it's understandable to take a heavy bet on the emotional side of a team, but the real temperament to win money is to send money.

A rational reflection on the investment from the gambling game

"The old editor chats the Fund" the author of series column, our Master elder brother repeatedly teaches us that buys the fund must construct the composition, uses the probability method to make money, instead of the gambling method to make money, this time let him catch the handle again. These days, like the Tang monk, every day get, get ...

According to his algorithm, the odds of winning 8 games, like the octopus Paul, are 5.4 per cent, depending on the 56% percentage. In other words, 99.56% of strong-team fans can only get a lost outcome if they are all in the bet every time. Now our leadership with rogue means to change the rules of the game, so that everyone has extra money every day "gamble", if not changed, the elder brother think we announced before the number of participants to guess the change is like this:

Number of participants in guessing the ball changes

He said that if it weren't for the leadership hooligans, everyone would have been able to wash and sleep last week.

He also said that if the 34 games are divided into 34 of the principal to vote, in fact, can make the principal stable rise, especially in our current high odds settings, doubling is not impossible.

He also said that the fund investment is the same, who can not say which funds will eventually make money, according to the method of probability to buy a few more relatively good, at least to get the average yield, the average rate of return in the long run is actually very good ...

He was later released by us from the conference room, too annoying! However, I have to say that there is some truth in the investment, the small series will naturally adopt, but the World Cup betting can only say to him-out!