This is the July 2013 SoftBank event, compiled by the Games teahouse son entitled "Challenge to the world" speech. Son in this speech put forward a few valuable points of view, he thought must make the combination of software and hardware must be flexible with the cloud technology and large data, also must be actively digital. And the development of the mobile Internet has launched a very forward-looking interpretation, that the mobile internet has only just begun, and his more interesting point is that the number of transistors in a single chip in 2018 years will surpass the human brain. The following is the full text of the speech.
All of you, everyone here. I am from soft silver son, please advise.
"Challenging the world" is my expectation of our company, and all of you who are here today are working for companies active in world markets and aspiring people. Recently, under the influence of Abe's economic policy, Japan's economy has once again ushered in a long-term situation, in the sense of stimulating economic development, there are many financial measures, there will be economic growth strategic planning, however, the use of temporary fiscal policy, but can not let the economic growth, it is meaningless. In this sense, Japan's rapid economic growth of the era, it is the Japanese home appliances and auto industry entrepreneurs began to enter the world in a large-scale era. In the last 20 years, Japan's economic growth has been stagnant for a long time, but also faced with the problem of shrinking population and small children, it is necessary to enter the world.
Either digitally or perish.
The current situation is: Digital to many people, not the initiative, but cornered to be forced to do.
In particular, Japan's home appliance industry has been struggling to sustain and deficit. I think the reason is that the digital movement is too slow. Just assembling parts is just electronic. Japanese-made hardware is very thin, low failure rate, this is Japan's heirloom technology, which also faces the problem of lack of digital.
To allow software and hardware to be integrated, we must be flexible with the cloud technology and large data, it must be actively digital.
"Challenge the World", I want to take this as the theme of today, first of all, from my own point of view, this year our SoftBank will further challenge the world, we have begun to buy the U.S. sprint, we are also very uneasy, there are many differences of opinion, there are many twists and turns, although the acquisition price is slightly higher, but eventually the acquisition completed.
We are the top three of sales in the world, so far the 2nd and 3rd in Japan. We are proud of the service ranked 3rd, the entire group of users and sales of services in the 2nd, but in the domestic 2nd 3rd first aside, it is important in the world of the 3rd, the number of users in the world is far more than DoCoMo, approaching the United States first Granville.
So, in peacetime with us to make a deal or the future of this plan, soft silver will sprint, what can get? Although SoftBank has a large presence around the world, Sprint has 30 locations around the world, connecting 165 countries with the Internet. For those of you who are active in the world market, or who have this plan in the future, SoftBank · The Sprint coalition can help you and put the third sprint of the United States under its command, and our coalition forces can do it all over the world.
It is a challenge, but it will open the door to the future. There is no challenge to face the future situation, either predecessor predecessors, or pure luck, I am afraid it can not be long. But the initiative continues to challenge everybody, is oneself develops own future, I thought certainly can obtain the good result.
I put forward the "30 vision" of SoftBank almost 3 years ago. The first time to put forward "30 vision" is the time to start a business, I first held the company early, in addition to my company staff only 2 people, in the meeting I almost said half an hour of the future vision, two employees are open their eyes, feel himself in a strange company, two weeks past 2 people resigned.
A long speech on the company's vision, will leave the psychological shadow of the staff, so I put the vision sealed in mind. After 30 years of entrepreneurship, I once again put this issue before the staff, the 30 years since the vision of the present.
Terminal change: The number of transistors in a single chip computer will surpass that of the human brain in 2018 years
At first, I was confused about the question of "what will be 30 years from now", but the more confused you look, the more you can see the future in the torrent. We consider the long term, thoroughly consider the human life state, social, technological evolution 300 years later, spend about a year to gather domestic and foreign intelligence to consider this issue, today roughly say a part of it.
SCM is made of transistors, transistors close and separate, forming a current, brain cells are also nerve cells close to separate, memory and thinking, that is, 2 into the system, with a weak current memory and thinking. Transistors are also binary, and brain cells and computer chips are completely the same theory. It is inferred that, about 20 years ago, the number of human brain cells is 3 billion, according to the binary has 30 billion combinations. 30 billion, when the number of transistors in the microcontroller can exceed this number, if we calculate the answer is 2018 years.
According to Moore's law, the function must evolve continuously. Human cells have not changed since 4000 ago.
2000 years from now, the number of brain cells will not change, and the number of single-chip transistors in 2018 years will surpass the human brain, we think about 30 years later, 2018 years after 30 years, further, think about 300 years later. 300 years later, is 10 of the 60 times, far more than the number of brain cells, so far, humans are the Earth's brain cells work the largest number of life, and have beyond the power of human function, is a single-chip microcomputer.
Transistors contain many possibilities.
We think that trouble, imagination, the creation is the human privilege, the computer will also have the self-study ability in the future, the computer own programming time will arrive, the future world will be like the science fiction, the brain constructs the computer certainly to be born, can be more keenly than the humanity insight and the invention, carries this computer the robot will surpass the human, There is no future without coexistence, I believe that human beings and excellent robots can coexist happily.
The areas that humans now consider impossible to give up, such as disaster relief, care, medical care, education, and so on, can be helped by robots carrying brain-building computers.
In the telecommunications business of soft silver, excellent computer wireless connection network, through the chip and human brain communication, only in the mind can communicate with the other side, like a psychic.
30 years ago, when the mobile phone has not appeared, I have thought of the same as today's smart machines, usually carry the machine, the most recent wearable equipment, such as watches, glasses have emerged.
In addition, health care will be greatly improved, the average life expectancy of 200 years to come, 300 years ago the average life expectancy is 35 years old, most people because of war and disease early death. 300 years later, the average life expectancy is 200 years, 70~80岁 will be said to be young, the future more imagine the more close to science fiction, full of philosophy, religion and so on the topic of debate.
However, imagine the world after 300 years, after the annoyance, again consider "30 years later" This topic, will feel basically boring and take for granted the world. It's going to make people think, "That's a matter of course." After 300 years of talking about robots carrying brain-building computers, people have a variety of opinions, and 30 years later it seems too common and not easy to talk about, but the key question is after 30 years of course.
The first is the "information explosion", for example, imagine what the iphone would be like 30 years from now, about 1 million times times the current rate of CPU power.
Although I do not know then, the iphone still does not exist, but 30 years after the average memory capacity of the smartphone will be 1 million times times, communication speed is 3 million times times.
1 million times times what is the concept, it is loaded into the human brain is 100,000 times times the transistor.
After 2018, the computer will surpass the human brain, more than 30 years later, so that it can be put into 500 billion songs, 350 million years of newspapers. Such a "Super smart Machine" will appear in the future, such a terminal local processing capacity has been so, what is the cloud? This is completely different, communication speed of 3 million times times now, the connection between the local and the cloud is almost negligible, the infinite cloud will greatly broaden the Earth, will also change the way people live.
The cloud will be the greatest asset of mankind.
Everything will be a life record, kept in the clouds. "Real-time translation glasses" patented 30 years ago, of course, long before Google (1059.59,-3.52,-0.33%) glasses, in the future of cloud technology, in the instant of communication to complete the automatic translation will become a natural thing. Education, of course, can also evolve dramatically, with children all over the world talking to children around the globe, language is not available and can be automatically translated. Medical care will also develop to a high level, whether you live in an island or in the desert, you can instantly accept the world's most sophisticated medical services. The working way also evolves, can connect a lot of things instantaneously, the productivity is greatly improved ... The cloud will become the greatest asset of mankind.
The popularity of mobile devices is just the beginning
SoftBank has also begun to use cloud technology as its largest asset, mixing cloud and large data to form a more beneficial form of service and problem solving for the marketplace. SoftBank begins with its own, with large data to solve its own problems. First of all, to improve the signal, in order to better serve the users of soft silver, we make the signal better and build a more efficient base station.
We did one of the world's first things, independently spent 1 months, collected 7.5 pieces of data, data from the smartphone app to get and analyze, the improvement of the user network. Where, when, how many times does the user connect to the network, without ... We conducted various analyses and analyzed the connection status of competitor users. This is the first time in the world where people are going to do what they do, from 18 in Friday to 10 in Sunday ... Everything is analyzed with data.
I think this can make real improvement to analyze where there are problems, where the obstacles. For example, we often see in IT magazine, "surveyed 200 places," "Asked 1000 people," and then analyzed, but never read the magazine analysis of 750 million people, because it is very expensive, there is no corresponding technology. DoCoMo's TOP2 model now has a number of connections on the AU, which model connection rate is not good, we know better than they, this is a great help to improve our communications services, can be upright in the TV ads say "we improve the signal." Sell it to others before you try it, can really come in handy, this is the culture of soft silver. The current concepts such as cloud, such as large data to fully use their own, so that our service improvement really have a scientific data analysis background, in order to invest with limited equipment to compete with others.
Another example of using big data is what we've been doing before, and the user can actually appreciate the signal improvements we've made by analyzing Twitter's big data.
Soft silver in the working mode also with cloud technology, the first to change. The iphone has been launched for 4 or 5 years, we have to all the employees have a set, the ipad came out of the time for everyone, all can carry, connect the clouds, the benefits of growth is not accidental, for the future of the cloud, do not employ the iphone is not, No matter when and where we can do all kinds of work, mail also through Gmail Cloud, a variety of reports are cloud.
It's not just us, it's the companies we work with. JR is equipped with 7000 ipad Mini, can read the favorite content whenever and wherever, the medicine company uses video to provide doctor's intelligence, Misawa home (real estate Company) uses the ipad to carry on the project management, three and shutter also introduced 1400 ipads in the work, The use of video and other means, so that people can actually experience the speed of the gate switch.
Soft Silver company has been implemented paperless, nor printer, in addition to the contractual documents and documents provided to the Government, has been completely paperless, the meeting is also used to introduce video, the company has specialized in the production of video team, presentation way also changed. Use Google apps to negotiate around the world ...
Challenges to the world, we see a new landscape, is not a challenge to see the scenery. Let us continue our journey in the future, is actively engaged in the digital enterprise, let us continue to challenge the information revolution, the world's working methods will be a major change.
Why do you have to act? Just because it is to provide people with happiness and have to do.
This is my speech today.